Olympiakos vs PSV | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 4 November 2025
Olympiakos have been solid at home in Europe lately and will fancy their chances against a PSV side that can be vulnerable on the road. The Greeks typically line up in a 4-2-3-1, looking to press high and hit on the break, while PSV stick to their fluid 4-3-3, pushing numbers forward and relying on quick transitions. No major injury worries reported for either camp in the last few days, so both should field strong XIs.
- Possession battle: Olympiakos hold 55% on average and like to build through the middle, while PSV edge it at 62% and funnel 38% of attacks down the right.
- Set-piece threat: The hosts score 0.8 per game from dead balls and concede just 0.3; PSV manage 0.7 scored but leak 0.2 — corners could decide this.
- Defensive work: Olympiakos average 18.0 tackles + interceptions, PSV 16.5 — the home side wins more duels in their own third.
Olympiakos last 10: 7–2–1, goals 24 for / 10 against, clean sheets 5. They’ve been ruthless domestically but took a heavy hit against Barcelona.
PSV last 10: 7–2–1, goals 28 for / 6 against, clean sheets 6. Only blips were a draw at Feyenoord and a narrow loss to Liverpool.
Expect around 12 total corners — both sides win plenty from open play and set pieces.
A scrappy affair could push over 4.5 cards.
Olympiakos at home (last 10): 80% win rate, avg 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded, 6 clean sheets. The Karaiskakis is a fortress — only one loss in 18 months across all comps.
PSV away (last 10): 70% win rate, avg 2.6 scored / 0.9 conceded, 5 clean sheets. They travel well but have dropped points in two of the last five on the road.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against (per game)
PSV edge the chance creation at 2.2 xG per game while Olympiakos sit at 1.8. Defensively it’s tight — both concede under 1.0 xGA, pointing to a competitive, open contest.
These sides have met just once competitively — a friendly in July 2023 at the Karaiskakis where Olympiakos ran out 1-0 winners. No recent league clashes to draw on, so form and home advantage take centre stage.
Olympiakos are tough to beat in Piraeus and love a set-piece goal, while PSV’s attack is potent but they’ve shown cracks away in Europe. The Greeks can nick an early lead and hold firm.
Prediction: 2–1 home win.
Main pick: Olympiakos Draw No Bet — home fortress, set-piece edge and PSV’s occasional away wobble.
Value angle: Over 2.5 Goals — 70%+ hit rate for both sides and open styles suggest at least three strikes.
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Who will win Olympiakos vs PSV?
We fancy Olympiakos at home. Our call is a 2–1 win.
What is the best bet in the Olympiakos vs PSV game?
Olympiakos Draw No Bet is the main pick; Over 2.5 Goals offers value.
What time does Olympiakos vs PSV kick off in the UK?
Tuesday, 4 November 2025 at 17:45 GMT (subject to TV schedule).
Where is Olympiakos vs PSV being played?
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus, Greece.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Olympiakos and PSV?
Only one meeting — a 1-0 Olympiakos win in a 2023 friendly.
Who has the better form going into Olympiakos vs PSV?
Both on 7–2–1 in last 10, but Olympiakos have the home edge.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Olympiakos vs PSV?
2–1 to Olympiakos.
Who has the best xG Olympiakos vs PSV?
PSV lead slightly: 2.2 for / 0.9 against vs Olympiakos 1.8 / 1.0.
Will BTTS in the Olympiakos vs PSV game?
Model says 68% chance.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Olympiakos vs PSV game?
Leaning Over 2.5 — both teams hit it in 70%+ of recent games.