Everton vs Crystal Palace | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 5 October 2025
Everton are desperate to get back to winning ways after a wobbly run, with just two wins from six in the league and a recent cup exit. Goodison has been a stronghold, though, with no losses in their last four home games. Crystal Palace are flying, unbeaten in 10 across all competitions, including a massive 2-1 win over Liverpool last week. Everton’s likely 4-4-2 will focus on physicality and set-pieces, while Palace’s 3-4-2-1 will lean on quick counters and a tight defensive shape. This one’s a proper battle—Everton’s home grit against Palace’s newfound swagger, with a recent head-to-head edge for the Toffees adding extra spice.
- Possession split: Everton’s 45.5% possession edges Palace’s 43.3%, but both sides prefer direct play, with Everton channeling attacks through wide areas.
- Defensive work rate: Palace’s 13.5 tackles and 7.0 interceptions per game show their compact shape, while Everton’s 13.0 tackles and 6.17 interceptions suggest a similar battle in the middle.
- Counter threat: Palace’s recent wins come from fast breaks, generating 1.85 xG per game, while Everton’s home games rely on set-piece chances.
Everton last 10: 3–2–3, goals 9 for / 8 against, clean sheets 3. Everton’s been inconsistent, with strong home wins but struggles on the road and a recent dip in scoring.
Crystal Palace last 10: 5–5–0, goals 15 for / 6 against, clean sheets 5. Palace are on fire, unbeaten in 10, with a rock-solid defence and clinical finishing.
Everton’s attack has been steady but unspectacular, averaging just over a goal per game. Palace’s 1.5 shows their recent knack for finding the net, especially in big wins.
Everton’s defence has been leaky at times, especially away. Palace’s stingy 0.6 goals conceded per game highlights their defensive masterclass this season.
Everton’s kept a few clean sheets at home, but Palace’s 50% rate shows they’re tough to break down, especially in recent weeks.
Both sides are happy to let opponents have the ball, with Everton slightly edging possession. Expect a direct, end-to-end game.
Everton’s games see a decent number of corners, averaging 9.2 total, thanks to their wide play. Palace’s data is missing, but expect 8–10 corners in this match given both teams’ direct styles.
Both teams are physical, with Everton picking up slightly more bookings. Expect 3–4 yellow cards in a feisty encounter.
Both sides generate similar shot volumes, but Palace’s higher on-target rate reflects their clinical edge recently.
Palace’s 1.85 xG shows they create quality chances, while Everton’s 1.28 xG is solid but less threatening. Palace’s lower xGA gives them a defensive edge.
Everton’s set-piece threat is decent but not prolific, while they’ve conceded a few from dead balls. Palace’s lack of data hides their potential, but recent games suggest they’re solid at defending set-pieces.
Palace edge passing accuracy and defensive work, showing their disciplined setup. Everton’s similar tackling numbers suggest a gritty midfield battle.
Everton’s goals are split evenly, with a slight second-half edge. Palace’s timing data is unclear, but recent wins show goals across both halves.
Everton’s games are split evenly for over/under 2.5, while Palace’s tight defence keeps most matches under 2.5 goals.
Palace’s 2.0 points per game reflects their unbeaten run, while Everton’s 1.33 shows their up-and-down form.
Everton at home: Unbeaten in their last four league games at Goodison, with two wins and two draws, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.5 per game. Their home ground is a tough place to visit.
Crystal Palace away: Three wins and two draws from five away games across all competitions, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.6 per game. Their away form is rock-solid, with clean sheets in three of five.
Goals Against (per game)
Palace’s attack is firing, but their tight defence faces Everton’s home threat. Everton’s leaky defence could struggle against Palace’s clinical counters.
xG Against (per game)
Palace’s 1.85 xG per game shows they create high-quality chances, while Everton’s 1.28 xG is decent but less potent. Palace’s 1.12 xGA gives them a slight defensive edge over Everton’s 1.33.
Everton have dominated recent clashes, winning four of the last five. They nicked a 2-1 win at Selhurst Park in February 2025 and a 2-1 home win in September 2024. A 1-1 draw came at Goodison in February 2024, and Everton won 1-0 in an FA Cup tie in January 2024. Palace’s lone win was a 3-2 thriller at home in November 2023. These games average 2.4 goals, so expect a tight, competitive match.
Everton’s home form and head-to-head dominance give them a slight edge, but Palace’s unbeaten run and defensive solidity make this a tough one to call. The Toffees will push hard with set-pieces, while Palace’s counter-attacks could punish any slip-ups. It’s likely to be close, with both sides finding the net.
Prediction: 1–1 draw.
Main pick: Draw — Palace’s form and Everton’s home resilience suggest a stalemate, backed by their tight H2H history.
Value angle: Both Teams to Score — With a 60% BTTS likelihood and both sides scoring in recent meetings, this looks a solid bet.
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Who will win Everton vs Crystal Palace?
It’s too close to call, but we lean towards a draw given Everton’s home form and Palace’s unbeaten streak. Our call is a 1–1 draw.
What is the best bet in the Everton vs Crystal Palace game?
Draw is the main pick; a value bet is Both Teams to Score at 60% likelihood.
What time does Everton vs Crystal Palace kick off in the UK?
Sunday, 5 October 2025. Check final TV listings for the confirmed UK kick-off time.
Where is Everton vs Crystal Palace being played?
At Goodison Park, Liverpool, England.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Everton and Crystal Palace?
Everton won 2-1 at Selhurst Park in February 2025 and 2-1 at home in September 2024. A 1-1 draw came at Goodison in February 2024, and Everton won 1-0 in an FA Cup tie in January 2024. Palace won 3-2 at home in November 2023.
Who has the better form going into Everton vs Crystal Palace?
Palace are 5–5–0 across their last 10, while Everton are 3–2–3. Palace’s unbeaten run gives them the edge.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Everton vs Crystal Palace?
1–1 draw.
Who has the better xG in Everton vs Crystal Palace?
Palace lead with 1.85 xG for / 1.12 xGA compared to Everton’s 1.28 xG for / 1.33 xGA.
Will BTTS land in the Everton vs Crystal Palace game?
Model probability is 60%.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Everton vs Crystal Palace game?
Leaning to Under 2.5 Goals, given Palace’s 70% under rate and Everton’s tight home games.