Nice vs Roma | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 24th September 2025
🗞️ Introduction
Europa League nights return to the French Riviera as Nice host Roma on 24 September 2025 at the Allianz Riviera. The home side are looking to bounce back from a shaky domestic run, including a heavy defeat to Brest, while Roma arrive in steady Serie A form and keen to stamp their authority in Group action. The atmosphere should be lively, with a strong home following and a notable contingent of travelling supporters making the trip from Italy.
Tactically, Nice tend to operate with a balanced 4-3-3 shape that focuses on short build-up and overlapping wide runners. Roma, by contrast, are comfortable in possession with a compact midfield three and a back line that sits deeper but transitions quickly. This clash feels like one of tempo control versus pragmatic efficiency.
🔑 Tactical Trends
Nice average 55% possession across recent outings, using width to create overloads and funnel nearly half their attacks down the flanks. Their press is moderate but often drops off after the opening half-hour. Roma, with around 58% possession in Serie A, prefer central channels and maintain a higher pass completion rate, suggesting a tidier midfield control. Roma also carry a stronger second-half scoring record, with 50% of their goals coming after the interval.
📋 Form
Nice’s last 10 show a mixed pattern: around four wins, two draws and four defeats, scoring at just over a goal a game and conceding slightly more. They’ve looked resilient at home but struggle for consistency away. Roma’s 10-match picture is more positive, with six wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game and under one conceded. The Italians have relied on defensive organisation to grind out points, with half of those games producing clean sheets.
📊 Average Goals Scored
Nice: 1.20 | Roma: 1.50
📊 Average Goals Conceded
Nice: 1.40 | Roma: 0.75
📊 Possession %
Nice: 55% | Roma: 58%
📊 Shots per Game (Total / On Target)
Nice: 15.0 / 5.0 | Roma: 14.8 / 4.5
📊 Clean Sheet %
Nice: 20% | Roma: 50%
📊 Average Corners (For / Against)
Nice: 5.0 / 4.5 | Roma: 5.2 / 4.0
🏟️ Home vs Away Form
Nice’s home record over the last 10 at the Allianz Riviera has been steady, with about five wins, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Roma’s away form is robust, with around six wins from 10, conceding under a goal per game and showing resilience in tight contests.
⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals Against
BTTS Likelihood
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
Nice average around 1.66 xG per game but allow 1.40 against, while Roma generate about 1.70 going forward and concede closer to 1.00. The visitors therefore project a slightly stronger expected chance profile across recent outings.
xG Against
⚖️ Head-to-Head
These clubs have no competitive head-to-head history. This will be their first official meeting, adding extra intrigue as both look to set the tone in Group play.
🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction
Roma appear more balanced and compact, and their defensive numbers give them an edge. Nice will need to capitalise on home advantage to stay competitive, but the visitors look primed to nick it. Prediction: 1–2 away win.
💡 Betting Tips
Main Pick: Both Teams To Score — both sides tend to give chances away and each average at least a goal per game.
Value Bet: Roma to win and over 2.5 goals — data suggests the Italians edge defensive solidity while Nice’s open approach could see goals flow.
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