Backed: share of the market up 15% or more since the morning, non-runners allowed for. A drift is shown only for a race’s morning favourite (the shortest morning price) that has lost 20% or more of its share — 324 movers in 45 races so far · as at 15:48 UK time

All of today's movers

Standout prices

No runner’s top price stands 25% or more clear of the general price right now — as at 15:48 UK time.

Run today

Chicks For Free

Uttoxeter 3:40 · stood out at 3/1 (generally 9/4) · 7/4 before the off, no longer a standout · result to come

Mariah's Dream

Uttoxeter 3:40 · stood out at 13/2 (generally 5/1) · 14/1 before the off, no longer a standout · result to come

Persian Diva

Uttoxeter 3:40 · stood out at 14/1 (generally 11/1) · 12/1 before the off, no longer a standout · result to come

Of the 96 standouts that have run today, 16 won; the top price we listed beat the starting price for 60 of the 96 with a starting price. 97 had stopped standing out by the off; 7 results to come.

Compare odds

What a bet costs, and how the favourite fares, since 2005

What stands out today

Today’s card read against our archive by fixed rules. The evidence is ours, the decision is yours.

Off a winning mark, down in class

Prince Achille (Southwell (AW) 6:00) runs off 59, 1 lb below the 60 it won off at Newcastle (AW) in November 2025, and drops in class today.

17/2 this morning

Sahm Naif Southwell (AW) 6:00 12/1 this morning
Jel Pepper Doncaster 11:55 11th of 12 · SP 18/1 · 14/1 this morning
On The River Doncaster 12:25 6th of 12 · SP 13/2 · 11/2 this morning

15 runners today meet this rule, 2 still to run. Of the 12 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 60 ran, 2 won, 2 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Handicap debut

Carrigeen Ardisia (Gowran Park 4:00) runs in its first handicap in our archive, off 79, after 4 runs.

40/1 this morning

Santa Paula Gowran Park 4:00 18/1 this morning
Skewsby Doncaster 11:55 8th of 12 · SP 66/1 · 20/1 this morning
Dartmouth Star Kelso 12:55 7th of 11 · SP 50/1 · 28/1 this morning

20 runners today meet this rule, 2 still to run. Of the 13 that have run, 1 won.

Last 7 days: 118 ran, 6 won, 3 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Back to its winning trip

Tina's Indian (Doncaster 3:55) is back to 6f to 7f, the trip of its last flat win (Curragh, 2 Nov 2025); its last run was over 1m to 1m1f.

35/1 this morning

Tropical Twist Gowran Park 4:00 10/1 this morning
Tam Lin Southwell (AW) 4:25 9/2 this morning
Teardrops Southwell (AW) 4:25 28/1 this morning

43 runners today meet this rule, 6 still to run. Of the 28 that have run, 4 won.

Last 7 days: 208 ran, 27 won, 5 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Proven on today’s going

Brighton Boy (Doncaster 3:55) has won 2 of its 6 runs on good to soft in our archive; the official going today is Good To Soft.

15/2 this morning

Knebworth Doncaster 3:55 25/1 this morning
Station X Doncaster 3:55 18/1 this morning
Auntie Jo Southwell (AW) 4:25 9/1 this morning

74 runners today meet this rule, 23 still to run. Of the 38 that have run, 5 won.

Last 7 days: 472 ran, 56 won, 15 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Course winner, twice or more

Fine Interview (Doncaster 3:55) has won 3 of its 6 runs here at Doncaster in our archive.

15/2 this morning

Blackjack Southwell (AW) 4:25 11/2 this morning
Piperstown Southwell (AW) 4:25 12/1 this morning
Thanks Dad Southwell (AW) 4:25 25/1 this morning

23 runners today meet this rule, 6 still to run. Of the 9 that have run, 2 won.

Last 7 days: 149 ran, 11 won, 5 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Extra places in 5 races still to runTerms →

All 14 rules met today, every runner

What stands out today: every rule · On today’s angle pages: First-time headgear (14) · Off a winning mark (71)

Built by fixed rules from today’s card and our archive, not by anyone’s opinion; a rule that is not met prints nothing. As at 15:29 UK time.

Today’s conditions, measured

The ground, the time of year and the size of the fields, read against every British and Irish race since 2005.

The autumn changeover

15 October to 15 November, when the flat and jumps seasons overlap. This year so far (15 October to 6 November), against the same weeks in every year since 2005:

The flat favourite: so far 505 runs, 159 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 29.8% and placed 59.9% of 12,857 runs, fair A/E 1.09; May to September, 31.6%.
The jumps favourite: so far 428 runs, 154 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 35.0% and placed 61.5% of 13,213 runs, fair A/E 1.10; May to September, 33.0%.
Races won at 10/1 or longer in these weeks since 2005: flat 21.6% of 11,744 races (May to September 18.0%); jumps 15.3% of 12,173 races (May to September 17.1%).
The jumps favourite off 150 days or more in these weeks: won 36.9% and placed 62.0% of 4,528 runs, fair A/E 1.10; one that raced within 60 days won 34.2%.

On the record: “Racing gets hard to read around the autumn changeover” — The favourite in the autumn changeover window wins as often as in summer in both codes: the changeover is a story, not a season.

