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Monday 2 November

Racing, with the evidence.

Form, our own figures and the bookmakers’ prices, read against 313,304 races since 2005.

Or a date, like 3 jun 2019.

Today’s meetings

4 meetings · 30 races · next off 1:00 Plumpton (at 1:00)

Plumpton GB Good, good to soft in places 7 races · 2 NR first 1:00 Southwell GB Good to soft, good in places 6 races · 2 NR first 1:15 Wolverhampton (AW) GB Standard 9 races · 5 NR first 4:30 Chelmsford (AW) GB Standard 8 races · 1 NR first 4:45
All of today's racecards

The market today

Which horses are being backed since the morning, and where one bookmaker stands clear.

Market movers

Obsidian Dream

Chelmsford (AW) 7:45 · backed

80/1 to 25/1

Hell of An Angel

Chelmsford (AW) 5:45 · backed

25/1 to 9/1

Serious Look

Wolverhampton (AW) 4:30 · backed

16/1† to 13/2 now 7/1

Join The Kew

Southwell 2:15 · backed

25/1 to 11/1

Dartmouth Rose

Southwell 3:15 · morning favourite, drifting

11/4 to 5/1

Just In A Bit

Southwell 1:15 · morning favourite, drifting

11/4 to 9/2

Backed: share of the market up 15% or more since the morning, non-runners allowed for. A drift is shown only for a race’s morning favourite (the shortest morning price) that has lost 20% or more of its share — 193 movers in 30 races so far · as at 10:55 UK time

All of today's movers

Standout prices

Medaali +42% vs general

Wolverhampton (AW) 6:30 · top price 17/2 · generally 6/1 · standout since 10:34

William Hill 17/2

Hell of An Angel +33% vs general

Chelmsford (AW) 5:45 · top price 12/1 · generally 9/1 · standout since 10:24

Bet365 12/1

Fresh Fade +27% vs general

Chelmsford (AW) 7:45 · top price 14/1 · generally 11/1 · standout since 10:06

Spreadex 14/1

A top price 25% or more clear of the general price (the middle price across the bookmakers we track), 15/1 or shorter, still to run — 9 runners as at 10:55 UK time. Prices change — check on the bookmaker’s site. 18+.

All standout prices and the record

What a bet costs, and how the favourite fares, since 2005

What stands out today

Today’s card read against our archive by fixed rules. The evidence is ours, the decision is yours.

Jockey change

Kalkaroo (Southwell 1:45) — Gavin Sheehan takes over from Ciaran Gethings (seen 09:41): 7 wins from 42 rides for the yard, last 365 days.

3/1 this morning

1 runner today meets this rule.

Last 7 days: 41 ran, 4 won, 1 result not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Won last time, same mark

Inca (Southwell 3:45) won last time out and runs off the same mark today, 80.

15/8 this morning

1 runner today meets this rule.

Last 7 days: 22 ran, 7 won — a small sample.

Every runner on this rule

Off a winning mark, down in class

Lord Accord (Plumpton 3:00) runs off 123, the mark it won off at Fontwell in October 2025, and drops in class today.

9/1 this morning

10 runners today meet this rule.

Last 7 days: 65 ran, 10 won, 2 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Handicap debut

Kapability (Plumpton 2:00) runs in its first handicap in our archive, off 100, after 6 runs.

7/1 this morning

13 runners today meet this rule.

Last 7 days: 106 ran, 7 won, 10 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Back to its winning trip

Synchronist (Southwell 1:45) is back to 1m5f to 2m, the trip of its last jumps win (Plumpton, 21 Apr 2025); its last run was over 2m1f to 2m4f.

4/1 this morning

21 runners today meet this rule.

Last 7 days: 207 ran, 13 won, 27 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule
Extra places in 9 races still to runTerms →

All 12 rules met today, every runner

What stands out today: every rule · On today’s angle pages: First-time headgear (14) · Off a winning mark (36)

Built by fixed rules from today’s card and our archive, not by anyone’s opinion; a rule that is not met prints nothing. As at 10:49 UK time.

Today’s conditions, measured

The ground, the time of year and the size of the fields, read against every British and Irish race since 2005.

