Sunday 8 November

Racing, with the evidence.

Form, our own figures and the bookmakers’ prices, read against 313,644 races since 2005.

Or a date, like 3 jun 2019.

Today’s meetings

3 meetings · 22 races · next off 3:48 Naas (about now)

Naas IRE Good to yielding 8 races · 4 NR next 3:48 Sandown GB Good, good to soft in places 7 races · 1 NR next 4:00 Ffos Las GB Soft 7 races · 4 NR next 4:12

All of today's racecards

The market today

Which horses are being backed since the morning, and where one bookmaker stands clear.

Market movers

Kells House

Naas 3:48 · backed

22/1 to 15/2

Cassie Baby

Naas 3:48 · backed

17/2 to 9/2 now 5/1

Sassy River

Naas 3:48 · backed

12/1 to 17/2 now 11/1

Pure Carbon

Ffos Las 4:12 · backed

5/2 to 13/8 now 15/8

Backed: share of the market up 15% or more since the morning, non-runners allowed for. A drift is shown only for a race’s morning favourite (the shortest morning price) that has lost 20% or more of its share — 132 movers in 22 races so far · as at 15:45 UK time

All of today's movers

Standout prices

No runner’s top price stands 25% or more clear of the general price right now — as at 15:45 UK time.

Run today

Fame And Fun

Ffos Las 3:37 · stood out at 14/1 (generally 11/1) · 28/1 before the off, no longer a standout · result to come

Galway Reel

Ffos Las 3:37 · stood out at 11/8 (generally 4/5) · 10/11 before the off, no longer a standout · result to come

Impatient

Ffos Las 3:37 · stood out at 10/1 (generally 15/2) · 7/1 before the off, no longer a standout · result to come

Of the 44 standouts that have run today, 6 won; the top price we listed beat the starting price for 27 of the 44 with a starting price. 49 had stopped standing out by the off; 10 results to come.

Compare odds

What a bet costs, and how the favourite fares, since 2005

What stands out today

Today’s card read against our archive by fixed rules. The evidence is ours, the decision is yours.

Proven on today’s going

Centara (Ffos Las 4:12) has won 5 of its 11 runs on good in our archive; the official going today is Good.

4/1 this morning

Pure Carbon Ffos Las 4:12 5/2 this morning
Letterston Lily Sandown 12:40 4th of 6 · SP 100/30 · 7/2 this morning
White Noise Sandown 1:40 4th of 8 · SP 5/2 · 2/1 this morning

9 runners today meet this rule, 2 still to run. Of the 6 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 482 ran, 57 won.

Every runner on this rule

Back from a break, with the yard’s record

Elusive Moon (Naas 3:48) returns after 62 days off; trainer Liz Doyle’s runners back from a break of 60 days or more have won 48 of 568 (8.5%) since 2008.

66/1 this morning

Fiery Robin Naas 3:48 66/1 this morning
Kells House Naas 3:48 28/1 this morning
Lavender Berry Naas 3:48 25/1 this morning

70 runners today meet this rule, 6 still to run. Of the 60 that have run, 9 won.

Last 7 days: 597 ran, 64 won, 9 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Off a winning mark, down in class

St Pancras (Sandown 2:15) runs off 124, 6 lb below the 130 it won off at Stratford in March 2025, and drops in class today.

6th of 7 · SP 11/1 · 11/1 this morning

1 runner today met this rule. Of the 1 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 71 ran, 2 won.

Every runner on this rule

Handicap debut

Limerick Lass (Sandown 1:40) runs in its first handicap in our archive, off 113, after 5 runs.

Pulled up · SP 11/4 · 5/1 this morning

Queen's Theatre Sandown 1:40 6th of 8 · SP 16/1 · 7/1 this morning
Le Moulin Rouge Naas 2:04 Won · SP 11/2 · 12/1 this morning
Mister Pessimistic Naas 2:04 6th of 20 · SP 6/1 · 15/2 this morning

8 runners today met this rule. Of the 8 that have run, 2 won.

