Freiburg vs FC Basel | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 24th September 2025
🗞️ Introduction
SC Freiburg welcome FC Basel to the Europa-Park Stadion for a Europa League league-phase clash on 24 September 2025. The home side arrive buoyed by back-to-back Bundesliga wins, while the visitors are looking to carry domestic cup momentum into Europe after edging through a dramatic Swiss Cup tie.
The atmosphere in Freiburg should be lively, with the home crowd expecting their side to make another strong European run. Basel’s travelling support is never shy, so the stands should be full of colour and noise. Freiburg are likely to set up with a compact mid-block, breaking quickly through wide runners, while Basel may look to keep the ball and probe with overlapping full-backs and runners from midfield.
🔑 Tactical Trends
Freiburg average around 55% possession but do their best work when transitioning quickly, often pushing their full-backs on and funnelling close to half their attacks down the left channel. They press in bursts rather than constantly, but when they go, they do so with intensity.
Basel mirror Freiburg in possession share at about 55%, though their attacking shape is slightly narrower. They prefer controlled build-up and commit numbers into the box, but their defensive line can be exposed when turned around quickly.
Set-pieces could be a deciding factor here. Both sides generate nearly half a goal per game from dead balls and have shown vulnerability defending them too.
📋 Form
Freiburg’s last 10 competitive games read 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. They’ve scored 18 and conceded 14 in that run, with three clean sheets. They’ve looked sharper in recent weeks, bouncing back from heavy defeats earlier in the campaign.
Basel’s last 10 show 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 16 goals scored and 14 conceded. They’ve been a little inconsistent but come into this with three straight wins across competitions, suggesting confidence is growing.
📊 Average Goals Scored
Freiburg average 1.8 goals per game across their last 10, while Basel sit slightly lower at 1.6. Both sides have multiple scoring outlets, so neither are reliant on a single source.
📊 Average Goals Conceded
Freiburg concede around 1.4 per game, matching Basel’s 1.4. That points towards vulnerabilities at the back, especially against pace and quick switches of play.
📊 Clean Sheet %
Freiburg keep clean sheets in 30% of matches compared to Basel’s 20%. Neither side is watertight, but Freiburg’s defensive unit has shown slightly more resilience.
📊 Possession
Both average 55% possession, suggesting this won’t be a one-sided midfield battle. Expect spells of control to swing back and forth depending on territory and pressing triggers.
📊 Shots Per Game
Freiburg generate around 13 total shots per game, with 4.5 on target. Basel sit on 12 shots, 4 on target. Very evenly matched in terms of chance creation volume.
📊 Expected Goals (xG)
Freiburg post 1.6 xG per game and concede 1.3 xGA. Basel create about 1.5 xG and concede 1.4 xGA. Margins are slim, but Freiburg edge it slightly in underlying numbers.
🏟️ Home vs Away Form
Freiburg’s last 10 at home show 6 wins and just 2 losses, with 19 scored and 12 conceded. They tend to find an extra gear in front of their supporters.
Basel’s last 10 away games bring 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, with 14 scored and 15 conceded. They are competitive but more inconsistent on the road.
⚔️ Attack vs Defence
🤝 BTTS Likelihood
📊 Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
The numbers suggest Freiburg edge the chance creation battle, though Basel are not far behind. It points to a fairly even game with small margins likely to settle it.
⚖️ Head-to-Head
These two have met a handful of times, though rarely in recent competitive action. The last clash came in July 2022 when Freiburg edged a friendly 2-1 at home. In 2019 Basel won 3-2 in Switzerland. Historically, wins have been evenly shared and goals tend to flow when they meet.
🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction
Both sides are evenly matched, but Freiburg’s home advantage and recent uptick in form may just tilt it. Expect goals at both ends but the hosts to sneak it. Predicted score: 2-1 Freiburg.
💡 Betting Tips
Main Pick: Both Teams To Score — both teams concede regularly and carry a threat going forward.
Value Bet: Freiburg to win & BTTS — combines their home edge with the likelihood of Basel finding the net.
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