Napoli vs Juventus | Serie A Preview & Betting Tips | 7 Dec 2025

Napoli are right in the Scudetto mix and loving life at the Maradona, while Juventus are grinding out results but struggling to find the net. This one always has edge – the stadium will be a cauldron, packed to the rafters with the home support in full voice and a strong travelling black-and-white contingent ready to make themselves heard.

Napoli play a high-possession 4-3-3 that presses aggressively and looks to dominate the ball. Juventus have been lining up in a pragmatic 3-5-2 that sits deep, stays compact and tries to hit on the counter.

Juventus have turned into the masters of low-scoring games – only 0.8 conceded per game over the last ten and just 20 % of their matches going over 2.5 goals. Napoli are tighter than last season (1.0 conceded) and keep three clean sheets in ten. Both sides love the ball (Napoli 56 %, Juve 58 %) so it could come down to who wins the midfield battle and who’s sharper from set pieces.

Napoli over the last ten: six wins, one draw, three defeats – 14 scored, 10 conceded, three clean sheets. Picking up 1.9 points per game and looking strong.

Juventus: four wins, five draws, one defeat – 10 scored, 8 conceded, four clean sheets. Hard to beat but drawing too many – 1.7 points per game.

Napoli at home (last 10 league): 8 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat – averaging 2.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. The Maradona is a fortress again.

Juventus away (last 10 league): 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats – averaging 1.1 scored and 0.9 conceded. Very tough to beat on the road.

Juventus are the kings of restricting chances – the lowest xGA in the league. Napoli create a similar amount but face slightly more. This looks cagey.

Last five meetings: January 2025 – Napoli 2-1 Juventus; September 2024 – Juventus 0-0 Napoli; March 2024 – Napoli 2-1 Juventus; December 2023 – Juventus 1-1 Napoli; April 2023 – Juventus 0-1 Napoli. Napoli have won three of the last five at the Maradona and four of the last five overall have stayed under 2.5 goals.

Napoli have the home advantage, better recent form and a strong record in this fixture. Juventus are hard to break down but struggle to score themselves. The Partenopei should just edge a tight one.

Prediction: Napoli 1-0 Juventus

Main pick: Under 2.5 goals – four of the last five H2Hs and Juve’s style scream low-scoring.

Value angle: Napoli to win to nil – Juventus have scored just once in their last four visits here.

Alternative: Napoli draw no bet – covers the most likely draw scenario.