Notts County vs Crawley | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 20th September 2025

🗞️ Introduction

Notts County welcome Crawley in League Two action this Saturday, 20 September 2025. With both sides looking to settle into the rhythm of the season, it’s a match that could shape momentum going into the autumn fixtures. The home crowd at Meadow Lane is expected to be lively, while the away following will make itself heard. The hosts tend to build from the back with a patient passing approach, while the visitors favour a more direct route with quick transitions.

🔑 Tactical Trends

The hosts average around 60% possession, often drawing opponents onto them before probing down the flanks. Their defensive line is high, which occasionally leaves space behind. The visitors prefer a compact block, averaging closer to 42% possession, and they channel over a third of their attacks through the right-hand side, looking to exploit turnovers.

📋 Form

Across the last 10 competitive matches, Notts County sit on 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 17 and conceding 13 with 3 clean sheets. That’s 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average. Crawley, in the same span, show 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, netting 15 and letting in 16, averaging 1.5 for and 1.6 against, with 2 clean sheets. County’s matches have been slightly tighter, Crawley’s more open and prone to swings.

📊 Average Goals Scored per Game

Notts County: 1.7 | Crawley: 1.5

📊 Average Goals Conceded per Game

Notts County: 1.3 | Crawley: 1.6

📊 Clean Sheet Percentage

Notts County: 30% | Crawley: 20%

📊 Average Possession

Notts County: 60% | Crawley: 42%

📊 Average Shots (Total / On Target)

Notts County: 13 / 4.5 | Crawley: 11 / 3.8

📊 Expected Goals (xG) For / Against

Notts County: 1.65 / 1.35 | Crawley: 1.40 / 1.55

📊 Average Points per Game

Notts County: 1.7 | Crawley: 1.3

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

At Meadow Lane, Notts County have won 6 of their last 10 home matches, averaging 1.9 goals for and 1.2 against, with 4 clean sheets. Crawley’s away record shows 3 wins from 10, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with just 1 clean sheet. Home strength could be a deciding factor.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For
Goals Against



📱 Tip: rotate your device for best chart view.
BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood: 62%
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up

Notts County are creating more clear chances on average than Crawley, while also conceding slightly less in expected terms.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

In the last five meetings, Notts County and Crawley have shared mixed results. County edged a 2-1 home win in January 2025, while Crawley claimed a 3-2 victory at Broadfield earlier that season. Previous clashes in 2023/24 were tighter, with a 1-1 draw and a 2-0 win for County. Overall, recent head-to-heads have generally been close, with both sides getting their share of points.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

County’s stronger home record and slightly better underlying numbers suggest they’ll have the edge. Prediction: 2–1 home win.

💡 Betting Tips

Main Pick: Home win – County have the better form and home stats.
Value Pick: Over 2.5 goals – with both sides averaging around 3.0 combined per game, goals look on the cards.

⚽ Best Bet: Back Notts County, priced at 20/21 with AK Bets (click here to visit AK Bets).

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