Falkirk vs St Mirren | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 13th September 2025
Falkirk vs St Mirren at the Falkirk Stadium has that early-season edge to it. Falkirk are back in the big time and have already shown they’ll have a go; St Mirren, well-drilled and stubborn, tend to drag opponents into tight contests. Expect a noisy home crowd, Saints bringing a decent travelling support, and a proper Premiership scrap.
Tactical snapshot Falkirk are happiest in a front-foot 4-2-3-1 that becomes 4-4-2 when they press, with crosses and set-plays central to their threat. St Mirren usually mirror the shape but sit a touch deeper, compact between the lines, breaking through wide runners and a physical nine. Territory versus control: second balls and rest defence will decide a lot here.
Falkirk
Doubts/outs: Finn Yeats (foot, doubt), Coll Donaldson (groin, doubt), Aidan Nesbitt (foot, out), Ethan Ross (ankle, out), Scott Bain (knock, doubt).
Likely roles: Nicky Hogarth stands by if Bain isn’t risked. Sean Mackie and Finn Yeats (if fit) give width from full-back, with Coll Donaldson/Lewis Neilson marshalling the middle. Brad Spencer screens, Dylan Tait connects play, while Henry Cartwright can break lines from midfield. Up top, Brian Graham provides penalty-box presence with pace either side from Calvin Miller and Trey Ogunsuyi.
St Mirren
Doubts: Liam Donnelly (Achilles), Roland Idowu (knee), Malik Dijksteel (knock). No fresh suspensions noted.
Likely roles: Shamal George behind a back line of Marcus Fraser, Alexander Gogic and Richard King. Mark O’Hara and Killian Phillips to snap into duels, with Jayden Richardson/Scott Tanser offering width. Up top, some combination of Jonah Ayunga, Toyosi Olusanya and Dan Nlundulu to stretch channels and attack the first contact in the box.
Falkirk (last 10 blend): from the sample provided it reads roughly W5–D2–L3, with this season’s four at 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Goals are coming, but the back door has been ajar early on; no clean sheets yet.
St Mirren (recent 10 blend): a tighter ledger around W4–D5–L1, current-season five at 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Saints keep games on a leash and tend to grow after the break.
Trendline: Falkirk’s matches skew high on totals; St Mirren’s skew lower. The battle between Falkirk’s set-play output and Saints’ set-play defending looks key.
| Metric | Falkirk | St Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| Average goals scored per match | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Average goals conceded per match | 1.75 | 1.20 |
| Average possession | 52% | 45% |
| Clean sheet rate (recent sample) | 0% | 20% |
| Expected goals per match | 1.35 | 1.10 |
| Under / Over 2.5 goals split | Under 25% • Over 75% | Under 60% • Over 40% |
| Average corners per match | 5.5 | 4.8 |
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Falkirk at home (recent sample): energetic starts and a willingness to throw bodies into the box. Goals for around the two mark, but they’ve conceded in bunches when stretched. Set-pieces and long throws draw plenty of pressure on visiting keepers.
St Mirren away (recent sample): stubborn, compact, and good at clearing first contacts. They don’t flood forward — instead they pick moments, often seeing better chances after the interval.
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Falkirk — Brian Graham: penalty-box craft, attacks the front post and thrives on early crosses. Big factor against a defence that lives on first contacts.
St Mirren — Mark O’Hara: drives the midfield, times late arrivals, and is a handful at set-plays. If Saints win the middle third, O’Hara will be at the heart of it.
Prediction: Falkirk 1–1 St Mirren
Falkirk’s chance volume and set-pieces versus St Mirren’s structure and counter-punching should level out. The visitors are tough to shift; the hosts have enough thrust to land one. Stalemate feels right.
Main pick: Both Teams To Score — Falkirk games lean high on goals; St Mirren still create enough in transitions to chip in.
Value angle: Draw — stylistic clash, Saints’ resilience and Falkirk’s set-play edge cancel one another out more often than not.
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