Dundee vs Livingston | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 20th September 2025

The Premiership returns on 20 September 2025 as Dundee host Livingston at Dens Park. Both clubs enter the match looking to carve out momentum after mixed starts to the campaign. Dundee’s home support will expect energy after recent results have offered both resilience and inconsistency, while Livingston travel with an eye on staying organised and nicking something from the game.

Tactically, Dundee are often in a 4-2-3-1 that can flex into a 4-3-3, seeking balance between direct counters and possession spells. Livingston usually line up in a compact 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1, keeping shape and relying on patient defending before breaking forward. It sets up a contrast of the hosts’ willingness to press against the visitors’ focus on solidity.

• Dundee average 45% possession but still carve chances, leaning on transitions and set pieces. Livingston sit slightly lower at 42% possession, prioritising compact spacing.
• Dundee’s shot output is around 10 per game with 3–4 on target, while Livingston’s is closer to 9 attempts with fewer clear openings. Both sides have struggled to convert possession into high xG chances.
• Livingston concede only 1.0 goals per match but have scored just 0.6 on average, showing a cautious profile. Dundee concede slightly more at 1.2 per match, yet also edge them in scoring.

Dundee (last 10 competitive): 2 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats. They’ve scored 11 and conceded 12 across those matches, averaging just over a goal a game. Clean sheets have been rare (20%), and there’s a tendency to concede after half-time.

Livingston (last 10 competitive): 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats across the tail end of last season and this campaign. However, goals have dried up in the Premiership step up — just 6 scored in the most recent 10, but they’ve kept things fairly tight defensively.

Dundee: 1.1
Livingston: 0.6

Dundee: 1.2
Livingston: 1.0

Dundee: 20%
Livingston: 20%

Dundee: 45%
Livingston: 42%

Dundee: 4.5
Livingston: 4.0

Dundee: 2.0
Livingston: 2.2

Dundee: 10.0 (3.5 on target)
Livingston: 9.0 (3.0 on target)

Dundee: 0.67
Livingston: 1.2

Dundee: 1.5
Livingston: 1.2

Dundee: 0.2
Livingston: 0.2

Dundee: 0.3
Livingston: 0.4

Dundee: 78%
Livingston: 75%

Dundee: 15.0
Livingston: 14.0

Dundee: 40% first half / 60% second half
Livingston: 30% first half / 70% second half

Dundee: 60% under / 40% over
Livingston: 100% under / 0% over

Dundee: 1.0
Livingston: 0.8

Dundee at home (last 10): often uneven, with just a couple of wins but several games where they’ve been hard to beat. Goals for are modest, but the backing at Dens can give them an edge in tight matches.

Livingston away (last 10): a cautious approach, leaning heavily on structure. Away scoring is low, but they can frustrate opponents and grind out draws.

Dundee’s chance creation is low compared with their xGA, while Livingston’s balance of xG for and against suggests a side that stays in games but struggles to kill them off. Expect margins to be fine here.

The last five meetings have been tight and often low scoring. Dundee won convincingly in September 2023 at home, Livingston edged it the year before, and there have been draws scattered in between — including a goalless contest in late 2023. Goals have been rare in this fixture overall.

Dundee’s higher attacking output might tilt things, but Livingston’s discipline means this could easily be scrappy and low scoring. A draw looks most likely, with neither side convincing enough to be backed outright.

Prediction: Dundee 1–1 Livingston

Main pick: Draw — the numbers point towards a stalemate in a game likely to be tight throughout.