Last 7 days: 119 ran, 6 won, 1 result not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Back to its winning trip

Koori Star (Naas 12:00) is back to 2m1f to 2m4f, the trip of its last jumps win (Sligo, 11 Jun 2024); its last run was over over 3m.

7th of 9 · SP 7/1 · 17/2 this morning

Shellrunforbriggs Naas 12:00 Won · SP 15/8 · 4/1 this morning
Withabitofluk Naas 12:00 5th of 9 · SP 20/1 · 9/1 this morning
Tune In A Box Sandown 12:40 Won · SP 100/30 · 5/2 this morning

25 runners today met this rule. Of the 23 that have run, 4 won.

Last 7 days: 218 ran, 26 won, 2 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

All 10 rules met today, every runner

What stands out today: every rule · On today’s angle pages: First-time headgear (10) · Off a winning mark (9)

Built by fixed rules from today’s card and our archive, not by anyone’s opinion; a rule that is not met prints nothing. As at 15:29 UK time.

Today’s conditions, measured

The ground, the time of year and the size of the fields, read against every British and Irish race since 2005.

Soft ground today

Today: Ffos Las (Soft).

The jumps favourite on soft: won 34.4% and placed 61.4% of 30,159 runs, fair A/E 1.10; on good it won 33.8%. Jumps races on soft won at 10/1 or longer: 17.1% of 27,865 races; on good, 16.1%.
A favourite at 3/1 or longer on soft (its fair price, the margin removed): won 20.8% of 20,689 runs, fair A/E 1.11.

Won on this ground before: 6 runners at these meetings

Centara (Ffos Las 4:12) has won 5 of its 11 runs on good in our archive; the official going today is Good.
Pure Carbon (Ffos Las 4:12) has won 2 of its 9 runs on good in our archive; the official going today is Good.
Clondaw Royale (Ffos Las 1:52) has won 3 of its 8 runs on soft in our archive; the official going today is Soft.

And 3 more: every runner proven on today's going

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

The favourite by going

The autumn changeover

15 October to 15 November, when the flat and jumps seasons overlap. This year so far (15 October to 7 November), against the same weeks in every year since 2005:

The flat favourite: so far 525 runs, 165 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 29.8% and placed 59.9% of 12,877 runs, fair A/E 1.09; May to September, 31.6%.
The jumps favourite: so far 461 runs, 165 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 35.0% and placed 61.5% of 13,246 runs, fair A/E 1.10; May to September, 33.0%.
Races won at 10/1 or longer in these weeks since 2005: flat 21.6% of 11,761 races (May to September 18.0%); jumps 15.3% of 12,202 races (May to September 17.1%).
The jumps favourite off 150 days or more in these weeks: won 36.8% and placed 62.0% of 4,538 runs, fair A/E 1.10; one that raced within 60 days won 34.2%.

On the record: “Racing gets hard to read around the autumn changeover” — The favourite in the autumn changeover window wins as often as in summer in both codes: the changeover is a story, not a season.

On the record: “A jumps horse needs the run after its summer break” — "Needs the run" is not in the numbers. The autumn jumps favourite off a summer break wins as often as one that raced within the last two months — the yards that send a fresh favourite out send it fit.

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

The favourite by season

Big fields today

2 races today have 16 or more runners: Naas 3:48 (17 runners) and Naas 2:04 (20 runners).

The favourite in a field of 16 or more: won 24.1% and placed 55.0% of 23,510 runs, fair A/E 1.22.
The second favourite: won 14.9% and placed 44.8% of 22,277 runs, fair A/E 1.16.
The standard each-way terms: Naas 3:48: 3 places at 1/5 the odds (16 or more runners, not a handicap); Naas 2:04: 4 places at 1/4 the odds (a handicap of 16 or more runners). "Placed" in the figures above means finishing in the places the standard terms pay.
The top weight in a handicap of 14 or more: won 8.3% of 35,209 runs, fair A/E 1.03; the bottom weight won 4.3% of 34,077 runs, fair A/E 0.97.

On the record: “Top weight can't win a big handicap” — The top weight is the horse to fear, not to dismiss.

