Marseille vs Atalanta | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 5 November 2025
Marseille line up in a compact 4-2-3-1, pressing aggressively and hitting on the break. Atalanta play a high-energy 3-4-3, stretching play wide and flooding the box. No fresh injury concerns in the last few days. This is a clash of styles with plenty of history.
- Possession tussle: Marseille average 55% and build down the flanks; Atalanta sit at 52% with quick transitions.
- Set-piece threat: Atalanta score 0.5 per game from dead balls and concede 0.3; Marseille 0.4 scored and 0.3 against — corners could decide it.
- Shot pressure: Marseille fire 13.5 shots (5.2 on target); Atalanta 14.0 (5.5 on target) — both will test the keepers.
Marseille last 10: 5–4–1, goals 16 for / 7 against, clean sheets 4. They’ve been steady but draw too many.
Atalanta last 10: 8–0–2, goals 19 for / 7 against, clean sheets 5. Unbeaten in eight, clinical and tough to break down.
Atalanta edge the scoring — they’ll fancy their chances against Marseille’s defence.
Even at the back — both can be got at, especially in open games.
Atalanta keep more shutouts — a slight defensive edge.
Marseille will control more — Atalanta happy to counter.
Total corners likely 11.5+ — both force plenty.
A spicy one could see over 5.5 cards.
Atalanta generate slightly more volume — they’ll pepper the home goal.
Atalanta create better chances — a slight quality gap.
Atalanta marginally stronger from dead balls — one delivery could be key.
Marseille tidier; Atalanta win more duels — balanced midfield.
Atalanta strike early — expect a fast start.
Both hit over half the time — goals look likely.
Atalanta picking up points more consistently — form favours the visitors.
Marseille at home (last 10): 60% win rate, avg 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded, 4 clean sheets. The Vélodrome is tough to leave with points.
Atalanta away (last 10): 70% win rate, avg 1.7 scored / 0.9 conceded, 4 clean sheets. They travel strongly and keep it tight.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against (per game)
Atalanta create 1.7 xG per game and restrict to 1.1 xGA; Marseille post 1.5 / 1.0. The Italians hold a slight expected-quality edge.
Atalanta dominated recent meetings: 3-1 away and 3-1 home in the 2021 Europa League semis. Marseille won 3-0 at home in 2019 group stage; Atalanta replied 3-0 away. A 3-3 draw in 2011. Goals galore in their history.
Marseille are tough at the Vélodrome and love a counter, but Atalanta’s form, set-piece threat and historical edge should see them through. The hosts will battle, but the visitors have more firepower.
Prediction: 1–2 away win.
Main pick: Atalanta Draw No Bet — better form, xG profile, and H2H record.
Value angle: BTTS Yes — 50% hit rate for both, open styles and past meetings.
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Who will win Marseille vs Atalanta?
We lean Atalanta away. Our call is a 1–2 win.
What is the best bet in the Marseille vs Atalanta game?
Atalanta Draw No Bet is the main pick; BTTS Yes offers value.
What time does Marseille vs Atalanta kick off in the UK?
Wednesday, 5 November 2025 at 20:00 GMT (subject to TV schedule).
Where is Marseille vs Atalanta being played?
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille, France.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Marseille and Atalanta?
Atalanta won both 2021 EL semis (3-1 away, 3-1 home); Marseille 3-0 home in 2019; Atalanta 3-0 away in 2019; 3-3 in 2011.
Who has the better form going into Marseille vs Atalanta?
Marseille 5–4–1, Atalanta 8–0–2 in last 10 — edge to Atalanta.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Marseille vs Atalanta?
1–2 to Atalanta.
Who has the best xG Marseille vs Atalanta?
Atalanta lead: 1.7 for / 1.1 against vs Marseille 1.5 / 1.0.
Will BTTS in the Marseille vs Atalanta game?
Model says 65% chance.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Marseille vs Atalanta game?
Leaning Over 2.5 — both hit it in 50% of games.