Benfica vs Bayer Leverkusen | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 5 November 2025
Benfica are tough to break down in a compact 4-2-3-1, pressing in midfield and dangerous from set-pieces. Leverkusen play a high-tempo 3-4-2-1, dominating possession and stretching teams wide. No major injury worries in the last few days. This is a clash of two in-form sides battling for points.
- Ball dominance: Leverkusen average 65% possession and build through quick switches; Benfica sit at 60% with vertical passes.
- Set-piece duel: Both score 0.5–0.6 per game from dead balls and concede 0.2 — restarts will decide tight moments.
- Shot pressure: Leverkusen fire 18.0 shots (7.0 on target); Benfica manage 15.5 (6.0 on target) — the visitors edge volume.
Benfica last 10: 7–2–1, goals 19 for / 5 against, clean sheets 6. They’ve been watertight but dropped points in big league games.
Leverkusen last 10: 8–2–0, goals 26 for / 6 against, clean sheets 7. Unbeaten in ages, scoring for fun and rock solid at the back.
Leverkusen are a goal machine — they’ll fancy breaching Benfica’s defence.
Both stingy — this could be low-scoring unless set-pieces open it up.
Leverkusen keep more shutouts — they’ll back themselves to silence the home attack.
Leverkusen will boss the ball — Benfica will look to hit on the break.
Total corners likely 13+ — Leverkusen’s pressure could rack them up.
A physical midfield scrap could see over 4.5 cards.
Leverkusen pepper the goal — they’ll test Benfica’s keeper.
Leverkusen create and restrict better chances — a clear quality gap.
Leverkusen edge dead balls — one good delivery could swing it.
Leverkusen are slicker on the ball; Benfica win more duels — a tight midfield.
Leverkusen strike early — they’ll look to grab control before the break.
Leverkusen games go over more — their attack could open the scoring floodgates.
Leverkusen are picking up points relentlessly — form favours the visitors.
Benfica at home (last 10): 90% win rate, avg 2.2 scored / 0.4 conceded, 7 clean sheets. The Luz is a fortress.
Leverkusen away (last 10): 80% win rate, avg 2.5 scored / 0.7 conceded, 6 clean sheets. They travel with menace and rarely slip.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against (per game)
Leverkusen generate 2.2 xG per game and restrict to 0.8 xGA; Benfica post 1.8 / 0.9. The Germans hold a clear chance-quality edge.
Leverkusen dominated recent meetings: 2-0 in Lisbon and 1-0 in Germany in the 2024 Europa League semis (3-0 agg). Earlier ties were tighter — Benfica won 2-1 at home in 2019, with draws and narrow wins elsewhere. Leverkusen have the upper hand lately.
Benfica are a different beast at the Luz and love a set-piece, but Leverkusen’s relentless attack, possession control and defensive steel should overpower them. The hosts will battle, but the visitors have too much quality.
Prediction: 1–3 away win.
Main pick: Leverkusen to Win — superior xG, unbeaten run, and recent H2H dominance.
Value angle: Over 2.5 Goals — Leverkusen hit it in 50% of games, their attack should open the door.
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Who will win Benfica vs Leverkusen?
We back Leverkusen away. Our call is a 1–3 win.
What is the best bet in the Benfica vs Leverkusen game?
Leverkusen to Win is the main pick; Over 2.5 Goals offers value.
What time does Benfica vs Leverkusen kick off in the UK?
Wednesday, 5 November 2025 at 20:00 GMT (subject to TV schedule).
Where is Benfica vs Leverkusen being played?
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Benfica and Leverkusen?
Leverkusen won both legs of 2024 Europa League SF (2-0, 1-0); earlier ties mixed.
Who has the better form going into Benfica vs Leverkusen?
Benfica 7–2–1, Leverkusen 8–2–0 in last 10 — edge to Leverkusen.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Benfica vs Leverkusen?
1–3 to Leverkusen.
Who has the best xG Benfica vs Leverkusen?
Leverkusen lead: 2.2 for / 0.8 against vs Benfica 1.8 / 0.9.
Will BTTS in the Benfica vs Leverkusen game?
Model says 38% chance.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Benfica vs Leverkusen game?
Leaning Over 2.5 — Leverkusen hit it in 50% of games.