🗞️ Introduction
Competition: La Liga
Fixture: Getafe vs Levante
Venue: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe
Date: 27 Sep 2025
A proper early-season tone-setter in the south of Madrid. The hosts are targeting mid-table calm after stubborn showings against the elite, while the visitors arrive off a bruising week yet still carry menace in wide areas. Expect a tight surface, fierce duels and a noisy home end, with a healthy travelling pocket from València adding some needle.
On the pitch it’s a style clash: the hosts typically set up compact (5-4-1/3-4-3), springing diagonals into the striker and loading set-pieces; the visitors are more front-foot in a 4-3-3, pushing full-backs on and letting wide runners attack space in transition.
🔑 Tactical Trends
- Territory vs ball: the hosts average 36% possession, but manufacture chances via second balls and restarts; the visitors sit around 48% and funnel play down the flanks with overlapping runs.
- Shot profile: hosts see ~9 shots (3 on target) per match; visitors ~10.5 (3.5 on target). Efficiency, not volume, will matter in a tight game state.
- Dead-ball edge: hosts/visitors score roughly 0.2/0.3 and 0.3/0.4 goals from set-plays per game respectively; delivery and blocking schemes could decide it.
📋 Form
Using this season’s first six plus a short carry-over to make 10:
- Getafe: about 3-4-3 (W-D-L), ~10 GF / 12 GA, 33% clean sheets, half their games over 2.5. Points trend around 1.33.
- Levante: about 2-4-4, ~12 GF / 17 GA, 17% clean sheets, 60% over 2.5. Points roughly 1.00.
Translation: the hosts grind and keep things narrow; the visitors’ matches are looser and more goal-prone.
📊 Goals & Conceded (per game)
Getafe: 1.00 / 1.17 — Levante: 1.17 / 1.67. Visitors’ games run hotter; hosts concede less on average.
📊 Expected Goals (xG) For / Against
Getafe: 0.90 / 1.10 — Levante: 1.10 / 1.50. Slight creation edge to the visitors, but they give up bigger chances.
📊 Possession
Getafe: 36% — Levante: 48%. One wants territory, the other wants the ball.
📊 Shots on Target (per game)
Getafe: 3.0 — Levante: 3.5. Margins are fine; shot quality will matter.
📊 Corners (for / against)
Getafe: 3.5 / 4.0 — Levante: 4.0 / 5.0. Plenty of set-piece volume incoming.
📊 Discipline (Yellows per game)
Getafe: 2.0 — Levante: 1.8. Stop-start rhythm likely, free-kick opportunities likely.
📊 Defensive Workrate
Getafe: 20 tackles / 12 interceptions — Levante: 15 / 10. Hosts win more duels and second balls.
📊 Goal Timing
Both split roughly 50/50 across halves. Expect a cagey first hour then a busier final quarter.
🏟️ Home vs Away Form
At the Coliseum the hosts’ record trends to tight wins and clean-sheet potential; they concede fewer high-value looks at home than away. The visitors’ away sample is streaky: capable of nicking a goal, but concessions rise after the hour and set-pieces remain a pain point. Edge, on balance, to home control.
⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For (per game)
Goals Against (per game)
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BTTS Likelihood
Kickthebookies BTTS likelihood: 59%
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For
xG Against
Hosts sit around 0.9 xG for / 1.1 xG against; visitors closer to 1.1 / 1.5 — the chance map leans towards “both create, visitors concede bigger.”
⚖️ Head-to-Head
Five recent league meetings have been narrow: a 1-0 to the visitors in May 2025; a 2-1 home win for the hosts in December 2024; a 2-2 draw in March 2024; a 1-0 home win for the hosts in October 2023; and a 0-0 in April 2023. Trend: low margins with the odd flare-up.
🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction
2–1 home win. The hosts’ duelling numbers, set-piece threat and game-state control at the Coliseum nudge this their way, even if the visitors carry enough punch to land a response.
💡 Betting Tips
Main Pick: Both Teams to Score — the visitors’ higher-event away profile and the hosts’ set-piece pathway make BTTS a live runner.
Value Play: Getafe Draw-No-Bet — home structure vs away volatility at a sensible price.
📊 Key Match Snapshot (mobile-friendly)
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