Tuesday 3 November

Racing, with the evidence.

Form, our own figures and the bookmakers’ prices, read against 313,347 races since 2005.

Or a date, like 3 jun 2019.

Today’s racing has finished5 meetings · 36 races · last off 8:30 Wolverhampton (AW) Results

Tomorrow · Wednesday 4 November

Tomorrow’s cards are built overnight from the declarations: the meetings and going from about 10pm UK time, the figures and previews through the night.

Tomorrow's racecards

Today’s market, finished

The biggest moves from the morning to the off. Racing has finished for the day.

Market movers

Thunderous Sea

Lingfield 1:02 · backed · 8th of 8 · SP 16/1

40/1^† to 11/1 now 14/1

Look Sport

Fairyhouse 12:00 · backed · Won · SP 40/1

50/1^† to 22/1 now 28/1

Ballyhahill

Fairyhouse 4:04 · backed · Pulled up · SP 50/1

66/1 to 28/1 now 50/1

Shanroe Nancy

Fairyhouse 2:55 · backed · 6th of 15 · SP 16/1

22/1^† to 11/1 now 14/1

Schiehallion

Fairyhouse 12:35 · morning favourite, drifted · 6th of 7 · SP 5/1

11/8 to 9/2

Speculateur

Fairyhouse 12:00 · morning favourite, drifted · 4th of 7 · SP 9/2

15/8^† to 4/1

Backed: share of the market up 15% or more since the morning, non-runners allowed for. A drift is shown only for a race’s morning favourite (the shortest morning price) that has lost 20% or more of its share — 239 movers in 36 races so far · as at 21:24 UK time

All of today's movers

Standout prices

No runner’s top price stands 25% or more clear of the general price right now — as at 21:24 UK time.

Run today

Bint Al Daar

Wolverhampton (AW) 8:30 · stood out at 14/1 (generally 11/1) · 16/1 before the off, no longer a standout · 4th · SP 11/1

Caraway

Wolverhampton (AW) 8:30 · stood out at 4/1 (generally 3/1) · 3/1 before the off, no longer a standout · 2nd · SP 3/1

Jodhpur Blue

Wolverhampton (AW) 8:30 · stood out at 11/2 (generally 4/1) · 11/2 before the off, no longer a standout · 6th · SP 6/1

Of the 122 standouts that have run today, 17 won; the top price we listed beat the starting price for 67 of the 122 with a starting price. 116 had stopped standing out by the off; 5 became non-runners.

Compare odds

What a bet costs, and how the favourite fares, since 2005

What stands out today

Today’s card read against our archive by fixed rules. The evidence is ours, the decision is yours.

Back in its winning headgear

Accustomed (Fairyhouse 4:04) wears cheekpieces, the headgear it last won in (Bellewstown, 4 Jul 2026) — its first run in that headgear since, after 2 runs without it.

3rd of 12 · SP 17/2 · 10/1 this morning

1 runner today met this rule. Of the 1 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 3 ran, 0 won — a small sample.

Every runner on this rule

Won last time, same mark

Lucy The Wire (Warwick 2:03) won last time out and runs off the same mark today, 105.

2nd of 11 · SP 11/4 · 5/2 this morning

Mini Mac Wolverhampton (AW) 4:30 Won · SP 8/11 · 5/6 this morning
Oppenheimer Wolverhampton (AW) 5:00 Won · SP 2/5 · evn this morning

3 runners today met this rule. Of the 3 that have run, 2 won.

Last 7 days: 20 ran, 6 won — a small sample.

Every runner on this rule

Off a winning mark, down in class

Puddlesinthepark (Sedgefield 12:44) runs off 105, 5 lb below the 110 it won off at Ffos Las in October 2025, and drops in class today.

3rd of 4 · SP 9/1 · 4/1 this morning

Lucy The Wire Warwick 2:03 2nd of 11 · SP 11/4 · 5/2 this morning
Coastguard Station Warwick 2:38 3rd of 4 · SP 11/2 · 5/1 this morning
Gold Souk Lingfield 3:22 7th of 9 · SP 40/1 · 40/1 this morning

7 runners today met this rule. Of the 7 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 61 ran, 7 won, 2 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Handicap debut

Ashpriors (Lingfield 2:12) runs in its first handicap in our archive, off 84, after 3 runs.

8th of 9 · SP 40/1 · 10/1 this morning

Lets Go Mo Lingfield 2:12 2nd of 9 · SP 9/1 · 8/1 this morning
Poets Pearl Lingfield 2:12 6th of 9 · SP 33/1 · 17/2 this morning
Vivre Le Reve Lingfield 2:47 5th of 8 · SP 7/2 · 4/1 this morning

15 runners today met this rule. Of the 15 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 106 ran, 8 won, 7 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Back to its winning trip

Caher Roes Den (Fairyhouse 12:00) is back to 2m5f to 3m, the trip of its last jumps win (Galway (IRE), 2 Aug 2026); its last run was over 2m1f to 2m4f.

7th of 7 · SP 9/2 · 7/2 this morning

Some Song Fairyhouse 12:00 3rd of 7 · SP 11/8 · 3/1 this morning
Ad Caelum Fairyhouse 12:35 4th of 7 · SP 10/1 · 11/1 this morning
Andyourbirdcansing Fairyhouse 12:35 7th of 7 · SP 16/1 · 10/1 this morning

23 runners today met this rule. Of the 23 that have run, 6 won.