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 7 November 2026. Fields as declared, non-runners out, at 15:45 UK time.

The each-way table

Fair A/E: winners divided by the chances the starting prices gave them, the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare rows with rows. Fair A/E explained

What sits behind every number

Our own archive, counted nightly.

313,644races since 2005

3,080,249runs recorded

276,185horse profiles

GB · IRE · FRracing covered

Counts as at 8 November 2026, 03:40 UK time, from our own archive.

Kickthebookies is the analytical layer of racing: the stats, signals and records that help you understand a race, with the sample size and date on every figure. We show our working and grade ourselves in public. The call is always yours.

How KTB works · Horses A–Z · Trainers · Jockeys · Racecourses · Fair A/E explained

The archive, measured

The questions punters argue about, answered from every British and Irish race since 2005 and rebuilt every night.

Racing myths, measured

Does the jolly win more when a race falls apart? Is heavy going a lottery? Are the old boys still worth backing? Each belief checked against the record, with a verdict decided by a rule, not a writer.

See the verdicts

The price of a bet

What the bookmakers’ margin costs you, year by year and field by field; how often the favourite wins by field size, season and going; and the each-way table — how often every market position places.

See the market

The longest shots: every 50/1+ winner Open data: the facts as CSV and JSON

Three figures of our own

Each built from our archive and explained on its own page.

KTB Fit

How well does it suit this race, today?

A 0–100 figure for how well a horse fits the race it is about to run, built from form and connections and frozen overnight. In each race it scores, the top-ranked runner is published as the KTB Selection and graded in public afterwards, win or lose.

How KTB Fit works Today’s selections The full record

KTB Rating

How good is it?

The level a horse has been running to: an average of up to its last six runs, the latest counting most.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Rating works How the top-rated ran

KTB Speed

How fast is it?

A horse's best figure from up to its last three reliably timed runs.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Speed works How the fastest ran

On results and profiles, the letter beside a figure (A, B or C) grades how firmly it could be measured, not how good the run was: A is the firmest. Rating grades · Speed grades

Top on our figures: how they ran

In every British and Irish race we score, the horse top on KTB Rating and the fastest on KTB Speed before the off, and how each one ran. Past figures are free.

Top-rated on KTB Rating

8 of 37 won Saturday 7 November

21.6% won · 4 did not run · 1 race void · no pick in 5 races

Duffry Trixs (IRE) Uttoxeter10/1
Nells Son (GB) Kelso6/1
Coul Angel (IRE) Doncaster11/4
Huntin Boots (IRE) Gowran Park2/1

And 4 more winners.

Since 5 October 1,128 ran, 280 won (24.8%) · fair A/E 1.04 over 1,126 priced · settled to 7 November

Fastest on KTB Speed

8 of 41 won Saturday 7 November

19.5% won · 1 did not run · 1 race void · no pick in 4 races

It Just Takes Time (IRE) Doncaster16/1
Taurus Bay (IRE) Aintree13/2
Amberelli (GB) Uttoxeter4/1
Cadell (IRE) Kelso5/2

And 4 more winners.

Since 5 October 1,164 ran, 208 won (17.9%) · fair A/E 1.06 over 1,163 priced · settled to 7 November

Figures as they stood before the off, settled each night against the result. A tie at the top, or fewer than two runners with a figure, is no pick. Fair A/E = winners ÷ the winning chances implied by the starting prices with the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare picks with picks, not with 1. How KTB Rating works · How KTB Speed works · Fair A/E explained

Today’s results

As each official result is published.

Sunday 8 November 2026 Updated as races finish

Compare today’s odds →

3:25Sandown Class 4 · 2m4f · Good to soft · 8 ran

Racing, with the evidence.

The market today

What stands out today

Today’s conditions, measured

What sits behind every number

The archive, measured

Three figures of our own

KTB FitKTBFitMatched to the race

KTB RatingKTBRatingBuilt from the form

KTB SpeedKTBSpeedBuilt from the clock

Top on our figures: how they ran

Today’s results

KTB Fit

KTB Rating

KTB Speed