Roma vs Napoli | Serie A Preview & Betting Tips | 30 Nov 2025

Roma vs Napoli — Serie A, 30 November 2025

Two of Italy’s biggest clubs go toe-to-toe at the Olimpico – a proper heavyweight clash with huge implications at the top.

Introduction

Roma and Napoli are both firmly in the Scudetto conversation and playing some of the most attractive football in Serie A right now. This fixture always carries extra spice – the Olimpico will be a cauldron with the Curva Sud in full voice and a massive travelling support from Naples.

Roma line up in a flexible 4-3-3 that can drop into a compact 4-5-1 without the ball. Napoli go 4-3-3, pressing high and looking to dominate possession and create overloads out wide.

Tactical Trends

Both teams are defensively excellent – Roma concede just 0.90 per game, Napoli a stingy 0.70. Roma are happy to sit deeper and hit on the break, while Napoli control the ball (58% possession) and look to pick locks with quick combinations. Set pieces could be decisive – both score and defend them well.

Form

Roma over the last ten: six wins, two draws, two defeats – 16 scored, 9 conceded, three clean sheets. In brilliant nick and loving life at the Olimpico.

Napoli: six wins, three draws, one defeat – 15 scored, 7 conceded, four clean sheets. Still right in the title hunt and looking rock-solid.

Home vs Away Form

Roma at home (last 10): 70% win rate, averaging 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded – the Olimpico is a fortress again.

Napoli away (last 10): 60% win rate, averaging 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded – they travel very well.

Attack vs Defence
Goals For (per game)
Goals Against (per game)

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
46%
Model view for this specific match

Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For xG Against

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Very little between them on underlying numbers – expect a tight, tactical battle with few clear chances.

Head-to-Head

Recent meetings have been cagey: 1-1 in Naples last April, Roma won 1-0 at the Olimpico in November 2024, Roma won 2-0 away in March 2024, Roma won 1-0 at home in November 2023, and a 1-1 draw in Naples in May 2023. Four of the last five finished under 2.5 goals.

KickTheBookies Prediction

Two of the best defences in the league, both in good form and with plenty of recent low-scoring meetings. Roma have the home advantage and a strong record in this fixture lately – just enough to nick it.

Prediction: Roma 1-0 Napoli

Betting Tips

Main pick: Under 2.5 goals – both teams tight at the back and recent H2Hs screaming low-scoring.

Value angle: Roma draw no bet – home record and head-to-head edge make it solid.

Double chance: Roma or draw – Napoli have only won once here in the last five visits.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Under – best bet of the game.

Half-time/full-time: Draw/Roma – these games often start cagey.

Over/under 9.5 corners: Over – combined average over 11.

Yellow cards prediction: Around 4-5 – leaning over 4.5 cards.

In-Depth Stats to Supercharge Your Bet Builders

Here are the key numbers behind the clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!

Average goals scored per game
Roma
1.60
Napoli
1.50
Average goals conceded per game
Roma
0.90
Napoli
0.70
Clean sheet percentage
Roma
30%
Napoli
40%
Average shots per game (total)
Roma
12.50
Napoli
13.00
Average shots on target per game
Roma
4.50
Napoli
4.80
Average possession
Roma
52%
Napoli
58%
Average corners per game
Roma
5.50
Napoli
6.00
Average yellow cards per game
Roma
2.00
Napoli
1.90
Expected goals (xG) per game
Roma
1.40
Napoli
1.50
xG against per game
Roma
1.20
Napoli
1.00
Average set piece goals scored
Roma
0.20
Napoli
0.25
Average set piece goals conceded
Roma
0.15
Napoli
0.10
Average pass completion rate
Roma
84%
Napoli
86%
Average tackles per game
Roma
12.00
Napoli
11.50
Average interceptions per game
Roma
6.50
Napoli
6.00
Goal timing (first half vs second half)
Roma
50% / 50%
Napoli
55% / 45%
Average under/over 2.5 goals per game (% over 2.5)
Roma
40%
Napoli
30%
Average points per game
Roma
1.80
Napoli
1.90
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FAQ: Roma vs Napoli – All the Key Stats
Who will win Roma vs Napoli?

Roma – home advantage and recent head-to-head record tip the scales.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

Roma 1-0 Napoli.

What time does Roma vs Napoli kick off in the UK?

7:45 pm GMT, Sunday 30 November 2025.

Where is Roma vs Napoli being played?

Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

What are the recent head-to-head results?

Roma unbeaten in the last four meetings, with three wins.

Who has the better recent form?

Napoli slightly – 1.90 points per game vs Roma’s 1.80.

How many goals does Roma score per game on average?

Roma average 1.60 goals scored per game over their last ten.

How many clean sheets has Napoli kept?

Napoli have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last ten games.

Will both teams score (BTTS)?

Model gives only 46% chance – one side likely to blank.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Under – four of the last five H2Hs went under.