Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 5 October 2025
Wolves are in a rough patch, rooted to the bottom with just one point from six league games, though a recent cup win offers a glimmer of hope. Vitor Pereira’s side are desperate to turn things around at home, where they’ve yet to win this season. Brighton, under Fabian Hurzeler, are flying high with a five-match unbeaten run, including a stunning 3-1 win at Chelsea. Wolves’ likely 3-4-3 will lean on physicality and direct play, while Brighton’s 4-2-3-1 will focus on controlling possession around 55% and exploiting counters. Brighton’s recent dominance at Molineux adds spice, but Wolves’ fight for survival could make this a proper scrap.
- Possession battle: Brighton’s 55% possession average dwarfs Wolves’ 42%, with the visitors building through central channels, while Wolves rely on wide attacks.
- Defensive work rate: Wolves’ 14.2 tackles and 7.5 interceptions per game show their fight, but Brighton’s 13.8 tackles and 7.2 interceptions suggest a balanced midfield tussle.
- Chance creation: Brighton’s 1.6 xG per game contrasts Wolves’ 0.9 xG, highlighting the visitors’ ability to create better opportunities.
Wolves last 10: 2–2–6, goals 8 for / 19 against, clean sheets 2. Wolves are struggling, with heavy home losses and a lack of cutting edge, though a recent cup win shows some fight.
Brighton last 10: 4–3–3, goals 12 for / 10 against, clean sheets 2. Brighton’s been in top form, with wins over big sides and a solid defensive setup.
Wolves’ attack is misfiring, barely hitting a goal per game. Brighton’s 1.71 shows their clinical edge, especially in recent away wins.
Wolves’ defence has been leaky, especially at home, while Brighton’s tighter backline gives them an edge against struggling attacks.
Wolves rarely keep clean sheets, while Brighton’s 28.6% rate shows their defensive solidity, especially on the road.
Brighton’s ball control will likely dominate, while Wolves’ lower possession suits their direct, counter-attacking style.
Wolves’ physical approach leads to more bookings, while Brighton’s disciplined setup keeps cards lower. Expect 3–5 yellows in a feisty match.
Brighton’s higher shot volume and accuracy reflect their attacking threat, while Wolves’ numbers show their struggle to create clear chances.
Brighton’s 1.6 xG shows they create quality chances, while Wolves’ 1.0 xG and high 1.8 xGA underline their defensive issues.
Brighton’s slick passing gives them control, while Wolves’ higher tackling rate shows their fight, setting up a gritty midfield battle.
Both teams’ games often see goals, with Wolves’ leaky defence and Brighton’s attacking flair pushing over 2.5 in most matches.
Brighton’s 1.67 points per game reflects their strong form, while Wolves’ 1.0 shows their struggle to pick up results.
Wolves at home: No wins from three league games at Molineux, with 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring 0.67 and conceding 2.0 per game. Their home form is a major concern.
Brighton away: Two wins and one draw from three away league games, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.0 per game. Their away strength is a big advantage.
Goals Against (per game)
Brighton’s attack outshines Wolves’ struggling offence, and their tighter defence faces a leaky Wolves backline. This could be a tough day for the hosts.
xG Against (per game)
Brighton’s 1.6 xG per game shows they create better chances than Wolves’ 1.0 xG, while their 1.3 xGA is stronger than Wolves’ vulnerable 1.8 xGA.
Brighton have had the edge lately, winning three of the last five meetings. They beat Wolves 2-0 at Molineux in May 2025 and 2-1 at home in December 2024. A 2-2 draw came at Molineux in October 2024, while Wolves won 1-0 away in April 2024 and 1-0 at home in December 2023. These games average 2.0 goals, with Brighton’s recent Molineux wins adding pressure on the hosts.
Brighton’s form, attacking flair, and recent dominance at Molineux make them favourites, but Wolves’ desperation under Vitor Pereira could keep it close. Brighton’s possession and counter threat should exploit Wolves’ leaky defence, though the hosts’ physicality might nick a goal. Fabian Hurzeler’s side should have enough to edge it.
Prediction: 1–2 away win.
Main pick: Brighton to Win — Brighton’s strong away form (1.67 goals scored, 1.0 conceded) and Wolves’ dismal home record make this a solid choice.
Value angle: Both Teams to Score — With a 65% BTTS likelihood and Wolves scoring at home despite losses, this looks a decent bet.
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Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
We’re backing Brighton to edge it, given their strong form and Wolves’ struggles. Our call is a 1–2 away win.
What is the best bet in the Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion game?
Brighton to Win is the main pick; a value bet is Both Teams to Score at 65% likelihood.
What time does Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion kick off in the UK?
Sunday, 5 October 2025. Check final TV listings for the confirmed UK kick-off time.
Where is Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion being played?
At Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, England.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Brighton & Hove Albion?
Brighton won 2-0 at Molineux in May 2025 and 2-1 at home in December 2024. A 2-2 draw came at Molineux in October 2024, while Wolves won 1-0 away in April 2024 and 1-0 at home in December 2023.
Who has the better form going into Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Brighton are 4–3–3 across their last 10, while Wolves are 2–2–6. Brighton’s unbeaten run gives them the edge.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
1–2 to Brighton & Hove Albion.
Who has the better xG in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Brighton lead with 1.6 xG for / 1.3 xGA compared to Wolves’ 1.0 xG for / 1.8 xGA.
Will BTTS land in the Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion game?
Model probability is 65%.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Albion game?
Leaning to Over 2.5 Goals, given both teams’ 50%+ over rate and Wolves’ defensive issues.