Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim | Bundesliga Preview & Betting Tips | 7 Dec 2025

Dortmund have been a bit stop-start this season and need a big performance in front of their own fans, while Hoffenheim are one of the surprise packages – banging in goals for fun and sitting high up the table. The Signal Iduna Park will be absolutely bouncing, with the biggest home crowd in Europe ready to roar the Black and Yellows on.

Dortmund stick with their high-energy 4-2-3-1 that presses hard and looks to explode forward quickly. Hoffenheim play an open, attacking 3-4-2-1 that leaves them vulnerable at the back but causes chaos going the other way.

Hoffenheim are the Bundesliga’s entertainers right now – averaging 2.2 goals scored and their last ten games hitting over 2.5 in 70 % of them. They’re also lethal from set pieces (0.5 per game) and love to get bodies forward. Dortmund are tighter at the back (1.1 conceded) and keep four clean sheets in ten, but they’ve been leaking chances lately and can be got at on the break.

Dortmund over the last ten: four wins, three draws, three defeats – 17 scored, 11 conceded, four clean sheets. Decent but dropped too many points recently.

Hoffenheim: six wins, two draws, two defeats – 22 scored, 14 conceded, two clean sheets. Absolutely flying and averaging a huge 2.0 points per game.

Dortmund at home (last 10 league): 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat – averaging 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. The Yellow Wall makes them a different beast.

Hoffenheim away (last 10 league): 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats – averaging 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded. They travel well and score plenty.

Both sides create plenty and give up decent chances – this has goals written all over it.

Last five meetings have been wild: April 2025 – Hoffenheim 2-3 Dortmund; December 2024 – Dortmund 1-1 Hoffenheim; February 2024 – Dortmund 2-3 Hoffenheim; September 2023 – Hoffenheim 1-3 Dortmund; February 2023 – Hoffenheim 1-0 Dortmund. Four of the last five have seen both teams score and gone over 2.5 goals.

The numbers scream goals, the head-to-head screams goals, and the Yellow Wall should just about drag Dortmund over the line in a thriller.

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Hoffenheim

Main pick: Over 2.5 goals – 70 % of Hoffenheim games recently and the H2H history make this a banker.

Value angle: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 – the standout bet of the weekend.

Alternative: Dortmund to win & BTTS – home advantage should just tip it.

Over/under 2.5: Over – screaming loud.

Corners: Over 10.5 – combined average 11.2.

Cards: Over 4.5 – these games get feisty.