Backed: share of the market up 15% or more since the morning, non-runners allowed for. A drift is shown only for a race’s morning favourite (the shortest morning price) that has lost 20% or more of its share — 109 movers in 20 races so far · as at 15:50 UK time

All of today's movers

Standout prices

No runner’s top price stands 25% or more clear of the general price right now — as at 15:50 UK time.

Run today

D'Jo Dela Barriere

Lingfield 3:50 · stood out at 15/2 (generally 6/1) · result to come

Rebel Tribesman

Lingfield 3:50 · stood out at 5/4 (generally Evs) · result to come

Spike Jones

Lingfield 3:50 · stood out at 4/1 (generally 3/1) · result to come

Of the 49 standouts that have run today, 8 won; the top price we listed beat the starting price for 28 of the 49 with a starting price. 44 had stopped standing out by the off; 6 results to come; 2 became non-runners.

Compare odds

What a bet costs, and how the favourite fares, since 2005

What stands out today

Today’s card read against our archive by fixed rules. The evidence is ours, the decision is yours.

Back from a break, with the yard’s record

Aint Over Yet (Fairyhouse 4:00) returns after 279 days off; trainer Nigel Thomas Slevin’s runners back from a break of 60 days or more have won 7 of 154 (4.5%) since 2008.

125/1 this morning

Bellahill Fairyhouse 4:00 7/2 this morning
Cool As A Cat Fairyhouse 1:00 9th of 10 · SP 22/1 · 14/1 this morning
Jukebox Jolene Fairyhouse 1:00 5th of 10 · SP 14/1 · 28/1 this morning

33 runners today meet this rule, 2 still to run. Of the 24 that have run, 3 won.

Last 7 days: 537 ran, 65 won, 10 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Won last time, same mark

Basilette (Lingfield 2:20) won last time out and runs off the same mark today, 102.

Pulled up · SP 9/1 · 6/1 this morning

Cayman Dancer Huntingdon 3:40 result to come · 13/2 this morning

2 runners today met this rule. Of the 1 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 17 ran, 3 won, 1 result not stored — a small sample.

Every runner on this rule

Off a winning mark, down in class

Onemorefortheroad (Huntingdon 1:10) runs off 118, 8 lb below the 126 it won off at Kempton in April 2024, and drops in class today.

5th of 5 · SP 13/2 · 10/3 this morning

Blackwater Lilly Huntingdon 3:10 3rd of 6 · SP 7/2 · 7/2 this morning

2 runners today met this rule. Of the 2 that have run, 0 won.

Last 7 days: 62 ran, 2 won.

Every runner on this rule

Handicap debut

Fuusland (Fairyhouse 1:30) runs in its first handicap in our archive, off 101, after 5 runs.

3rd of 11 · SP 17/2 · 9/2 this morning

Siege Of Carthage Fairyhouse 1:30 9th of 11 · SP 12/1 · 18/1 this morning
Well Bud Fairyhouse 1:30 2nd of 11 · SP 4/1 · 15/2 this morning
Kamille Au Kanada Lingfield 2:20 Won · SP 10/11 · 6/5 this morning

8 runners today met this rule. Of the 4 that have run, 1 won.

Last 7 days: 108 ran, 8 won, 2 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

Back to its winning trip

The Friday Man (Fairyhouse 1:30) is back to 2m5f to 3m, the trip of its last jumps win (Tramore, 18 Sep 2024); its last run was over 2m1f to 2m4f.

11th of 11 · SP 66/1 · 40/1 this morning

U Asking Me Huntingdon 1:40 5th of 5 · SP 85/40 · 7/1 this morning
Kainsbourg Fairyhouse 2:00 4th of 9 · SP 22/1 · 28/1 this morning
Seven Stars Huntingdon 2:10 2nd of 7 · SP 2/5 · 4/7 this morning

17 runners today met this rule. Of the 10 that have run, 2 won.

Last 7 days: 202 ran, 30 won, 2 results not stored.

Every runner on this rule

All 10 rules met today, every runner

What stands out today: every rule · On today’s angle pages: First-time headgear (3) · Off a winning mark (19)

Built by fixed rules from today’s card and our archive, not by anyone’s opinion; a rule that is not met prints nothing. As at 15:49 UK time.

Today’s conditions, measured

The ground, the time of year and the size of the fields, read against every British and Irish race since 2005.

The autumn changeover

15 October to 15 November, when the flat and jumps seasons overlap. This year so far (15 October to 9 November), against the same weeks in every year since 2005:

The flat favourite: so far 525 runs, 165 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 29.8% and placed 59.9% of 12,877 runs, fair A/E 1.09; May to September, 31.6%.
The jumps favourite: so far 507 runs, 187 won (too few yet for a rate); in these weeks since 2005 it won 35.0% and placed 61.5% of 13,292 runs, fair A/E 1.10; May to September, 33.0%.
Races won at 10/1 or longer in these weeks since 2005: flat 21.6% of 11,761 races (May to September 18.0%); jumps 15.3% of 12,246 races (May to September 17.1%).
The jumps favourite off 150 days or more in these weeks: won 36.9% and placed 61.9% of 4,554 runs, fair A/E 1.10; one that raced within 60 days won 34.2%.

