Backed: share of the market up 15% or more since the morning, non-runners allowed for. A drift is shown only for a race’s morning favourite (the shortest morning price) that has lost 20% or more of its share — 229 movers in 36 races so far · as at 23:52 UK time

All of today's movers

Standout prices

No runner’s top price stands 25% or more clear of the general price right now — as at 23:52 UK time.

Run today

Eastern Whisper

Cheltenham 4:00 · stood out at 7/1 (generally 5/1) · 7/1 before the off · 2nd · SP 11/2

Elegantemente

Cheltenham 4:00 · stood out at 10/3 (generally 9/4) · 5/2 before the off, no longer a standout · Won · SP 15/8

Miss Master

Cheltenham 4:00 · stood out at 14/1 (generally 11/1) · 12/1 before the off, no longer a standout · 5th · SP 10/1

Of the 84 standouts that have run today, 13 won; the top price we listed beat the starting price for 55 of the 84 with a starting price. 76 had stopped standing out by the off; 7 became non-runners.

Compare odds

What a bet costs, and how the favourite fares, since 2005

What stands out today

Today’s card read against our archive by fixed rules. The evidence is ours, the decision is yours.

Jockey change

Iconic Elsa (Windsor 12:20) — Toby McCain-Mitchell takes over from James Turner (seen 11:11): 7 wins from 65 rides for the yard, last 365 days.

6th of 14 · SP 14/1 · 22/1 this morning

Boombox Uttoxeter 1:15 Won · SP 11/8 · 7/4 this morning
Independent Lady Windsor 2:00 3rd of 11 · SP 1/1 · 9/4 this morning
Morissette Windsor 2:00 2nd of 11 · SP 16/1 · 12/1 this morning

15 runners today met this rule. Of the 15 that have run, 3 won.

Last 7 days: 13 ran, 0 won — a small sample.

Every runner on this rule

First-time headgear, a 20%+ yard

Jem's Lilly (Windsor 12:20) wears hood for the first time; trainer Harry Derham’s first-timers have won 15 of 54 (27.8%) since 2008.

2nd of 14 · SP 8/11 · 11/4 this morning

1 runner today met this rule. Of the 1 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 2 ran, 0 won — a small sample.

Every runner on this rule

Won last time, same mark

Kildinan Prince (Windsor 1:25) won last time out and runs off the same mark today, 120.

5th of 12 · SP 100/30 · 10/3 this morning

1 runner today met this rule. Of the 1 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 7 ran, 1 won, 2 results not stored — a small sample.

Every runner on this rule

Off a winning mark, down in class

Back In The Bay (Uttoxeter 12:07) runs off 101, the mark it won off at Stratford in July 2025, and drops in class today.

Pulled up · SP 16/1 · 14/1 this morning

Herakles Westwood Cheltenham 12:35 7th of 9 · SP 15/2 · 9/2 this morning
Thank You Ma'am Windsor 1:25 6th of 12 · SP 8/1 · 10/1 this morning
Mavis Pike Windsor 2:00 5th of 11 · SP 7/1 · 7/1 this morning

6 runners today met this rule. Of the 6 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 25 ran, 2 won — a small sample.

Every runner on this rule

Handicap debut

Rumi Rock (Uttoxeter 12:07) runs in its first handicap in our archive, off 105, after 4 runs.

6th of 8 · SP 22/1 · 25/1 this morning

Zeus Forlonge Uttoxeter 12:07 3rd of 8 · SP 11/1 · 4/1 this morning
Nopresentliketime Wetherby 12:48 4th of 6 · SP 22/1 · 8/1 this morning
Who's Going Wetherby 12:48 Won · SP 13/8 · 7/2 this morning

18 runners today met this rule. Of the 18 that have run, 3 won.

Last 7 days: 79 ran, 11 won, 2 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

All 13 rules met today, every runner

What stands out today: every rule · On today’s angle pages: First-time headgear (15) · Off a winning mark (20)

Built by fixed rules from today’s card and our archive, not by anyone’s opinion; a rule that is not met prints nothing. As at 22:49 UK time.

Tomorrow’s conditions, measured

The ground, the time of year and the size of the fields, read against every British and Irish race since 2005.

The autumn changeover

15 October to 15 November, when the flat and jumps seasons overlap. This year so far (15 October to 13 November), against the same weeks in every year since 2005:

The flat favourite: so far 539 runs, 165 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 29.8% and placed 59.9% of 12,891 runs, fair A/E 1.09; May to September, 31.6%.
The jumps favourite: so far 588 runs, 222 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 35.1% and placed 61.5% of 13,373 runs, fair A/E 1.10; May to September, 33.0%.
Races won at 10/1 or longer in these weeks since 2005: flat 21.6% of 11,775 races (May to September 18.0%); jumps 15.3% of 12,325 races (May to September 17.1%).
The jumps favourite off 150 days or more in these weeks: won 36.9% and placed 62.0% of 4,571 runs, fair A/E 1.10; one that raced within 60 days won 34.3%.

On the record: “Racing gets hard to read around the autumn changeover” — The favourite in the autumn changeover window wins as often as in summer in both codes: the changeover is a story, not a season.

