Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 25 November 2025
Both sides come into this with something to prove — Dortmund want to bounce back from a mixed start in Europe, while Villarreal are riding high domestically and fancy their chances of a result. Nuri Şahin has Dortmund pressing high in a 4-2-3-1, looking to turn the screw with pace on the break. Marcelino keeps Villarreal compact in a 4-4-2, happy to cede possession and hit teams on the counter. Injury news is light — Dortmund are without Nico Schlotterbeck long-term but otherwise strong; Villarreal miss Gerard Moreno and have a doubt over Ayoze Pérez.
- Possession split: Dortmund average 55% and love controlling the middle third; Villarreal sit at 45% and are masters at soaking pressure before springing forward.
- Counter threat: Villarreal create 1.75 xG per game despite less of the ball, while Dortmund face 1.30 xGA — transitions could be massive.
- Second-half goals: Both teams score over 55% of their goals after the break, so expect a slow burner that opens up later.
Dortmund last 10: 5 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat — 18 goals scored, 11 conceded and 3 clean sheets. They’ve been solid at home but draws are creeping in.
Villarreal last 10: 9 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat — 22 goals scored, 11 conceded with 4 clean sheets. Only the Barcelona loss spoils a near-perfect run.
Villarreal are banging them in — proper goal machine right now.
Identical defensive records — neither side is easy to break down.
Dortmund at home (last 5): 80% win rate, averaging 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded, 3 clean sheets. The Yellow Wall does its job.
Villarreal away (last 5): 80% win rate, 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded, 3 clean sheets. They travel brilliantly.
Goals Against (per game)
Villarreal shade the attack, defences are identical — goals look likely.
xG Against (per game)
Villarreal create more and face fewer high-quality chances — slight edge on the underlying numbers.
First ever competitive meeting between the two clubs — no past data to lean on, which only adds to the intrigue at a packed Signal Iduna Park.
Dortmund have the home advantage and the Yellow Wall, but Villarreal are in ridiculous form and travel superbly. Both defences are solid but both attacks click — we see goals and a share of the spoils.
Prediction: 2-2 draw
Main pick: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals — both sides score and concede regularly, and 55-60% of their games go over.
Value angle: Villarreal +0.5 (Asian Handicap) — they’ve won 80% of away games recently and look undervalued.
AK Bets are an excellent bookmaker. Join here and get up to £100 in free bets.
KickTheBookies gives you free match previews for every game — but our Premium Members get exclusive access to high confidence bets with suggested stakes. Join today for just £10/month with a 10-day free trial.
Gamble Responsibly – Support & Advice
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
We see a high-scoring draw — both teams in form and hard to separate.
What is the best bet in the Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal game?
BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals looks the standout; Villarreal +0.5 offers value.
What time does Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal kick off in the UK?
20:00 UK time on Tuesday 25 November 2025.
Where is Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal being played?
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal?
First ever meeting — no previous history.
Who has the better form going into Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Villarreal shade it with 9 wins in 10; Dortmund have drawn too many lately.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
2-2 draw.
Who has the best xG Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Villarreal edge creation (1.75 vs 1.49) and concede fewer quality chances.
Will BTTS in the Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal game?
Model gives it a strong 72% chance.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal game?
Strong lean to Over — both regularly involved in high-scoring games.