Malmo vs Ludogorets | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 24th September 2025

Malmö FF face Ludogorets in the Europa League on 24 September 2025 at the Eleda Stadion. Malmö come into this after a run of draws in Sweden’s Allsvenskan, while Ludogorets have been flying domestically and sit top of their league. It’s a clash between two unbeaten sides across their last ten outings, both keen to start their group stage campaigns on the front foot.

The Malmö crowd are expected to turn out in numbers, providing a lively home atmosphere, while Ludogorets are bringing confidence from a string of convincing performances. Malmö are solid at the back but lacking a cutting edge up top, while Ludogorets play high-possession, pressing football that creates plenty of chances. Stylistically, it’s a battle between a compact side at home and a dominant visitor keen to impose themselves.

Malmö average 60% possession and push through wide channels, but their recent draws highlight a lack of ruthlessness in the final third. They’re tight defensively, averaging less than one goal conceded per game, but tend to be cautious when holding leads.

Ludogorets dominate possession even more, with around 64%, and average nearly 18 shots a match. They press high and often overload the final third, which has helped them score freely in Bulgaria. The visitors also tend to grow into games, with 70% of their goals coming after half-time.

Set pieces could be influential. Malmö concede very little from dead balls, while Ludogorets are a threat from corners and wide deliveries, averaging 0.4 goals from set plays per match.

Malmö are unbeaten in their last 10 matches: 4 wins and 6 draws, scoring 15 and conceding 9. They’ve kept 4 clean sheets and average around 1.5 goals per match, but their attack has stuttered recently with several low-scoring draws.

Ludogorets have been excellent, with 7 wins and 3 draws from their last 10, scoring 18 and conceding just 4. They’ve posted 6 clean sheets in that stretch and carry the league’s best defensive record, averaging less than half a goal conceded per game.

Malmö average 1.5 goals per game, while Ludogorets score slightly higher at 1.75. The visitors are more consistent in front of goal, particularly late in games.

Malmö concede 0.88 per game, with Ludogorets even tighter at just 0.38. The Bulgarian side’s defensive solidity is a major strength.

Malmö have a 42% clean sheet rate, while Ludogorets sit on 63%. That defensive edge could prove decisive away from home.

Malmö enjoy around 60% possession, while Ludogorets are even more dominant at 64%. Both like to control matches through ball retention, so territory could be tightly contested.

Malmö average 15.6 shots per game, with 4.8 on target. Ludogorets generate 17.6 shots, with 7 on target. The visitors have been far more efficient at working the goalkeeper.

Malmö create 1.76 xG per game and concede 1.15. Ludogorets produce 2.21 xG on average, conceding 0.98. The gap suggests the visitors are more consistent chance creators while also holding firm at the back.

Malmö are strong at home, unbeaten in their last 10 at the Eleda Stadion with multiple clean sheets and regular dominance in possession. Ludogorets are equally reliable away, posting wins at difficult grounds and averaging more than 1.5 goals scored on the road while conceding less than 1 per match.

The xG data shows Ludogorets as stronger chance creators with a solid defensive base, while Malmö’s figures suggest a more balanced but slightly less potent side.

The sides last clashed in Champions League qualifying back in 2021. Malmö won 2-0 at home before losing 2-1 in Razgrad, advancing on aggregate. Those were their only previous competitive meetings.

Malmö are difficult to beat at home, but Ludogorets arrive in better form with more firepower. Expect a tight game where the visitors’ cutting edge may tip it. Predicted score: 1-2 Ludogorets.

Main Pick: Ludogorets to win.