Juventus vs Dortmund | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 16th September 2025

Champions League nights hit Turin as Juventus face Borussia Dortmund on 16 September 2025. Juve have started Serie A perfectly (three wins from three, including a wild 4–3 over Inter on 13 Sep), while Dortmund look sharp in the Bundesliga with seven points from nine after a tidy 2–0 at Heidenheim. Both arrive confident; both look lively going forward.

The atmosphere at the Allianz Stadium should be bouncing with a big away following in yellow. On the pitch, Juventus have toggled between a 3-4-2-1 and a 3-5-2, wing-backs aggressive and service into Dusan Vlahović/Jonathan David. Dortmund are comfortable in a 4-2-3-1: double pivot for control, full-backs on the overlap, and plenty of pace wide from Karim Adeyemi with Serhou Guirassy as the penalty-box reference.

• Territory + transitions for Juve: averaging about 55% possession, 13.5 shots a game and 1.6 xG. They build patiently, then hit quick diagonals into Vlahović or the inside-left channel for Kenan Yıldız.
• Dortmund’s vertical lanes: around 58% possession, 1.7 xG and high over 2.5 rates. They funnel a lot of play to the flanks for Adeyemi before the cut-back to runners like Marcel Sabitzer.
• Late push likely: Juventus score roughly 60% of their goals after the break; Dortmund sit near 55%. Expect the final half-hour to decide it, especially from set plays where both sides carry a threat.

Juventus: Out/doubts — Francisco Conceição (muscle), Fabio Miretti (thigh), Juan Cabal (fitness), Mattia Perin (post-surgery). Andrea Cambiaso is back from suspension and should start at wing-back. Up top, Vlahović is the focal point with Jonathan David a real runner off him; Manuel Locatelli handles rhythm and second balls.

Borussia Dortmund: Out/doubts — Niklas Süle (calf), Nico Schlotterbeck (knee), Julien Duranville (shoulder), Fábio Silva (groin), Aaron Anselmino (out). Julian Brandt is a doubt after wrist surgery. Expect Guirassy to lead the line, with Adeyemi wide, and Sabitzer/Pascal Groß to stitch midfield together.

Juventus (last 10 competitive): 6W–4D–0L. Goals: 16 for, 9 against (1.60 scored / 0.90 conceded per game). Three clean sheets in the last five show a sturdier base; the flip side is they’ve been in a few tight draws when the final ball’s not there.

Dortmund (last 10 competitive): 8W–2D–0L. Goals: 25 for, 7 against (2.50 scored / 0.70 conceded per game). They’re scoring freely and defending cleaner than last spring; away from home they still chase the extra goal, which can open the back door.

Juventus: 2.33
Dortmund: 2.67

Juventus: 1.00
Dortmund: 1.00

Juventus: 67%
Dortmund: 67%

Juventus: 55%
Dortmund: 58%

Juventus: 5.5
Dortmund: 5.8

Juventus: 1.6
Dortmund: 1.7

Juventus: 1.1
Dortmund: 1.2

Juventus: 0.3
Dortmund: 0.4

Juventus: 0.2
Dortmund: 0.3

Juventus: 85%
Dortmund: 84%

Juventus: 13.5 (5.0 on target)
Dortmund: 12.0 (4.5 on target)

Juventus: 1.7
Dortmund: 1.9

Juventus: 20.0
Dortmund: 21.5

Juventus: 40% first half / 60% second half
Dortmund: 45% first half / 55% second half

Juventus: 33% under / 67% over (early 25/26)
Dortmund: 33% under / 67% over (early 25/26)

Juventus: 3.00
Dortmund: 2.33

Juventus at home (last 10): Only one defeat in that stretch and multiple clean sheets. They’re strong front-runners in Turin and generally better after the interval when the wing-backs pin teams back.

Dortmund away (last 10): Seven wins in their last ten on the road across comps. They almost always score; the trade-off is occasional space behind their full-backs when they go hunting for a second.

Juventus typically generate around 1.6 xG per match, with Dortmund a touch higher at ~1.7. Defensive profiles are similar (xGA ~1.1–1.2), so the expected chance gap is slim and could hinge on set pieces and finishing quality.

The recent record leans Juve. They won a friendly in Dortmund in August 2025 (2–1) and did the double in the 2015 Champions League round of 16 (2–1 in Turin, 3–0 in Dortmund). Dortmund’s big moment in the fixture is the 1997 Champions League Final (3–1 in Munich). Overall, history says it’s usually tight but Juventus have had the upper hand in the modern era.

Dusan Vlahović (Juventus): Leads the line with presence and timing. If Juve’s wide service is on point, he’ll get looks inside the box and at the back post.

Serhou Guirassy (Dortmund): If Dortmund are to score, it’ll likely be him.

Form guides both glow, but Juventus’ home structure plus Dortmund’s defensive injuries tip the needle. Expect phases where BVB look dangerous in transition, yet Juve’s control and set-piece edge should tell.

Prediction: Juventus 2–1 Borussia Dortmund

Main pick: Juventus to win — home advantage, sturdier back line, and recent head-to-head trend in their favour.

Value bet: Both Teams To Score — both sides average ~1.6–1.7 xG for and tend to come on strong after half-time; our BTTS confidence sits at 52%.