Pafos FC vs Bayern Munich | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | Champions League | 28th September 2025

Pafos arrive unbeaten in 11 of 12 this season across league and qualifiers, built on discipline, set-piece bite and a tidy 52% average share of the ball. Bayern have barely put a foot wrong: nine wins from ten, high pressing, slick rotations and a habit of killing games early. The hosts will keep structure in a 4-4-2/4-2-3-1 hybrid and look to restart danger; the visitors will dominate territory, stretch the pitch through the wide areas and flood the box with runners.

• Ball share & territory: Pafos average 52% possession but will likely sit closer to the mid-40s here as Bayern’s 65% baseline tilts field position.
• Restarts matter: Pafos score around 0.4 per game from set pieces and concede just 0.2; Bayern also produce 0.6 — expect corners and free-kicks to carry real weight.
• Shot pressure: Bayern fire about 17.8 shots (6.9 on target) each match; Pafos allow 0.9 xGA on average, so the hosts’ box defence will be under its sternest examination yet.

Pafos last 10: 8–1–1, goals 18 for / 8 against, clean sheets 5. The rhythm is steady, with a strong spine and productive dead balls.

Bayern last 10: 9–1–0, goals 35 for / 5 against, clean sheets 7. Control in almost every phase and ruthless in transition.

Pafos at home: a strong recent slate at the New Limassol Arena — five wins and a draw from six, with four clean sheets. The structure holds and restarts are a real weapon.

Bayern away: unbeaten on the road this season, with multi-goal wins at difficult venues. They travel well, sustain pressure and keep creating late.

Bayern consistently generate high-quality chances at around 2.3 xG per game, while restricting opponents to 0.7 xGA. Pafos post 1.4 xG and 0.9 xGA — excellent locally, but the step up in class is obvious on paper.

First-ever competitive meeting between these clubs. The narrative is classic: an ambitious newcomer on Europe’s main stage against a serial contender. No recent sample to lean on, which adds to the intrigue and the crowd energy.

Pafos have been superbly organised and punchy from restarts, but Bayern’s control of territory and chance creation is on another tier. The hosts can compete in phases and threaten from corners, yet the visitors’ volume and efficiency should tell and they should score quite early.

Prediction: 0–2 away win.

Main pick: Bayern Munich to Win HH-FT — superior xG profile (2.3 for / 0.7 against) and proven away form.

Value angle: Bayern to Win & Under 4.5 Goals — the visitors control games without chaos; Pafos’ defensive shape and low-tempo restarts can keep the total sensible.