Freiburg vs Stuttgart | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 13th September 2025
Badische Brisanz (Pressure in Baden) with points on the line. Freiburg have begun the campaign in stuttering fashion, while Stuttgart look their usual front-foot selves even with a few injuries. Expect a lively crowd at the Europa-Park Stadion and an away end that will make itself heard.
Tactical snapshot: Freiburg are most comfortable in a 4-2-3-1/4-4-2 hybrid, compact without the ball and dangerous through wide service into Gregoritsch or Höler, plus set-play routines. Stuttgart lean into a bold 4-3-3 that can morph to 4-2-3-1, high full-backs, crisp combinations through Stiller/El Khannouss and runners off Demirović. It’s structure and rest-defence versus pace, rotations and aggression.
Freiburg
Out/likely out: Daniel-Kofi Kyereh (returning late September), Nicolas Höfler (back), Philipp Treu (shoulder). Key roles: Atubolu should start behind Lienhart–Ginter; width from Günter and Sildillia; Grifo and Doan provide the craft with Gregoritsch/Höler leading the line. Merlin Röhl’s ball-carrying is an outlet when Freiburg break the press.
Stuttgart
Out/likely out: Fabian Bredlow (knee), Silas (metatarsal), Justin Diehl (muscle), Leonidas Stergiou (ankle/fitness), Deniz Undav (knee), Dan-Axel Zagadou (knee), Jeff Chabot (adductor), Luca Jaquez (nose). Doubtful: Tiago Tomás. Key roles: Nübel in goal; Vagnoman/Assignable with Mittelstädt at full-back; Stiller to dictate tempo, El Khannouss between lines; Demirović carries the penalty-box threat with support from Führich/Lukébakio.
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Freiburg (last 10, all comps): 4–2–4, goals 17 for and 19 against (1.7 scored / 1.9 conceded per match). One clean sheet across those ten. The early-season wobble has been about transitions against and defending the box after first contact.
Stuttgart (last 10, all comps): 5–2–3, goals 23 for and 17 against (2.3 scored / 1.7 conceded). Three clean sheets in that run and still a heavy threat down the flanks. They’ll give you chances, but they create plenty.
Trends: Freiburg’s matches have been goal-rich to start the season; Stuttgart’s have split the total lines but lean chaotic when pressed into a track meet. Set-plays could be decisive either way.
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Metric | SC Freiburg | VfB Stuttgart |
---|---|---|
Average goals scored per game (current season) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
Average goals conceded per game (current season) | 3.50 | 1.75 |
Average possession | ~49% | ~63% |
Expected goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
Average corners per game | 4.5 | 6.0 |
Clean sheet share (last 10) | 10% | 30% |
Share of games over 2.5 total goals | High (100% this season) | ~50% |
Average points per game (current season) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
Freiburg at home (recent trend): goals both ways have been common and they rely on wide deliveries and second phases. When they score first they’re much harder to shift; when chasing, space appears behind the full-backs.
Stuttgart away (recent trend): front-foot approach travels well – high possession, lots of crosses and cut-backs. The flip side is space to counter into if their counter-press is broken.
Note: sample sizes for strict last-10 home/away splits are limited this early; the tendencies above reflect the rolling form across competitions.
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Freiburg – Vincenzo Grifo: the set-piece specialist and chief chance supplier. If Freiburg are to punch back, his deliveries and cut-backs will be central.
Stuttgart – Ermedin Demirović: smart movement and ruthless in the area. With service from Führich and Lukébakio he’s the most likely difference-maker.
Freiburg 1–2 Stuttgart. The visitors’ control and final-third quality should shade a derby that still offers chances both ways. Freiburg’s set-plays keep them in it, but Stuttgart’s wide rotations and sharper finishing give them the edge.
Main pick: Stuttgart draw-no-bet. They’re producing the better chances and carry more routes to goal; this keeps the stalemate onside.
Value angle: Both Teams To Score – Yes. Freiburg’s recent matches are lively and Stuttgart rarely keep things quiet for long.
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