Metz vs Rennes | Ligue 1 Preview & Betting Tips | 28 Nov 2025
Metz are scrapping for every point near the bottom and desperately need a result, while Rennes are charging up the table and fancy their chances of a European spot. The home crowd will be right behind them at Saint-Symphorien – expect a proper cauldron atmosphere with a strong travelling support from Brittany.
Metz usually line up in a compact 4-2-3-1, happy to sit deep and counter. Rennes go with a fluid 4-3-3 / 4-4-2 diamond, pressing high and looking to dominate possession. No major fresh injury concerns reported.
Metz are seeing very little of the ball (48% possession) and concede nearly 1.9 xG per game – they’re surviving on grit and the odd break. Rennes are controlling games (51% possession), firing in over 13 shots a match and keeping six clean sheets in ten.
Rennes love to press high and win the ball back quickly – this could be a long night for the Metz back line.
Metz over the last ten: two wins, four draws, four defeats – 10 scored, 11 conceded, three clean sheets. They’re drawing a lot but struggling to turn one point into three.
Rennes: eight wins, one draw, one defeat – 19 scored, just 6 conceded, six clean sheets. Absolutely red-hot right now.
Around 3-4 bookings – leaning under 3.5 cards in a fairly disciplined contest.
Combined average 10 – over 9.5 corners looks the play.
Rennes alone average 5, Metz 3.5 – over 9 shots on target should land.
Metz at home (last 10): 40% win rate, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded – tough to break down at Saint-Symphorien.
Rennes away (last 10): 70% wins, averaging 2.0 scored and just 0.7 conceded – absolutely lethal on the road.
Goals Against (per game)
Rennes are creating far more and conceding far less – the gap in quality is clear.
Rennes have dominated recent meetings – winning four of the last five, including a 5-1 thrashing at home and a 3-2 win here in 2024. The only blot was a 1-1 draw at Metz in 2021.
Rennes are in sensational form, keeping clean sheets for fun and scoring freely. Metz are battling but simply don’t have enough quality to live with this Rennes side right now.
Prediction: Metz 0-2 Rennes
Main pick: Rennes -1 handicap – they’ve won six of their last seven by 2+ goals.
Value angle: Rennes to win to nil – six clean sheets in ten and Metz average under one goal per game.
Double chance: Rennes or draw – Metz have won just twice in ten.
Over/under 2.5 goals: Under – Rennes games are often low-scoring wins lately.
Half-time/full-time: Draw/Rennes – Rennes often grind out results after the break.
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Who will win Metz vs Rennes?
Rennes – they’re in red-hot form and Metz are struggling.
What is the best bet in the Metz vs Rennes game?
Rennes -1 handicap and Rennes to win to nil both stand out.
WhatITATION time does Metz vs Rennes kick off in the UK?
7:45 pm GMT, Friday 28 November 2025.
Where is Metz vs Rennes being played?
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz.
What are the recent head-to-head results?
Rennes have won four of the last five meetings, including 5-1 and 3-2.
Who has the better form?
Rennes – eight wins in ten and six clean sheets.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction?
Metz 0-2 Rennes.
Who has the best xG?
Rennes – far superior in both creation and prevention.
Will both teams score (BTTS)?
No – model gives only 44% chance.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Under – Rennes games are often low-scoring wins lately.