Pisa vs Udinese | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 14th September 2025
🗞️ Introduction
Pisa welcome Udinese to the Arena Garibaldi on 14 September 2025. It’s a smart early-season yardstick: Pisa, buoyed by a busy summer and a noisy home support, against an Udinese side reshaped after notable exits last year. Expect a proper atmosphere — the Curva will be on it and the visitors usually travel well.
On the grass, Pisa tend to a compact 4-2-3-1 that becomes adventurous once they settle, with Marius Marin and Michel Aebischer connecting midfield to the front. Udinese are likelier to be 3-5-2: wing-backs provide thrust, Adam Buksa offers a reference up top, and Nicolò Zaniolo drifts to find pockets between the lines.
🔑 Tactical Trends
- Pisa’s dead-ball nudge: roughly 0.24 set-piece goals per game last season; they load the box and look for Caracciolo/Canestrelli on the first contact.
- Udinese shoot plenty, finish little: around 15 shots a game but only 1.0 goal — chance quality and final touch are the question marks.
- Transitions decide it: Pisa win duels (~14.5 tackles per match) then break; Udinese try to spring Zemura/Modesto wide to drag centre-backs out.
👕 Team News
Pisa — Out: Juan Cuadrado (muscle). Doubts: Francesco Coppola (ankle), İsak Vural (inflammation), Tomás Esteves (fitness). Expect Raúl Albiol to marshal the line if ready; Alexander Lind leads the attack with support from Matteo Tramoni.
Udinese — Out: Sandi Lovrić (muscle), Daniele Padelli (knee). Doubts: Vakoun Bayo (thigh), Matteo Palma (muscle), and Maduka Okoye (disciplinary call). Likely front two built around Adam Buksa; creative burden on Nicolò Zaniolo and Jurgen Ekkelenkamp inside.
📋 Form
Pisa (last 10 competitive): 4–3–3. About 1.34 scored and 1.11 conceded per match; tidy at the back (32% clean sheets) and tend to grow after half-time (60% of goals after the break).
Udinese (last 10 competitive): 3–2–5. Roughly 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded. They keep matches tight, but converting pressure into clear chances has been the sticking point.
📊 Key Match Stats
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| Metric | Pisa | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins–Draws–Losses (last 10) | 4–3–3 | 3–2–5 |
| Average goals scored per game | 1.34 | 1.00 |
| Average goals conceded per game | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet percentage | 32% | 23% |
| Average possession | 48% | 48% |
| Expected goals (xG) per game | 1.25 | 0.96 |
| Average corners per game | 4.8 | — |
| Under / Over 2.5 goals (share of matches) | 55% / 45% | 53% / 47% |
⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals Against
🔔 BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood: 59%
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🎯 Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG Against (avg)
Pisa’s chance creation edges Udinese on recent numbers. If the hosts keep their xG against around the 1.1 mark, they’re in good shape.
⚖️ Head-to-Head & Referee Watch
Last five meetings — Udinese have had the upper hand historically, though they’ve met rarely in recent years.
| Date | Competition | Scoreline | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2022 | Coppa Italia | Pisa 1–4 Udinese | Arena Garibaldi |
| 10 Mar 1991 | Serie A | Udinese 0–0 Pisa | Stadio Friuli |
| 4 Nov 1990 | Serie A | Pisa 0–1 Udinese | Arena Garibaldi |
| 2 Apr 1989 | Serie A | Udinese 1–1 Pisa | Stadio Friuli |
| 20 Nov 1988 | Serie A | Pisa 0–0 Udinese | Arena Garibaldi |
Referee: Appointment to be confirmed at time of writing.
🥅 Players to Watch
Alexander Lind (Pisa) — Links play, occupies centre-backs and attacks the six-yard box. If Pisa get runners off him, chances follow.
Nicolò Zaniolo (Udinese) — The wildcard. Finds half-spaces and can decide it with one decisive action.
🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction
Pisa’s structure at home and set-piece edge feel important, but Udinese’s experience should keep them honest. Tight margins, few clear chances, and one of those games where the first goal changes everything.
Prediction: Pisa 1–1 Udinese
💡 Betting Tips
Main pick:Draw
Value play: Correct Score 1–1 — suits both profiles and recent trends.
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