Como vs Cremonese | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | Serie A | 27th September 2025

Como vs Cremonese on 27 September 2025 is a Lombardy derby with real early-season bite. Como have made a bright start to life back in Serie A, picking up points against established sides, while Cremonese arrive unbeaten and playing with the confidence of a side that’s carried strong momentum from last season’s promotion push. A full house at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia should make for a noisy afternoon, with both sets of supporters keen to get one over on their neighbours.

Tactically, Como tend to keep things compact in a 4-4-2/4-3-3 hybrid, looking for quick transitions and disciplined lines between defence and midfield. Cremonese, meanwhile, play a more possession-heavy game, often settling into a 4-2-3-1 that flexes into a 4-4-2 when defending. Expect Como to break quickly and aggressively, while Cremonese will aim to control tempo through the middle of the pitch.

• Como average 48% possession this season, but still deliver around 1.20 xG per game through counter-attacks and set-piece efficiency.
• Cremonese see more of the ball at 52% possession, though their defensive metrics show some looseness — an xGA of 1.35 suggests they can be opened up despite their unbeaten run.
• Both sides rely on set-pieces: Como generate 0.50 goals per game from dead balls, while Cremonese are at a similar mark, but concede slightly more from these situations.

Como last 10: 6–2–2. Goals: 13 for, 8 against. They’ve built a reputation for grinding out results, often with narrow margins, and four clean sheets in that run highlight defensive discipline.

Cremonese last 10: 6–3–1. Goals: 15 for, 9 against. Consistency has been their strength, unbeaten in their last seven, though four of those have been draws where they struggled to convert dominance into clear wins.

Como at home: Four wins and two draws from their last six competitive fixtures, with multiple clean sheets and an average of just 0.7 goals conceded per match.

Cremonese away: A strong return of five wins from their last six on the road, averaging close to 2 goals per game and looking tough to break down in away settings.

Como are generating ~1.2 xG per game while keeping opponents around 1.1. Cremonese sit slightly lower on chance creation at 0.8 xG, but concede the higher figure of 1.35, suggesting Como may edge the expected chances in this clash.

The last five league meetings have all gone Cremonese’s way: a 2–1 win in March 2024, a 1–0 away victory in October 2023, plus further wins in 2022 and 2021. Como’s last success in this fixture stretches back several years, and they’ll be eager to turn that around in front of their own fans.

Prediction: 1–1 draw. Como’s home resilience and sharp set-piece play could trouble a Cremonese side that keeps possession well but looks leaky defensively. With both sides carrying steady early-season momentum, the points may well be shared.

Main Pick: Draw — Cremonese’s run of tight matches and Como’s compact shape suggest this derby could end all square.