Last 7 days: 197 ran, 12 won, 19 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

All 11 rules met today, every runner

What stands out today: every rule · On today’s angle pages: First-time headgear (10) · Off a winning mark (46)

Built by fixed rules from today’s card and our archive, not by anyone’s opinion; a rule that is not met prints nothing. As at 21:09 UK time.

Tomorrow’s conditions, measured

The ground, the time of year and the size of the fields, read against every British and Irish race since 2005.

The autumn changeover

15 October to 15 November, when the flat and jumps seasons overlap. This year so far (15 October to 2 November), against the same weeks in every year since 2005:

The flat favourite: so far 427 runs, 130 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 29.7% and placed 59.9% of 12,779 runs, fair A/E 1.09; May to September, 31.6%.
The jumps favourite: so far 331 runs, 116 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 34.9% and placed 61.5% of 13,116 runs, fair A/E 1.10; May to September, 33.0%.
Races won at 10/1 or longer in these weeks since 2005: flat 21.6% of 11,669 races (May to September 18.0%); jumps 15.3% of 12,084 races (May to September 17.1%).
The jumps favourite off 150 days or more in these weeks: won 36.9% and placed 62.0% of 4,499 runs, fair A/E 1.10; one that raced within 60 days won 34.2%.

On the record: “Racing gets hard to read around the autumn changeover” — The favourite in the autumn changeover window wins as often as in summer in both codes: the changeover is a story, not a season.

On the record: “A jumps horse needs the run after its summer break” — "Needs the run" is not in the numbers. The autumn jumps favourite off a summer break wins as often as one that raced within the last two months — the yards that send a fresh favourite out send it fit.

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 2 November 2026.

The favourite by season

Fair A/E: winners divided by the chances the starting prices gave them, the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare rows with rows. Fair A/E explained

What sits behind every number

Our own archive, counted nightly.

313,347races since 2005

3,077,288runs recorded

275,788horse profiles

GB · IRE · FRracing covered

Counts as at 3 November 2026, 03:40 UK time, from our own archive.

Kickthebookies is the analytical layer of racing: the stats, signals and records that help you understand a race, with the sample size and date on every figure. We show our working and grade ourselves in public. The call is always yours.

How KTB works · Horses A–Z · Trainers · Jockeys · Racecourses · Fair A/E explained

The archive, measured

The questions punters argue about, answered from every British and Irish race since 2005 and rebuilt every night.

Racing myths, measured

Does the jolly win more when a race falls apart? Is heavy going a lottery? Are the old boys still worth backing? Each belief checked against the record, with a verdict decided by a rule, not a writer.

See the verdicts

The price of a bet

What the bookmakers’ margin costs you, year by year and field by field; how often the favourite wins by field size, season and going; and the each-way table — how often every market position places.

See the market

The longest shots: every 50/1+ winner Open data: the facts as CSV and JSON

Three figures of our own

Each built from our archive and explained on its own page.

KTB Fit

How well does it suit this race, today?

A 0–100 figure for how well a horse fits the race it is about to run, built from form and connections and frozen overnight. In each race it scores, the top-ranked runner is published as the KTB Selection and graded in public afterwards, win or lose.

How KTB Fit works Today’s selections The full record

KTB Rating

How good is it?

The level a horse has been running to: an average of up to its last six runs, the latest counting most.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Rating works How the top-rated ran

KTB Speed

How fast is it?

A horse's best figure from up to its last three reliably timed runs.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Speed works How the fastest ran

On results and profiles, the letter beside a figure (A, B or C) grades how firmly it could be measured, not how good the run was: A is the firmest. Rating grades · Speed grades

Top on our figures: how they ran

In every British and Irish race we score, the horse top on KTB Rating and the fastest on KTB Speed before the off, and how each one ran. Past figures are free.

Top-rated on KTB Rating

2 of 24 won Monday 2 November

8.3% won · 3 did not run · no pick in 3 races

Charging Thunder (GB) Chelmsford (AW)5/2
Midnight Jukebox (IRE) Southwell2/1

Since 5 October 957 ran, 231 won (24.1%) · fair A/E 1.00 over 955 priced · settled to 2 November

Fastest on KTB Speed

3 of 24 won Monday 2 November

12.5% won · 3 did not run · no pick in 3 races

Society Kiss (GB) Chelmsford (AW)20/1
Midnight Jukebox (IRE) Southwell2/1
Startling (GB) Chelmsford (AW)13/8

Since 5 October 985 ran, 174 won (17.7%) · fair A/E 1.06 over 984 priced · settled to 2 November

Figures as they stood before the off, settled each night against the result. A tie at the top, or fewer than two runners with a figure, is no pick. Fair A/E = winners ÷ the winning chances implied by the starting prices with the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare picks with picks, not with 1. How KTB Rating works · How KTB Speed works · Fair A/E explained

Today’s results

As each official result is published.

Tuesday 3 November 2026 Updated as races finish

Compare today’s odds →

8:30Wolverhampton (AW) Class 5 · 1m4f · Standard · 7 ran

Racing, with the evidence.

Today’s market, finished

What stands out today

Tomorrow’s conditions, measured

What sits behind every number

The archive, measured

Three figures of our own

KTB FitKTBFitMatched to the race

KTB RatingKTBRatingBuilt from the form

KTB SpeedKTBSpeedBuilt from the clock

Top on our figures: how they ran

Today’s results

KTB Fit

KTB Rating

KTB Speed