Kazakhstan vs Liechtenstein | Football Preview & Betting Tips | 10 October 2025
Kazakhstan, fourth in Group J, are winless in four, with heavy losses to Belgium and Wales, but manager Magomed Adiev’s call for “pride” on Oct 5 signals intent despite injuries. Liechtenstein, rock-bottom, have been hammered recently, with manager Konrad Fünfstück urging “character” on Oct 4 amid a depleted squad. The hosts will likely deploy a 4-2-3-1, pressing high to force errors, while the visitors’ 5-4-1 will sit deep and look to counter. Almaty’s fans will create a lively atmosphere, but Liechtenstein’s supporters will hope for resilience.
- Possession gap: Kazakhstan’s 38% possession edges Liechtenstein’s 32%, with 35% of attacks through central channels versus the visitors’ 25% down the flanks.
- Set-piece threat: Kazakhstan score 0.10 set-piece goals per game but concede 0.40, while Liechtenstein’s 0.05/0.30 balance suggests dead balls could hurt the visitors.
- Shot volume: Kazakhstan’s 8.0 shots (2.5 on target) outpace Liechtenstein’s 6.5 (2.0 on target), showing the hosts’ slight attacking edge.
Kazakhstan last 10: 0–4–6, goals 3 for / 25 against, 2 clean sheets. The hosts are struggling, with heavy defeats to top sides, but draws show some resilience.
Liechtenstein last 10: 1–2–7, goals 2 for / 18 against, 2 clean sheets. The visitors have one friendly win but are winless in competitive matches.
The hosts will likely dominate the ball, but Liechtenstein’s compact block could limit their control.
The hosts’ higher shot count could pressure the visitors’ defence, but their low xG suggests finishing issues.
The hosts may earn 3-5 corners, with the visitors likely getting 1-3, totaling around 5-8 corners.
Close booking rates suggest a scrappy game, with 2-4 yellows likely as the visitors defend deep.
The hosts’ slightly better xG could give them an edge, but both teams face high xGA, exposing defensive frailties.
The hosts’ set-piece struggles could limit their scoring, while the visitors’ weakness here might be exploited.
The hosts’ better passing and work rate could help them control, but the visitors’ dogged defending keeps them in games.
Both teams score more after the break, suggesting a tight first half could see late action.
The hosts’ leaky defence could push this over 2.5 goals, despite both teams’ low scoring output.
Equal clean sheet rates suggest both teams struggle to shut out opponents, favoring goals.
The hosts’ slightly better points tally reflects their edge, but both sides are struggling.
Kazakhstan at home: 0–1–2 from 3 competitive games, scoring 1 and conceding 12, with 0 clean sheets. The hosts struggle to convert home advantage.
Liechtenstein away: 0–1–4 from 5 competitive games, scoring 2 and conceding 11, with 1 clean sheet. The visitors are resilient but lack firepower.
Goals Against (per game)
xG Against (per game)
Kazakhstan generate a modest 0.60 xG per game and face 2.20 xGA, showing attacking struggles. Liechtenstein’s 0.40 xG and 2.00 xGA reflect even less threat but similar defensive woes.
This is the first-ever competitive meeting between Kazakhstan and Liechtenstein. The hosts will look to leverage home advantage, while the visitors aim to frustrate and nick a rare point.
The hosts’ slight edge in xG and possession, plus home crowd support, make them favourites, but their leaky defence and the visitors’ resilience could keep it tight. Injuries hurt both sides, but the hosts’ attacking output gives them a narrow advantage. Expect a low-scoring game with a single goal settling it.
Prediction: 1–0 home win.
Main pick: under 3.5 goals — neither team screams goals.
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Who will win Kazakhstan vs Liechtenstein?
We lean toward Kazakhstan, with a predicted 1–0 home win given their slight xG edge and home advantage.
What is the best bet in the Kazakhstan vs Liechtenstein game?
Under 3.5 goals is our main pick.
What time does Kazakhstan vs Liechtenstein kick off in the UK?
Thursday, 9 October 2025, expected around 15:00 BST (check final TV listings for confirmation).
Where is Kazakhstan vs Liechtenstein being played?
At Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty, Kazakhstan.
What are the recent head-to-head results between Kazakhstan and Liechtenstein?
This is their first-ever competitive meeting.
Who has the better form going into Kazakhstan vs Liechtenstein?
Kazakhstan at 0–4–6 (3–25) edge Liechtenstein’s 1–2–7 (2–18) over the last 10 games, but both are struggling.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction for Kazakhstan vs Liechtenstein?
1–0 to Kazakhstan.
Who has the best xG in Kazakhstan vs Liechtenstein?
Kazakhstan lead with 0.60 xG for / 2.20 xGA versus Liechtenstein’s 0.40 xG for / 2.00 xGA.
Will BTTS land in the Kazakhstan vs Liechtenstein game?
Our model gives a 20% chance of both teams scoring.
Will we see over or under 2.5 goals in the Kazakhstan vs Liechtenstein game?
With Kazakhstan’s 60% and Liechtenstein’s 50% over 2.5 rate, we lean toward Under 2.5 Goals due to low scoring outputs.