The autumn changeover

15 October to 15 November, when the flat and jumps seasons overlap. This year so far (15 October to 1 November), against the same weeks in every year since 2005:

  • The flat favourite: so far 408 runs, 126 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 29.8% and placed 59.9% of 12,760 runs, fair A/E 1.09; May to September, 31.6%.
  • The jumps favourite: so far 318 runs, 114 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 35.0% and placed 61.5% of 13,103 runs, fair A/E 1.10; May to September, 33.0%.
  • Races won at 10/1 or longer in these weeks since 2005: flat 21.6% of 11,652 races (May to September 18.0%); jumps 15.3% of 12,071 races (May to September 17.1%).
  • The jumps favourite off 150 days or more in these weeks: won 36.9% and placed 62.0% of 4,492 runs, fair A/E 1.10; one that raced within 60 days won 34.2%.

On the record: “Racing gets hard to read around the autumn changeover” — The favourite in the autumn changeover window wins as often as in summer in both codes: the changeover is a story, not a season.

On the record: “A jumps horse needs the run after its summer break” — "Needs the run" is not in the numbers. The autumn jumps favourite off a summer break wins as often as one that raced within the last two months — the yards that send a fresh favourite out send it fit.

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 1 November 2026.

The favourite by season

Fair A/E: winners divided by the chances the starting prices gave them, the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare rows with rows. Fair A/E explained

What sits behind every number

Our own archive, counted nightly.

313,304races since 2005
3,076,852runs recorded
275,788horse profiles
GB · IRE · FRracing covered

Counts as at 2 November 2026, 03:40 UK time, from our own archive.

Kickthebookies is the analytical layer of racing: the stats, signals and records that help you understand a race, with the sample size and date on every figure. We show our working and grade ourselves in public. The call is always yours.

How KTB works · Horses A–Z · Trainers · Jockeys · Racecourses · Fair A/E explained

The archive, measured

The questions punters argue about, answered from every British and Irish race since 2005 and rebuilt every night.

Racing myths, measured

Does the jolly win more when a race falls apart? Is heavy going a lottery? Are the old boys still worth backing? Each belief checked against the record, with a verdict decided by a rule, not a writer.

See the verdicts

The price of a bet

What the bookmakers’ margin costs you, year by year and field by field; how often the favourite wins by field size, season and going; and the each-way table — how often every market position places.

See the market

The longest shots: every 50/1+ winner Open data: the facts as CSV and JSON

Three figures of our own

Each built from our archive and explained on its own page.

KTB Fit

How well does it suit this race, today?

A 0–100 figure for how well a horse fits the race it is about to run, built from form and connections and frozen overnight. In each race it scores, the top-ranked runner is published as the KTB Selection and graded in public afterwards, win or lose.

How KTB Fit works Today’s selections The full record

KTB Rating

How good is it?

The level a horse has been running to: an average of up to its last six runs, the latest counting most.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Rating works How the top-rated ran

KTB Speed

How fast is it?

A horse's best figure from up to its last three reliably timed runs.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Speed works How the fastest ran

On results and profiles, the letter beside a figure (A, B or C) grades how firmly it could be measured, not how good the run was: A is the firmest. Rating grades · Speed grades

Top on our figures: how they ran

In every British and Irish race we score, the horse top on KTB Rating and the fastest on KTB Speed before the off, and how each one ran. Past figures are free.

Top-rated on KTB Rating

8 of 33 won Sunday 1 November

24.2% won · no pick in 3 races

And 4 more winners.

Since 5 October 933 ran, 229 won (24.5%) · fair A/E 1.01 over 931 priced · settled to 1 November

Fastest on KTB Speed

7 of 34 won Sunday 1 November

20.6% won · no pick in 2 races

And 3 more winners.

Since 5 October 961 ran, 171 won (17.8%) · fair A/E 1.07 over 960 priced · settled to 1 November

Figures as they stood before the off, settled each night against the result. A tie at the top, or fewer than two runners with a figure, is no pick. Fair A/E = winners ÷ the winning chances implied by the starting prices with the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare picks with picks, not with 1. How KTB Rating works · How KTB Speed works · Fair A/E explained

Today’s results

As each official result is published.

Monday 2 November 2026 Updated as races finish

Compare today’s odds →

No UK or Irish results yet — check back after the first race.

Fast results — every race today All results