Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 26 Nov 2025

This one’s massive for Liverpool in the league phase – they’re scrabbling for points after a rough run, while PSV are cruising and could seal a strong position with a result here. Recent form suggests PSV might fancy their chances, but Anfield under the lights is always a tough ask. Expect a roaring home crowd lifting the Reds, with a decent PSV away following adding to the buzz.

Tactically, Liverpool under Arne Slot stick to a 4-2-3-1, focusing on controlled build-up and pressing high, but they’ve been leaky lately. PSV, managed by Peter Bosz, also go with a 4-2-3-1, pushing forward aggressively and transitioning quick – could lead to an end-to-end game if both commit.

On injuries, Liverpool are still without Alisson (doubtful), PSV are close to full strength.

Liverpool average 58.5% possession and like to build patiently, but they’ve been vulnerable to counters, conceding 1.8 goals per game lately. PSV match that ball share at 58.5% but ramp up the intensity with 18 shots per outing, often channeling attacks through wide areas for crosses.

Defensively, PSV sit tighter with 14 tackles and 9 interceptions per game, compared to Liverpool’s 13.4 and 7 – expect the visitors to disrupt and spring forward quick. Set pieces could be key too, with PSV netting 0.6 from them while Liverpool leak 0.75.

Liverpool’s last 10 have been tough: just three wins, no draws and seven losses, with 12 goals scored and 18 let in, plus only two clean sheets. They’ve been starting slow and relying on second-half pushes, with two-thirds of their goals coming after the break.

PSV are on fire over their last 10: eight wins, two draws, no defeats, banging in 30 goals while shipping just 11, and two shutouts. They’re balanced in timing, splitting goals evenly between halves, and look sharp all over the pitch.

PSV are clinical up top, netting three times a game on average, while Liverpool have struggled to find the net consistently.

Liverpool’s backline has been leaky, shipping nearly two a match, whereas PSV keep things tighter.

Both sides shut out opponents one in five games – not rock-solid, so chances for goals at both ends.

Around four bookings total – leaning over 3.5 in a competitive clash.

Expect 11-12 total – over 9.5 looks very likely.

Over 11 on target – over 9 should land comfortably.

Liverpool at Anfield recently: better than their overall numbers, but still only 50% win rate in last 10 home games and conceding regularly.

PSV away: superb travellers – 80% win rate in last 10 away league games, scoring freely and keeping clean sheets in 30%.

Liverpool create slightly more, but PSV are stingier at the back.

PSV shocked Liverpool 3-2 at home in January 2025. Before that, Liverpool dominated the 2006-08 meetings (four wins, including 3-1 and 2-0 at Anfield). Home advantage has historically been huge for the Reds against PSV.

PSV’s scintillating form meets a Liverpool side low on confidence and leaking goals. Anfield will roar, but the data screams upset.

Prediction: Liverpool 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

Main pick: PSV Draw No Bet – best of both worlds with their unbeaten run.

Value angle: Over 2.5 Goals – Liverpool games hit 70% over, PSV add firepower.