On the record: “A jumps horse needs the run after its summer break” — "Needs the run" is not in the numbers. The autumn jumps favourite off a summer break wins as often as one that raced within the last two months — the yards that send a fresh favourite out send it fit.

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 6 November 2026.

The favourite by season

Big fields today

4 races today have 16 or more runners: Doncaster 3:55 (22 runners), Doncaster 2:10 (20 runners), Doncaster 2:45 (17 runners) and 1 more.

The favourite in a field of 16 or more: won 24.1% and placed 55.0% of 23,504 runs, fair A/E 1.22.
The second favourite: won 14.9% and placed 44.8% of 22,274 runs, fair A/E 1.16.
The standard each-way terms: Doncaster 3:55: 4 places at 1/4 the odds (a handicap of 16 or more runners); Doncaster 2:10: 3 places at 1/5 the odds (16 or more runners, not a handicap); Doncaster 2:45: 3 places at 1/5 the odds (16 or more runners, not a handicap). "Placed" in the figures above means finishing in the places the standard terms pay.
The top weight in a handicap of 14 or more: won 8.3% of 35,204 runs, fair A/E 1.03; the bottom weight won 4.3% of 34,072 runs, fair A/E 0.97.

On the record: “Top weight can't win a big handicap” — The top weight is the horse to fear, not to dismiss.

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 6 November 2026. Fields as declared, non-runners out, at 15:48 UK time.

The each-way table

Fair A/E: winners divided by the chances the starting prices gave them, the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare rows with rows. Fair A/E explained

What sits behind every number

Our own archive, counted nightly.

313,582races since 2005

3,079,613runs recorded

276,179horse profiles

GB · IRE · FRracing covered

Counts as at 7 November 2026, 03:40 UK time, from our own archive.

Kickthebookies is the analytical layer of racing: the stats, signals and records that help you understand a race, with the sample size and date on every figure. We show our working and grade ourselves in public. The call is always yours.

How KTB works · Horses A–Z · Trainers · Jockeys · Racecourses · Fair A/E explained

The archive, measured

The questions punters argue about, answered from every British and Irish race since 2005 and rebuilt every night.

Racing myths, measured

Does the jolly win more when a race falls apart? Is heavy going a lottery? Are the old boys still worth backing? Each belief checked against the record, with a verdict decided by a rule, not a writer.

See the verdicts

The price of a bet

What the bookmakers’ margin costs you, year by year and field by field; how often the favourite wins by field size, season and going; and the each-way table — how often every market position places.

See the market

The longest shots: every 50/1+ winner Open data: the facts as CSV and JSON

Three figures of our own

Each built from our archive and explained on its own page.

KTB Fit

How well does it suit this race, today?

A 0–100 figure for how well a horse fits the race it is about to run, built from form and connections and frozen overnight. In each race it scores, the top-ranked runner is published as the KTB Selection and graded in public afterwards, win or lose.

How KTB Fit works Today’s selections The full record

KTB Rating

How good is it?

The level a horse has been running to: an average of up to its last six runs, the latest counting most.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Rating works How the top-rated ran

KTB Speed

How fast is it?

A horse's best figure from up to its last three reliably timed runs.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Speed works How the fastest ran

On results and profiles, the letter beside a figure (A, B or C) grades how firmly it could be measured, not how good the run was: A is the firmest. Rating grades · Speed grades

Top on our figures: how they ran

In every British and Irish race we score, the horse top on KTB Rating and the fastest on KTB Speed before the off, and how each one ran. Past figures are free.

Top-rated on KTB Rating

11 of 34 won Friday 6 November

32.4% won · no pick in 2 races

Fire Flyer (IRE) Fontwell40/1
Wise Crack (IRE) Newcastle (AW)6/1
Justenzia (IRE) Dundalk (AW)11/2
Bella Lucia (GB) Newcastle (AW)9/2

And 7 more winners.

Since 5 October 1,091 ran, 272 won (24.9%) · fair A/E 1.04 over 1,089 priced · settled to 6 November

Fastest on KTB Speed

9 of 30 won Friday 6 November

30.0% won · 2 did not run · no pick in 4 races

Bragbor (GB) Newcastle (AW)6/1
Royal Message (IRE) Newcastle (AW)7/2
Off The Jury (IRE) Aintree5/2
Ruby Island (GB) Hexham9/4

And 5 more winners.

Since 5 October 1,123 ran, 200 won (17.8%) · fair A/E 1.05 over 1,122 priced · settled to 6 November

Figures as they stood before the off, settled each night against the result. A tie at the top, or fewer than two runners with a figure, is no pick. Fair A/E = winners ÷ the winning chances implied by the starting prices with the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare picks with picks, not with 1. How KTB Rating works · How KTB Speed works · Fair A/E explained

Today’s results

As each official result is published.

Saturday 7 November 2026 Updated as races finish

Compare today’s odds →

3:25Doncaster Class 2 · 1m4f · Good to soft · 23 ran

Racing, with the evidence.

The market today

What stands out today

Today’s conditions, measured

What sits behind every number

The archive, measured

Three figures of our own

KTB FitKTBFitMatched to the race

KTB RatingKTBRatingBuilt from the form

KTB SpeedKTBSpeedBuilt from the clock

Top on our figures: how they ran

Today’s results

KTB Fit

KTB Rating

KTB Speed