Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 5 November 2025
City dominate in a fluid 4-3-3, controlling possession and pressing high. Dortmund play a fast 4-2-3-1, hitting teams on the break with pace. No major injury worries flagged in the last few days. This is a battle for much needed points between two attack-minded sides. Erling Haaland was annoyed to be subbed off in City’s weekend win against Bournemouth as he was on a hat trick, but it might benefit him here as he looks to continue this remarkable goal scoring record. His Champions League record is simply astonishing and he will probably get more here.
- Possession edge: City average 65% and funnel 45% of attacks down the left; Dortmund sit at 58% with quick switches.
- Set-piece duel: City score 0.5 per game from dead balls and concede 0.2; Dortmund 0.4 scored and 0.2 against — restarts could swing it.
- Shot volume: City fire 18.0 shots (7.0 on target); Dortmund 14.5 (5.5 on target) — the hosts will test the visitors.
City last 10: 9–1–0, goals 24 for / 5 against, clean sheets 7. They’ve been ruthless and hard to score against.
Dortmund last 10: 9–1–0, goals 18 for / 4 against, clean sheets 7. Unbeaten and solid, but facing a step up.
City are a goal machine — they’ll fancy breaching Dortmund’s defence.
Both stingy — this could be cagey unless counters open it up.
Both keep shutouts regularly — one goal could decide it.
City will boss the ball — Dortmund will look to hit on the break.
Total corners likely 13+ — City’s pressure could rack them up.
A clean game likely — under 4.5 cards makes sense.
City generate far more volume — they’ll pepper the Dortmund goal.
City create and restrict better chances — a clear quality edge.
City edge dead balls — one good delivery could be decisive.
City are slicker on the ball; Dortmund win more duels — a tight midfield battle.
City strike early — they’ll look to grab control before the break.
City games go over more — their attack could open the scoring.
Both picking up points relentlessly — form is sky high.
City at home (last 10): 100% win rate, avg 2.6 scored / 0.4 conceded, 8 clean sheets. The Etihad is a fortress.
Dortmund away (last 10): 80% win rate, avg 1.9 scored / 0.5 conceded, 6 clean sheets. They travel well but face a huge test.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against (per game)
City generate 2.1 xG per game and restrict to 0.6 xGA; Dortmund post 1.7 / 0.9. The hosts hold a clear chance-quality advantage.
City have the upper hand in recent meetings: 2-1 at the Etihad in 2022, 0-0 in Dortmund, 3-0 at home in 2020, and 2-1 in the 2021 quarter-final first leg. Dortmund’s last win was 2-1 away in 2020. City unbeaten in the last four.
City are in unstoppable form at the Etihad, creating chances for fun and rock solid at the back. Dortmund are dangerous on the break but City’s control should overwhelm them. Expect the hosts to pull clear.
Prediction: 3–1 home win.
Main pick: Man City -1 Handicap — superior xG, home dominance, and H2H edge.
Value angle: Over 2.5 Goals — City hit it in 50% of games, open styles likely to produce.
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Who will win Manchester City vs Dortmund?
We back City at home. Our call is a 3–1 win.
What is the best bet in the Manchester City vs Dortmund game?
Man City -1 Handicap is the main pick; Over 2.5 Goals offers value.
What time does Manchester City vs Dortmund kick off in the UK?
Wednesday, 5 November 2025 at 20:00 GMT (subject to TV schedule).
Where is Manchester City vs Dortmund being played?
Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Manchester City and Dortmund?
City unbeaten in last four: 2-1 home (2022), 0-0 away (2022), 3-0 home (2020), 2-1 home (2021 QF).
Who has the better form going into Manchester City vs Dortmund?
City 9–1–0, Dortmund 9–1–0 in last 10 — razor close, edge City at home.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Manchester City vs Dortmund?
3–1 to Manchester City.
Who has the best xG Manchester City vs Dortmund?
City lead: 2.1 for / 0.6 against vs Dortmund 1.7 / 0.9.
Will BTTS in the Manchester City vs Dortmund game?
Model says 35% chance.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Manchester City vs Dortmund game?
Leaning Over 2.5 — City hit it in 50% of games.