Real Sociedad vs Mallorca

Real Sociedad welcome Mallorca to the Reale Arena on 24 September 2025 in a La Liga clash where both sides are desperate for their first win of the campaign. The hosts come into this one sitting inside the relegation zone after five without a victory, while the visitors haven’t fared much better, with no wins themselves this season. It has the feel of a six-pointer already, even at this early stage.

The atmosphere in San Sebastián is expected to be tense but supportive, with the home fans pushing their side to snap the poor run. Mallorca will travel with decent backing of their own, buoyed by draws against some of the league’s bigger names. The hosts typically favour a possession-based 4-3-3, while the visitors sit deeper in a compact 4-4-2, looking to spring forward on transitions.

• Possession and control: The hosts average 56% of the ball, but their defensive leaks mean that dominance hasn’t translated into results. The visitors hover at 45% possession and are more direct when opportunities arise.
• Shot creation: Sociedad fire off 13.4 shots per game with 4.6 on target, while Mallorca manage just 10.6 and 4.0 on target — a gap that suggests the home side will have more looks at goal.
• Set-pieces and restarts: Sociedad score 0.3 per game from set pieces but concede almost as many. Mallorca concede even more from dead balls (0.5 per game), so corners and free kicks could swing it.

Real Sociedad (last 10): 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses. Around 10 goals scored and 18 conceded. They’ve been winless in their last five and have yet to keep a clean sheet this season.

Mallorca (last 10): 2 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses. Roughly 10 goals scored and 20 conceded. They’ve shown fight in some games but remain shaky at the back.

Sociedad at home: winless in their last five overall, with goals leaking and defensive confidence missing. Corners are plentiful but not converted into goals.

Mallorca away: competitive in spells but struggling to see games out, often undone late on. Draws against stronger sides have shown resilience, but defensive lapses remain common.

Sociedad average 1.18 xG with 1.80 xGA, while Mallorca sit at 0.88 xG and 1.84 xGA. The hosts edge the chance creation, but both leak heavily at the back.

The last five meetings show Mallorca have had the upper hand recently, winning 2-0 in April 2025 at the Reale Arena and 1-0 in Palma in September 2024. Sociedad did beat them away in February 2024, while a Copa del Rey tie that same month went to penalties with Mallorca edging it. Prior to that, Sociedad won 1-0 at home in October 2023. The trend leans towards tight, low-scoring games with Mallorca shading the recent results.

Prediction: 1–1 draw. Neither side have found a win so far, and both defences are leaking goals. Sociedad may control more of the ball, but Mallorca have proven stubborn opponents in this fixture. A share of the points feels the likeliest outcome.

Main pick: Draw — there isn’t much between the two teams.

Value angle: Under 3.0 Goals (Asian) — head-to-head history and goal averages suggest a tighter scoreline despite defensive frailties.