Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 26 November 2025
This one is huge for the race to the top eight. Atletico are rock solid again and love these big European nights, while Inter arrive with the best defensive record in Serie A and a real threat on the break. Diego Simeone will line up in his trademark 4-4-2, compact and ready to pounce on transitions. Inter stick with the 3-5-2 that’s brought so much success, controlling the middle and stretching teams wide. Injury news is light —nothing to report at this stage.
- Defensive masterclass incoming: Atletico concede just 0.50 goals per game, Inter 0.40 — both built on organisation and aggression without the ball.
- Low-scoring specialists: Atletico see only 45% of games over 2.5, Inter 50% — this has 0-0 or 1-0 written all over it.
- Set-piece danger: Atletico score 0.4 from dead balls and Inter concede just 0.1 — one corner or free-kick could decide everything.
Atletico last 10: 9 wins, 1 draw — 18 goals scored, 5 conceded with 6 clean sheets. Only a draw at Villarreal stops a perfect ten.
Inter last 10: 9 wins, 1 loss — 19 goals scored, 4 conceded with 7 clean sheets. That derby defeat the only blemish in an otherwise ruthless run.
Atletico at home (last 5): 100% win rate, averaging 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded, 4 clean sheets. The Wanda is a fortress again.
Inter away (last 5): 100% win rate, averaging 2.0 scored and 0.4 conceded, 4 clean sheets. They travel like champions.
Goals Against (per game)
Two of the stingiest defences in Europe — goals will be like gold dust.
xG Against (per game)
Inter create slightly more and concede less on underlying numbers — but Atletico at home is a different beast.
They’ve met five times in Europe. Most recent was last season’s last-16: Atletico won 2-1 at home (3-2 pens) after Inter took the first leg 1-0. Before that, mixed results — Inter won both in 2010 Europa League, Atletico took both in 2019 group stage. Tight, cagey affairs as expected.
Two elite defences, two managers who love a 0-0 when it matters. The Wanda crowd will be electric, but Inter are the form side and travel brilliantly. We see one goal settling it — probably late.
Prediction: 0-1 Inter
Main pick: Under 2.5 Goals — two of the best defences in Europe, both love low-scoring games.
Value angle: Inter Draw No Bet — best defensive record in Serie A and flying form.
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Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan?
We lean Inter — best defence in Italy and flying form.
What is the best bet in the Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan game?
Under 2.5 Goals is the standout; Inter Draw No Bet offers value.
What time does Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan kick off in the UK?
20:00 UK time on Wednesday 26 November 2025.
Where is Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan being played?
Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan?
Atletico won last season’s last-16 on pens after 2-1 home; Inter took first leg 1-0.
Who has the better form going into Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan?
Inter shade it — 9 wins in last 10 vs Atletico’s 9W-1D.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan?
0-1 Inter.
Who has the best xG Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan?
Inter create more (1.80 vs 1.60) and concede fewer quality chances (0.70 vs 0.90).
Will BTTS in the Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan game?
Model says just 37% chance — expect a clean sheet somewhere.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan game?
Strong lean to Under — two elite defences, low-scoring trends.