On the record: “Racing gets hard to read around the autumn changeover” — The favourite in the autumn changeover window wins as often as in summer in both codes: the changeover is a story, not a season.

On the record: “A jumps horse needs the run after its summer break” — "Needs the run" is not in the numbers. The autumn jumps favourite off a summer break wins as often as one that raced within the last two months — the yards that send a fresh favourite out send it fit.

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 9 November 2026.

The favourite by season

Big fields today

1 race today has 16 or more runners: Fairyhouse 12:30 (16 runners).

The favourite in a field of 16 or more: won 24.1% and placed 55.0% of 23,513 runs, fair A/E 1.22.
The second favourite: won 14.9% and placed 44.8% of 22,280 runs, fair A/E 1.16.
The standard each-way terms: Fairyhouse 12:30: 3 places at 1/5 the odds (16 or more runners, not a handicap). "Placed" in the figures above means finishing in the places the standard terms pay.

Every GB and Irish race from 2 January 2005 to 9 November 2026. Fields as declared, non-runners out, at 15:50 UK time.

The each-way table

Fair A/E: winners divided by the chances the starting prices gave them, the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare rows with rows. Fair A/E explained

What sits behind every number

Our own archive, counted nightly.

313,720races since 2005

3,080,995runs recorded

276,208horse profiles

GB · IRE · FRracing covered

Counts as at 10 November 2026, 03:40 UK time, from our own archive.

Kickthebookies is the analytical layer of racing: the stats, signals and records that help you understand a race, with the sample size and date on every figure. We show our working and grade ourselves in public. The call is always yours.

How KTB works · Horses A–Z · Trainers · Jockeys · Racecourses · Fair A/E explained

The archive, measured

The questions punters argue about, answered from every British and Irish race since 2005 and rebuilt every night.

Racing myths, measured

Does the jolly win more when a race falls apart? Is heavy going a lottery? Are the old boys still worth backing? Each belief checked against the record, with a verdict decided by a rule, not a writer.

See the verdicts

The price of a bet

What the bookmakers’ margin costs you, year by year and field by field; how often the favourite wins by field size, season and going; and the each-way table — how often every market position places.

See the market

The longest shots: every 50/1+ winner Open data: the facts as CSV and JSON

Three figures of our own

Each built from our archive and explained on its own page.

KTB Fit

How well does it suit this race, today?

A 0–100 figure for how well a horse fits the race it is about to run, built from form and connections and frozen overnight. In each race it scores, the top-ranked runner is published as the KTB Selection and graded in public afterwards, win or lose.

How KTB Fit works Today’s selections The full record

KTB Rating

How good is it?

The level a horse has been running to: an average of up to its last six runs, the latest counting most.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Rating works How the top-rated ran

KTB Speed

How fast is it?

A horse's best figure from up to its last three reliably timed runs.

Free on every result and horse profile.

How KTB Speed works How the fastest ran

On results and profiles, the letter beside a figure (A, B or C) grades how firmly it could be measured, not how good the run was: A is the firmest. Rating grades · Speed grades

Top on our figures: how they ran

In every British and Irish race we score, the horse top on KTB Rating and the fastest on KTB Speed before the off, and how each one ran. Past figures are free.

Top-rated on KTB Rating

4 of 18 won Monday 9 November

22.2% won · no pick in 4 races

Hello Judge (GB) Carlisle5/4
Eastern Fire (IRE) Stratford8/15
Emid'io Pepe (FR) Stratford8/15
Cristal D'estruval (IRE) Carlisle2/5

Since 5 October 1,164 ran, 290 won (24.9%) · fair A/E 1.03 over 1,162 priced · settled to 9 November

Fastest on KTB Speed

5 of 20 won Monday 9 November

25.0% won · 1 did not run · no pick in 1 race

Dedudefromhouston (IRE) Punchestown14/1
Rattledelatch (IRE) Punchestown10/3
Kientzheim (FR) Carlisle13/8
Lune Brillante (IRE) Stratford6/4

And 1 more winner.

Since 5 October 1,205 ran, 218 won (18.1%) · fair A/E 1.06 over 1,204 priced · settled to 9 November

Figures as they stood before the off, settled each night against the result. A tie at the top, or fewer than two runners with a figure, is no pick. Fair A/E = winners ÷ the winning chances implied by the starting prices with the bookmakers’ margin removed. Favourites tend to run above 1 and long shots below it (the favourite–longshot bias), so compare picks with picks, not with 1. How KTB Rating works · How KTB Speed works · Fair A/E explained

Today’s results

As each official result is published.

Tuesday 10 November 2026 Updated as races finish

Compare today’s odds →

3:20Lingfield Class 5 · 2m7f · Good · 5 ran

Racing, with the evidence.

The market today

What stands out today

Today’s conditions, measured

What sits behind every number

The archive, measured

Three figures of our own

KTB FitKTBFitMatched to the race

KTB RatingKTBRatingBuilt from the form

KTB SpeedKTBSpeedBuilt from the clock

Top on our figures: how they ran

Today’s results

KTB Fit

KTB Rating

KTB Speed