Alaves vs Sevilla | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 20th September 2025

🗞️ Introduction

La Liga serves up an intriguing clash this Saturday as Alavés host Sevilla at Mendizorrotza. Both sides are looking to put down markers early in the 2025/26 campaign. Alavés have kept things tight at the back and turned Vitoria into a tough place to visit, while Sevilla are trying to find balance between scoring plenty and cutting out the mistakes at the other end. The atmosphere will be sharp, with the home crowd always noisy in a compact ground, while the away following is expected to travel in numbers to back their side. Stylistically, Alavés will look to keep their defensive shape and take chances when they come, while Sevilla tend to dominate the ball and push their attacking lines high up the pitch.

🔑 Tactical Trends

Alavés average 50% possession and prefer compact defensive spacing, averaging 15 tackles and interceptions per game. They look to break with pace and have made good use of set-pieces. Sevilla average 55% possession and 12 shots per game, funnelling plenty of their play through central areas. Defensively though, they concede 1.75 goals on average and haven’t managed a clean sheet in their last ten. Expect Alavés to sit in and frustrate, while Sevilla push numbers forward but leave themselves vulnerable to direct counters.

📋 Form

Across their last ten, Alavés have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They’ve kept 5 clean sheets and average 1.75 points per game. Sevilla’s last ten show 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats, with 14 scored and 14 conceded, and worryingly no clean sheets. Their points return is just 1.0 per game, reflecting their inconsistency despite good attacking output.

📊 Average Goals Scored per Game

Alavés: 1.1 | Sevilla: 1.75

📊 Average Goals Conceded per Game

Alavés: 0.8 | Sevilla: 1.75

📊 Clean Sheet Percentage

Alavés: 50% | Sevilla: 0%

📊 Average Possession

Alavés: 50% | Sevilla: 55%

📊 Average Corners per Game

Alavés: 4.0 | Sevilla: 5.0

📊 Average Yellow Cards per Game

Alavés: 2.0 | Sevilla: 2.0

📊 Average Shots per Game

Alavés: 10 (4 on target) | Sevilla: 12 (4.5 on target)

📊 Expected Goals (xG) per Game

Alavés: 0.85 for, 0.8 against | Sevilla: 1.2 for, 1.5 against

📊 Set Piece Goals

Alavés: 0.25 scored, 0.25 conceded | Sevilla: 0.25 scored, 0.5 conceded

📊 Pass Completion Rate

Alavés: 80% | Sevilla: 85%

📊 Tackles & Interceptions

Alavés: 15.0 | Sevilla: 15.0

📊 Goal Timing

Alavés: 40% first half, 60% second half | Sevilla: 45% first half, 55% second half

📊 Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Alavés: Over 2.5 in 25% | Sevilla: Over 2.5 in 50%

📊 Points per Game

Alavés: 1.75 | Sevilla: 1.0

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Alavés have turned Mendizorrotza into a fortress, winning four of their last five at home and keeping three clean sheets in that spell. Sevilla’s away form is mixed — they can score freely but also concede regularly, with only one away clean sheet in their last ten league trips.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence

BTTS Likelihood

Expected Goals (xG) Match-up

⚖️ Head-to-Head

The last five meetings between these clubs have been high-scoring affairs. In January 2025, Alavés edged a 4-3 thriller in Vitoria. Sevilla had won 3-2 at home in August 2024, while Alavés claimed a 3-2 win in Seville in January 2024. In August 2023, Alavés won 4-3 at home, while Sevilla took a 2-1 win in March 2023. Overall, it’s been back-and-forth with goals almost guaranteed.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

Sevilla can’t keep clean sheets but do score regularly, while Alavés are very organised defensively and strong at home. Expect an entertaining match with both sides finding the net, but Alavés may just edge it thanks to their resilience. Prediction: 2-1 Alavés.

💡 Betting Tips

Main Pick: Both Teams To Score — Sevilla’s defensive record suggests vulnerability, while their attack is good enough to nick a goal. Alavés are reliable at home and should contribute too.

Value Bet: Over 2.5 Goals — head-to-head history and Sevilla’s open style point to another high-scoring encounter.

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