Millwall vs Watford | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 22nd September 2025

Millwall take on Watford at The Den on 22 September 2025 in what looks set to be a cagey Championship contest. The hosts are still chasing their first home win of the season, while the visitors arrive struggling for points after a slow start. The atmosphere will be fierce — The Den rarely disappoints when two sides under pressure meet.

In terms of shape, Millwall often line up compact in either a back three or four, looking to press in spells and play direct when space opens. Watford are typically more possession-based, circulating across midfield and trying to bring wide players into play. This is very much a clash of physicality versus ball retention.

• Possession split: Millwall average 48%, Watford closer to 52%, suggesting the visitors may dominate the ball.
• Low scoring patterns: Both sides have seen 80% of games finish under 2.5 goals so far — fine margins and late swings likely.
• Set-piece contrast: Millwall create 0.40 goals per game from dead balls, while Watford concede 0.40 from the same scenarios. Corners and free-kicks could decide it.

Millwall: Across their last ten, the Lions have taken four wins, two draws and four defeats, with around 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. Clean sheets are rare, but they’ve shown resilience on the road. At home, they need to turn narrow defeats into points.

Watford: Three wins, four draws and three losses in their last ten. Averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, they’ve struggled for consistency. Their recent Championship run shows just one victory in five, suggesting confidence isn’t high.

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Millwall’s home form has been patchy, with no league wins in their last two at The Den. Watford’s away record shows one draw and one defeat so far this season. Neither side has stamped authority in these splits yet — points may hinge on who handles pressure better.

Millwall edge slightly in expected goals for and against, suggesting they generate more quality chances while keeping things marginally tighter at the back.

Recent meetings have leaned Watford’s way: they’ve taken wins in October 2023 and April 2023, with draws in late 2022. Millwall’s last success over Watford came back in 2022. Tight, low-scoring games have been the trend, often decided by a single goal.

With both sides struggling to convert chances and defensive numbers looking similar, a draw feels likely. Prediction: 1–1 draw.

Main Pick: Draw — with both averaging around a goal per game, stalemate at The Den has value.