Falkirk vs Hibernian | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 23rd September 2025

It’s a big night in the central belt as Falkirk welcome Hibernian on 23 September 2025. The hosts are fresh to the division and finding their feet, while the visitors have been stubborn to beat but still searching for rhythm after a cup exit at the weekend. Expect a full house and a noisy travelling end — proper Scottish football energy for a fixture with plenty riding on early-season momentum.

On the pitch, the hosts have leaned towards a 4-2-3-1 that becomes 2-3-5 in possession: full-backs high, a double pivot to recycle, and the striker attacking the near post. The visitors are comfortable in a 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 blend, happy to keep the ball and spring quick wide runners. One side brings front-foot pressing and quick diagonals; the other prefers patient circulation before shifting the tempo into the channels.

• Possession profiles: the visitors average ~60% of the ball and attempt ~17.5 shots per match, so expect them to probe and keep Falkirk penned for spells.
• Hosts’ direct punch: the hosts are around 58% possession but create with vertical passes and set-plays (0.40 set-piece goals per game) — useful against a side that defends space well but can be out-muscled at dead balls.
• Second-half tilt: both sides score a shade more after the break (hosts split 50/50; visitors 55% after HT). If level on the hour, the game tends to open up.

Falkirk (last 10 competitive): 6–2–2. That’s 18 scored and 11 conceded — about 1.8 for and 1.1 against per match with 3 clean sheets. The pattern: decent volume from wide service, but they’ve needed set-plays to break tight games.

Hibernian (last 10 competitive): 4–4–2. Totals of 14 for, 10 against — roughly 1.4 for and 1.0 against per match with 3 clean sheets. They control territory, yet some matches drift without enough penalty-box presence.

Falkirk: 1.60
Hibernian: 1.40

Falkirk: 1.40
Hibernian: 1.00

Falkirk: 20%
Hibernian: 40%

Falkirk: 58%
Hibernian: 60%

Falkirk: 5.0
Hibernian: 5.5

Falkirk: 1.45
Hibernian: 1.65

Falkirk: 1.30
Hibernian: 0.95

Falkirk: 0.40
Hibernian: 0.20

Falkirk: 0.60
Hibernian: 0.40

Falkirk: 84.5%
Hibernian: 86.2%

Falkirk: 12.75 (4.20 on target)
Hibernian: 17.50 (5.80 on target)

Falkirk: 1.80
Hibernian: 1.60

Falkirk: 15.0 tackles; 10.5 interceptions
Hibernian: 13.5 tackles; 9.0 interceptions

Falkirk: 50% first half / 50% second half
Hibernian: 45% first half / 55% second half

Falkirk: 40% under / 60% over
Hibernian: 60% under / 40% over

Falkirk: 1.20
Hibernian: 1.80

Falkirk at home (recent trend): energetic starts in their new surroundings, leaning on the press and dead-ball delivery. When the back line holds its shape, they look a handful; when stretched, gaps appear between midfield and defence.

Hibernian away (recent trend): comfortable with the ball and brave with the full-backs, but occasionally lack penalty-box punch. They do keep games tidy — a fair number of their away days land under the goals line.

The visitors typically generate around 1.65 xG to the hosts’ 1.45, while the defensive side tilts toward the visitors too (~0.95 xGA versus ~1.30 xGA). That points to a small expected-chance edge for the away side if territory control holds.

The last five competitive meetings are historical but one-sided: a draw in April 2009, then three wins for the visitors around that period, and a home defeat for the hosts back in December 2009. The most recent was a visitors’ win in March 2010 in Edinburgh. Not much recent data, but the longer-term trend favours the away side.

The hosts bring set-piece bite and plenty of running; the visitors bring control and cleaner chance quality. With the crowd behind the home side, this feels tight — but the visitors’ xG profile and calmer back line give them a slight edge.

Prediction: Falkirk 1–2 Hibernian

Main pick: Both Teams To Score — hosts’ BTTS rate sits around 60% across the latest ten; visitors around 50%, and both have second-half scoring trends.

Value bet: Over 2.0 Asian Goals — safety on exactly two, with the over helped by the visitors’ shot volume and the hosts’ set-play output.