Aston Villa vs Young Boys | Europa League Preview & Betting Tips | 27 Nov 2025

Villa are flying right now and a win here would put them in a fantastic position to reach the knockout play-off round or better. Young Boys are rock-bottom of the Swiss league and have conceded 29 goals in their last 10 competitive games – this has mismatch written all over it. Villa Park will be bouncing with a big Thursday-night European crowd, while the Swiss travellers will bring a small but noisy away end.

Unai Emery sticks with his trusted 4-2-3-1, pressing high and looking to dominate the ball. Young Boys also line up 4-2-3-1 but have been torn apart defensively, sitting deep and trying to counter – on current evidence that approach plays straight into Villa’s hands.

Injury-wise, Villa are without Jacob Ramsey and Boubacar Kamara; Young Boys miss several regulars including Saidy Janko and Joël Monteiro.

Villa are ruthless on the break and love overloading the box – they’ve kept six clean sheets in ten and concede just 0.6 goals per game. Young Boys are getting ripped open regularly, shipping nearly three goals a match and allowing opponents over 1.5 xG on average.

Set pieces could be massive: Villa score 0.4 from dead balls and concede only 0.2, while Young Boys leak 0.5 from restarts – one or two deliveries from the likes of Youri Tielemans could decide it.

Villa over the last ten: eight wins, one draw, one defeat – 20 scored, only six conceded and six clean sheets. They’re tight at the back and clinical up top.

Young Boys: four wins, one draw, five defeats – 18 scored but a horrific 29 conceded. They can still put the ball in the net but defensively it’s been a horror show.

Villa are banging in two a game with ease; Young Boys can score but it’s irrelevant when they leak so many.

The gap here is staggering – Villa are rock solid, Young Boys are a defensive disaster.

Around 4-5 bookings – leaning over 3.5 cards with Young Boys picking up 2.5 per game.

Combined average 10.7 – expect around 11 total, so over 9.5 corners looks solid.

Young Boys still manage 5+ on target even in defeats; Villa add 3-4 – over 9 shots on target very likely.

Villa at home (last 10): 80% win rate, averaging 2.6 scored and just 0.6 conceded with six clean sheets – a fortress.

Young Boys away (last 10): only one win, eight defeats, shipping 3.8 per game – absolutely dire on the road.

Villa restrict opponents to just 1.0 xG while Young Boys allow 1.52 – the quality gap is clear.

The only recent meeting was last season in the Champions League when Villa won 3-0 in Bern – a comfortable night built on two first-half goals and a late third.

Villa are in superb nick, defensively outstanding and playing at home against the leakiest side in the competition. Expect a professional performance and another clean sheet.

Prediction: Aston Villa 3-0 Young Boys

Main pick: Aston Villa -1.5 Asian Handicap – they’ve covered this in seven of their last ten wins.

Value angle: Aston Villa to win to nil – 60% clean sheet rate meets Young Boys’ awful away record.

Double chance: Aston Villa or draw – zero chance the visitors win on current form.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Over – Young Boys games hit 79% over, and Villa will contribute plenty.

Half-time/full-time: Villa/Villa – they’ve led at the break in six of their last ten victories.