On the record: “A jumps horse needs the run after its summer break” — "Needs the run" is not in the numbers. The autumn jumps favourite off a summer break wins as often as one that raced within the last two months — the yards that send a fresh favourite out send it fit.

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 13 November 2026.

The favourite by season

Big fields tomorrow

5 races tomorrow have 16 or more runners: Navan 12:10 (19 runners), Navan 12:40 (28 runners), Navan 1:50 (16 runners) and 2 more.

The favourite in a field of 16 or more: won 24.1% and placed 55.0% of 23,517 runs, fair A/E 1.22.
The second favourite: won 14.9% and placed 44.8% of 22,284 runs, fair A/E 1.16.
The standard each-way terms: Navan 12:10: 3 places at 1/5 the odds (16 or more runners, not a handicap); Navan 12:40: 4 places at 1/4 the odds (a handicap of 16 or more runners); Navan 1:50: 4 places at 1/4 the odds (a handicap of 16 or more runners). "Placed" in the figures above means finishing in the places the standard terms pay.
The top weight in a handicap of 14 or more: won 8.3% of 35,221 runs, fair A/E 1.03; the bottom weight won 4.3% of 34,089 runs, fair A/E 0.97.

On the record: “Top weight can't win a big handicap” — The top weight is the horse to fear, not to dismiss.

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 13 November 2026. Fields as declared, non-runners out, at 23:52 UK time.

The each-way table

Fair A/E: winners divided by the chances the starting prices gave them, the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare rows with rows. Fair A/E explained

What sits behind every number

Our own archive, counted nightly.

313,873races since 2005

3,082,400runs recorded

276,610horse profiles

GB · IRE · FRracing covered

Counts as at 14 November 2026, 03:40 UK time, from our own archive.

Kickthebookies is the analytical layer of racing: the stats, signals and records that help you understand a race, with the sample size and date on every figure. We show our working and grade ourselves in public. The call is always yours.

How KTB works · Horses A–Z · Trainers · Jockeys · Racecourses · Fair A/E explained

The archive, measured

The questions punters argue about, answered from every British and Irish race since 2005 and rebuilt every night.

Racing myths, measured

Does the jolly win more when a race falls apart? Is heavy going a lottery? Are the old boys still worth backing? Each belief checked against the record, with a verdict decided by a rule, not a writer.

See the verdicts

The price of a bet

What the bookmakers’ margin costs you, year by year and field by field; how often the favourite wins by field size, season and going; and the each-way table — how often every market position places.

See the market

The longest shots: every 50/1+ winner Open data: the facts as CSV and JSON

Three figures of our own

Each built from our archive and explained on its own page.

KTB Fit

How well does it suit this race, today?

A 0–100 figure for how well a horse fits the race it is about to run, built from form and connections and frozen overnight. In each race it scores, the top-ranked runner is published as the KTB Selection and graded in public afterwards, win or lose.

How KTB Fit works Today’s selections The full record

KTB Rating

How good is it?

The level a horse has been running to: an average of up to its last six runs, the latest counting most.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Rating works How the top-rated ran

KTB Speed

How fast is it?

A horse's best figure from up to its last three reliably timed runs.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Speed works How the fastest ran

On results and profiles, the letter beside a figure (A, B or C) grades how firmly it could be measured, not how good the run was: A is the firmest. Rating grades · Speed grades

Top on our figures: how they ran

In every British and Irish race we score, the horse top on KTB Rating and the fastest on KTB Speed before the off, and how each one ran. Past figures are free.

Top-rated on KTB Rating

2 of 22 won Friday 13 November

9.1% won · 3 did not run · no pick in 1 race

Crafty Gael (IRE) Southwell9/2
Fairlawn Skipper (GB) Sedgefield13/8

Since 5 October 1,240 ran, 301 won (24.3%) · fair A/E 1.00 over 1,238 priced · settled to 13 November

Fastest on KTB Speed

4 of 23 won Friday 13 November

17.4% won · 2 did not run · no pick in 1 race

D Art D Art (FR) Cheltenham7/2
Madam Speaker (IRE) Southwell13/8
Leave Her To Me (GB) Sedgefield6/5
Military Cross (IRE) SedgefieldEvs

Since 5 October 1,283 ran, 233 won (18.2%) · fair A/E 1.05 over 1,282 priced · settled to 13 November

Figures as they stood before the off, settled each night against the result. A tie at the top, or fewer than two runners with a figure, is no pick. Fair A/E = winners ÷ the winning chances implied by the starting prices with the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare picks with picks, not with 1. How KTB Rating works · How KTB Speed works · Fair A/E explained

Today’s results

As each official result is published.

Saturday 14 November 2026 Updated as races finish

Compare today’s odds →

4:00Cheltenham Class 1 · 2m½f · Good · 10 ran

Racing, with the evidence.

Today’s market, finished

What stands out today

Tomorrow’s conditions, measured

What sits behind every number

The archive, measured

Three figures of our own

KTB FitKTBFitMatched to the race

KTB RatingKTBRatingBuilt from the form

KTB SpeedKTBSpeedBuilt from the clock

Top on our figures: how they ran

Today’s results

KTB Fit

KTB Rating

KTB Speed