Sevilla vs Villareal | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | 23rd September 2025

Sevilla welcome Villarreal to the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán on 23 September 2025, with both sides eager to keep pace in the upper half of La Liga. The hosts have been patchy but remain dangerous at home, while the visitors arrive sharper in attack and sitting higher in the early table. Expect a lively crowd and a noisy away following in what has become a competitive fixture in recent years.

Tactically, the hosts usually line up in a 4-2-3-1, with full-backs pushing high and the double pivot tasked with balancing cover and progression. Villarreal lean toward a 4-3-3, keeping the ball well and stretching opponents with width and quick interchanges. One side thrives in spells of possession; the other is more comfortable countering quickly when gaps appear.

• Possession battle: Villarreal average 58% of the ball compared to Sevilla’s 52%. The visitors circulate with high pass accuracy (87%), while the hosts look to turn possession into quicker surges down the flanks.
• Set-piece factor: Sevilla both score and concede frequently from dead balls (0.40 for, 0.60 against per game). Villarreal are tidier, netting 0.60 from set plays and letting in just 0.20. Corners (5.2 vs 6.5) also point toward an away edge in aerial situations.
• Pressing balance: Sevilla make slightly more tackles and interceptions, but Villarreal’s defensive line tends to sit higher, allowing them to compress play and recover possession quickly.

Sevilla: Over the last ten games they’ve picked up 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, scoring 16 and conceding 14. They’ve not managed a clean sheet in their first five this season, a worry considering the xGA trend of 1.48. The bright spot is their ability to keep scoring, averaging 1.75 goals so far in the new campaign.

Villarreal: They’ve posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats across the last ten, with 21 scored and 13 conceded. In La Liga this season they’ve started stronger, 3–1–1, creating close to 2.0 goals per game. The only blot was their Champions League opener, but domestically they look sharp and structured.

Sevilla at home: have been inconsistent, struggling for clean sheets but usually finding the net. Their recent draws underline how hard it’s been to close games out in Seville.

Villarreal away: carry real scoring threat on the road, averaging around two goals per match and rarely looking timid in attack. Their only away wobble lately came in Europe rather than in the league.

Villarreal consistently generate more chances (~1.8 xG) and defend them better (~0.96 xGA) compared to Sevilla (~0.74 xG and 1.48 xGA). That gap is significant over a 90 minutes.

Across the last five league meetings, it’s been very tight: a 1–1 draw in Villarreal in May 2024, a 1–0 Sevilla home win in January 2024, a 2–1 Villarreal home win in April 2023, a 1–1 draw in October 2022, and a 1–0 Villarreal win in March 2022. Three of those five ended with under 2.5 goals.

Sevilla will bank on the home crowd and their attacking rhythm, but their leaky defence faces a Villarreal side that looks sharper at both ends. Expect a lively contest with chances for both, but the away side’s balance should see them edge it.

Prediction: Sevilla 1–2 Villarreal

Main pick: Villarreal to Win & Over 2.5 Goals — combining their scoring record with Sevilla’s high concession rate offers attractive odds.