Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 4 November 2025

Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise — UEFA Champions League, 4 November 2025

Atletico Madrid look to bounce back from a heavy defeat as they host surprise package Union St Gilloise in the Champions League group stage.

🗞️ Introduction

Atletico Madrid need a response after a tough week, while Union St Gilloise arrive full of confidence from domestic form. The Wanda Metropolitano will be rocking with home support, away fans making the trip in numbers. Atletico set up in 4-4-2 to squeeze space; Union use 3-5-2, compact and quick on the break. No new injuries for either side; both managers report full squads available.

🔑 Tactical Trends
  • Control game: Atletico average 52% possession and build patiently; Union 50% focus on transitions.
  • Chance creation: Atletico generate 1.5 xG centrally; Union 1.4 from wide areas.
  • Dead balls: Atletico score 0.2 from set pieces; Union concede 0.2.

📋 Form

Atletico last 10: 4–3–3, goals 14 for / 12 against, clean sheets 3. Mixed, but home wins keep them ticking.

Union last 10: 5–3–2, goals 12 for / 10 against, clean sheets 3. Solid, unbeaten in five.

📊 Average Goals Scored per Game
Atletico Madrid
1.4
Union St Gilloise
1.2

Atletico slightly sharper up top.

📊 Average Goals Conceded per Game
Atletico Madrid
1.2
Union St Gilloise
1.0

Union tighter at the back.

📊 Clean Sheet Percentage
Atletico Madrid
30%
Union St Gilloise
30%

Even on shutouts.

📊 Average Possession
Atletico Madrid
52%
Union St Gilloise
50%

Atletico edge the ball.

📊 Average Corners per Game
Atletico Madrid
5.2
Union St Gilloise
4.8

Atletico force more; total around 10.

📊 Average Yellow Cards per Game
Atletico Madrid
2.4
Union St Gilloise
2.1

Physical; 4-5 cards likely.

📊 Average Shots per Game (Total / On Target)
Atletico Madrid
12.8 / 4.3
Union St Gilloise
11.2 / 3.8

Atletico more shots.

📊 Expected Goals (xG) per Game / xG Against
Atletico Madrid
1.5 For / 1.3 Against
Union St Gilloise
1.4 For / 1.1 Against

Atletico create slightly better chances.

📊 Average Set Piece Goals (For / Against)
Atletico Madrid
0.2 / 0.3
Union St Gilloise
0.2 / 0.2

Union stronger from dead balls.

📊 Passing & Defensive Work
Atletico Madrid
86% pass rate / 17.1 tackles + interceptions
Union St Gilloise
83% pass rate / 16.5 tackles + interceptions

Atletico tidier and busier.

📊 Goal Timing (First Half / Second Half)
Atletico Madrid
42% / 58%
Union St Gilloise
45% / 55%

Both second-half teams.

📊 Over 2.5 Goals Frequency
Atletico Madrid
50%
Union St Gilloise
30%

Atletico games higher scoring.

📊 Average Points per Game
Atletico Madrid
1.7
Union St Gilloise
1.8

Union picking up more.

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Atletico at home: 80% win rate with 4 wins from 5, averaging 1.6 goals for and 0.8 against, 3 clean sheets — fortress.

Union away: 60% win rate with 3 wins from 5, averaging 1.4 goals for and 1.2 against, 1 clean sheet — solid travellers.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For (per game)
Goals Against (per game)

Tip: on smaller phones, rotate your device sideways to view the chart clearly.


🔔 BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
45%
Model view for this specific match

📈 Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For (per game)
xG Against (per game)

If you’re on mobile, a quick rotate helps you see the labels and bars properly.

Atletico average 1.5 xG, Union 1.4, showing a slight edge in chance quality.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

No previous meetings between the two clubs in the last 15 years. This will be their first competitive encounter, adding extra intrigue to a clash of styles.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

Atletico’s home strength and experience should overcome Union’s organisation; hosts control and win narrowly.

Prediction: 1–0 home win.

💡 Betting Tips

Main pick: Atletico Madrid to Win — home form, experience, bounce-back factor.

Value angle: Under 2.5 Goals — both low-scoring trends, defensive setups.


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❓ FAQ: Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise?

Atletico should win — think 1–0.

What is the best bet in the Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise game?

Atletico to Win; Under 2.5 Goals value.

What time does Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise kick off in the UK?

8:00 PM GMT on Tuesday 4 November 2025.

Where is Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise being played?

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid.

What are the recent head-to-head results between Atletico Madrid and Union St Gilloise?

No previous meetings.

Who has the better form going into Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise?

Union 5-3-2 last 10; Atletico 4-3-3.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise?

1–0 to Atletico Madrid.

Who has the best xG Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise?

Atletico at 1.5 for / 1.3 against; Union 1.4 / 1.1.

Will BTTS in the Atletico Madrid v Union St Gilloise game?

45% likelihood per model.

Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Atletico Madrid vs Union St Gilloise game?

Leaning under with low-scoring trends.