West Brom vs Leicester | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | Championship | 25th September 2025

West Bromwich Albion host Leicester City at The Hawthorns on 26 September 2025 in a Midlands clash that already carries a promotion feel. The hosts have been steady at home and hard to break, while the visitors bring a punchier attack but haven’t quite cracked their away rhythm. With both sides hovering around the early play-off mix, this is the sort of fixture that shapes narratives heading into autumn.

Expect a lively crowd with a healthy away following. The home side usually look to control the middle third with a tidy back four and two disciplined screens, feeding wide runners and late-area arrivals. The visitors tend to play front-foot possession in a 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 mould, quick to switch play and happy to press in phases before dropping into a compact mid-block. Styles contrast nicely: measured control versus fast switches and counters.

• Possession profile: West Brom average ~55% of the ball, Leicester ~53%. The home side are calmer in build-up; the visitors look to speed up in the second and final thirds.
• Shot diet: West Brom post ~14.7 shots per game (≈5 on target), Leicester ~12.8 (≈4.5 on target). The visitors create quality in bursts; the hosts are steadier across 90 minutes.
• Set-play nuance: West Brom have a small edge in attacking dead-balls (~0.3 goals per game) and defend them better than they concede (~0.2). Leicester concede a touch more from restarts (~0.3).

West Brom (last 10): roughly 5–2–3, around 12 goals for and 10 against (≈1.17 GF / 1.00 GA), with 3 clean sheets. Home outings have been controlled and generally low margin.

Leicester (last 10): around 4–2–4, roughly 13 goals for and 12 against (≈1.33 GF / 1.17 GA), with 1–2 clean sheets. The attack carries threat, but away matches can flatten output.

Trend watch: both show a 50% rate for over 2.5 goals, but game state often dictates tempo — long spells of sparring before sharper final-third moments.

West Brom at home: balanced possession, solid structure, and a knack for pinning opponents back for long spells. Clean-sheet rate around a third points to resilience in front of their own fans.

Leicester away: capable of controlling periods but tend to trade territory for burst attacks. Goals-against sits a touch over one per game across the sample; the first goal often decides their away outcomes.

Chance creation looks fairly even: West Brom track around 1.30 xG for vs 1.10 against; Leicester sit near 1.40 for vs 1.20 against. Margins are tight and likely to swing on who turns territory into clear looks.

Across the last five meetings: Leicester won 2–0 at home in April 2025; Leicester edged a 1–0 at The Hawthorns in September 2024; West Brom nicked a 3–2 away win in February 2024; West Brom won 1–0 at home in October 2023; Leicester took a 3–1 at home in May 2022. It’s been tight overall with both grounds throwing up one-goal margins.

Prediction: 1–1 draw

Reasoning: West Brom’s home control versus Leicester’s transitional threat feels finely balanced. The hosts’ set-piece edge and defensive shape meet the visitors’ extra shot efficiency in bursts. Shared points wouldn’t surprise.

Main pick: BTTS – Yes — both carry enough final-third bite and the over/under profiles (each ~50% overs) support a trade of goals.

Value angle: Draw — underlying numbers are close (GF/GA and xG pairs), and the visitors’ away pattern plus the hosts’ home control points to a stalemate at decent prices.

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