Faroe Islands vs Montenegro | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 9 October 2025
The Faroe Islands, fifth in Group L, are riding high after a gutsy 1-1 draw with Croatia, with manager Eyðun Klakstein, confirmed in role via Oct 5 presser, urging his side to repeat their June win over Montenegro. Montenegro, third in the group, are reeling from a 4-0 loss to Czechia, with manager Robert Prosinečki, verified Oct 6, demanding a reaction despite injuries. The Faroes will likely stick to a 4-4-2, sitting deep and looking for counters, while Montenegro’s 4-2-3-1 will aim to control possession and exploit set pieces. The Tórsvøllur crowd will be lively, but Montenegro’s fans will make their presence felt.
- Possession edge: Montenegro’s 42% possession slightly outpaces the Faroes’ 38%, with 35% of their attacks through central channels versus the Faroes’ 40% down the wings.
- Set-piece battle: Montenegro score 0.15 set-piece goals per game but concede 0.25, while the Faroes’ 0.10/0.20 balance suggests dead balls could be key.
- Defensive work rate: Montenegro’s 12.0 tackles and 4.5 interceptions edge out the Faroes’ 11.0/4.0, indicating a slight advantage in duels.
Faroe Islands last 10: 3–3–4, goals 7 for / 8 against, 4 clean sheets. The hosts are scrappy, with a big win over Montenegro and a draw against Croatia showing fight.
Montenegro last 10: 3–2–5, goals 8 for / 13 against, 3 clean sheets. The visitors are inconsistent, with recent heavy losses but wins over weaker sides.
Montenegro should edge possession, but the Faroes’ defensive setup could frustrate their build-up.
Montenegro’s slightly higher shot volume could pressure the Faroes’ backline, but their low xG suggests limited quality.
Both sides are low on corners, with Montenegro likely getting 3-5 and the Faroes 2-4. Expect around 7-9 corners total.
Montenegro’s higher booking rate could lead to a scrappy game, with 3-5 yellows likely as the Faroes press.
Montenegro’s slightly better xG suggests they’ll create more, but their high xGA could let the Faroes in.
Montenegro’s set-piece edge could be a factor, but both teams are vulnerable, making corners a potential flashpoint.
Montenegro’s slightly better passing and work rate could give them an edge, but the Faroes’ grit keeps them in the fight.
Both teams score more after the break, suggesting a cagey first half could open up later.
Low-scoring tendencies for both suggest a tight game, with under 2.5 goals more likely.
The Faroes’ slight edge in points reflects their home grit, while Montenegro’s inconsistency hurts them.
Faroe Islands at home: 2–1–2 from 5 competitive games, scoring 4 and conceding 3, with 2 clean sheets. The Faroes are tough at Tórsvøllur, with a win over Montenegro in June.
Montenegro away: 1–0–4 from 5 competitive games, scoring 2 and conceding 8, with 1 clean sheet. The visitors struggle on the road, with recent losses piling up.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against (per game)
Montenegro’s 0.85 xG and 1.40 xGA show a slight edge in chance creation but defensive frailty, while the Faroes’ 0.65 xG and 1.10 xGA suggest a low-scoring affair.
Recent meetings are split: the Faroe Islands won 2-1 at home in June 2025, while Montenegro edged a 1-0 victory in Nikšić in March 2025. No other recent competitive clashes exist, but the Faroes’ home win shows they can upset the odds.
The Faroe Islands’ home resilience and recent win over Montenegro give them a chance, but Montenegro’s xG and possession stats suggest they’ll push hard. Injuries hit both sides. Expect a tight, low-scoring game.
Prediction: 0-1 away win.
Main pick: Montenegro — stats can get you so far – they point to the home team getting something here – but my eyes say Montenegro should win this and sometimes it’s better to trust what you see.
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Who will win Faroe Islands vs Montenegro?
We lean toward a draw, with a predicted 1–1 result given their tight head-to-head and home/away dynamics.
What is the best bet in the Faroe Islands vs Montenegro game?
Draw is our main pick; BTTS offers value at 50% likelihood.
What time does Faroe Islands vs Montenegro kick off in the UK?
Thursday, 9 October 2025, expected around 19:45 BST (check final TV listings for confirmation).
Where is Faroe Islands vs Montenegro being played?
At Tórsvøllur, Tórshavn, Faroe Islands.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Faroe Islands and Montenegro?
Faroe Islands won 2-1 (Jun 2025, home); Montenegro won 1-0 (Mar 2025, home).
Who has the better form going into Faroe Islands vs Montenegro?
Faroe Islands edge it at 3–3–4 (7–8) versus Montenegro’s 3–2–5 (8–13) over the last 10 games.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Faroe Islands vs Montenegro?
1–1 draw.
Who has the best xG in Faroe Islands vs Montenegro?
Montenegro lead with 0.85 xG for / 1.40 xGA versus Faroe Islands’ 0.65 xG for / 1.10 xGA.
Will BTTS land in the Faroe Islands vs Montenegro game?
Our model gives a 50% chance of both teams scoring.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Faroe Islands vs Montenegro game?
With 70% under 2.5 for Faroes and 60% for Montenegro, under 2.5 goals is likely in this tight contest.