Udinese vs Parma | Serie A Preview & Betting Tips | 29 Nov 2025
Udinese and Parma are comfortably clear of the drop zone and both fancy a push towards the top half. Nothing massive riding on it, but three points would be very handy going into the winter break. The home crowd always gives Udinese a lift – expect a loud, passionate night in Friuli with a decent away following too.
Udinese stick with their solid 3-4-2-1 that sits deep and springs forward quickly. Parma go 4-2-3-1 and try to control possession when they can, but they’re happy to mix it up.
Both teams love a clean sheet – Udinese keep 40% shutouts and Parma 30%. Neither is firing on all cylinders in attack, with Parma edging shots and xG but Udinese the tighter unit at the back. Set pieces could be huge – both concede very few from dead balls, so one mistake might decide it.
Udinese over the last ten: four wins, four draws, two defeats – 9 scored, 8 conceded, four clean sheets. Hard to beat and picking up points steadily.
Parma: four wins, four draws, two defeats – 12 scored, 11 conceded, three clean sheets. Slightly more open but taking more risks going forward.
Udinese at home (last 10): 50% win rate, averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded – the Bluenergy is a tough place to visit.
Parma away (last 10): 30% wins, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded – decent but rarely blow teams away.
Goals Against (per game)
Very little to split them – both create and concede around 1.0–1.2 xG per game. Classic low-scoring Italian affair incoming.
Recent meetings have been tight: Udinese won 1-0 at home in January 2025, the reverse fixture ended 1-1 in August 2024, and before that it was 0-1 Udinese, 1-1 and 0-1 Udinese again. Four of the last five finished under 2.5 goals and three had just one goal.
Two well-organised sides who don’t give much away. Udinese have the home edge and the better defensive record, while Parma carry slightly more threat. Feels like one goal settles it – and the home crowd tips the balance.
Prediction: Udinese 1-0 Parma
Main pick: Udinese draw no bet – best of both worlds with their home form and defensive solidity.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals – 35% combined over rate and four of last five H2Hs under.
Double chance: Udinese or draw – Parma have won just three away all season.
Over/under 2.5 goals: Under – perfect for a cagey 1-0 or 0-0.
Half-time/full-time: Draw/Udinese – Udinese often grind out second-half wins at home.
Over/under 9.5 corners: Under – combined average 9.5 exactly.
Yellow cards prediction: Around 4-5 bookings – leaning over 4.5 cards.
Here are the key numbers behind tonight’s clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!
Neither side is banging them in – goals will be at a premium.
Udinese have the tightest defence of the two by some distance.
Udinese shut the door regularly – win-to-nil very much in play.
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Who will win Udinese vs Parma?
Udinese – home advantage and the best defence in this match-up.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Udinese vs Parma?
Udinese 1-0 Parma.
What time does Udinese vs Parma kick off in the UK?
7:45 pm GMT, Saturday 29 November 2025.
Where is Udinese vs Parma being played?
Bluenergy Stadium, Udine.
What are the recent head-to-head results Udinese vs Parma?
Very tight – four of the last five finished under 2.5 goals.
Who has the better recent form Udinese or Parma?
Parma shade points per game, but Udinese are stronger at home.
How many goals does Udinese score per game on average?
Udinese average 0.90 goals scored per game over their last ten.
How many goals does Parma concede per game on average?
Parma concede 1.10 goals per game over their last ten.
What is Udinese’s clean sheet percentage?
Udinese have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last ten games.
How many shots does Parma average per game?
Parma average 11.00 total shots and 4.00 on target per game.
What is Parma’s average possession?
Parma hold 50% possession on average.
How many corners does Parma win per game?
Parma average 5.00 corners per game.
What is Udinese’s xG and xG against?
Udinese create 1.00 xG and concede 1.00 xG per game.
How many set-piece goals does Parma score?
Parma score 0.20 set-piece goals per game on average.
What is the average pass completion rate for Parma?
Parma complete 82% of their passes.
When do Udinese and Parma score most of their goals?
Both teams score slightly more in the second half.
Will both teams score (BTTS) in Udinese vs Parma?
No – model gives only 38% chance.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Udinese vs Parma?
Under – both sides love a low-scoring game.
How many yellow cards are expected in Udinese vs Parma?
Around 4-5 – over 4.5 cards likely.
How many corners are expected in Udinese vs Parma?
Combined average 9.5 – under 9.5 corners the value.