Valencia vs Oviedo | Football Previews & Free Betting Tips | La Liga | 28th September 2025

Valencia come in on a three-game unbeaten run, though defensive frailties remain evident after shipping six at Barcelona earlier in the month. Their style is built around compact defending at home and quick transitions. Oviedo, meanwhile, return to Mestalla for the first time in over two decades. Their pressing energy has yet to translate into points, with five defeats from six leaving them inside the bottom three. On paper, it’s stability versus desperation — and the atmosphere is expected to be fiery.

• Possession contrast: Valencia average 46% possession, Oviedo just 37%. Expect the hosts to see more of the ball while the visitors hunt counters.
• Set-piece focus: Both sides concede around 0.5–0.7 goals per game from dead balls, meaning corners could swing momentum either way.
• Attacking patterns: Valencia generate around 9.7 shots per game, Oviedo closer to 7.1. The home side create slightly more but are less clinical than the league’s top clubs.

Valencia last 6: 2W–2D–2L, scoring 8 and conceding 10. They’ve taken points at home with clean sheets in a third of games, but remain leaky on the road.

Oviedo last 6: 1W–0D–5L, just 2 scored and 11 conceded. A run of four straight losses highlights their struggles in both boxes.

Valencia at Mestalla: unbeaten in their last two, scoring five without reply. They look far more comfortable at home.

Oviedo on the road: back-to-back away defeats to Villarreal and Getafe without scoring, averaging under one shot on target per half.

Valencia’s average 1.05 xG with 1.53 xGA shows they often concede more quality than they create. Oviedo are worse off at 0.84 xG and 2.23 xGA, highlighting a wide expected chance gap.

These sides last met in La Liga back in the 2000/01 season, when Valencia claimed a 2–0 home win and a 1–0 away win. It’s been over 20 years since Oviedo last visited Mestalla in league action, adding a …nostalgic edge to this encounter. With no meetings since, there’s no modern sample to draw from, but history favours the hosts.

Valencia look stronger at Mestalla, with steadier defensive numbers at home and more bite in attack than Oviedo. The visitors’ blunt forward line and vulnerability on set pieces suggest another long evening ahead.

Prediction: 2–0 home win.

Main pick: Valencia to Win — Oviedo’s away struggles (0 goals scored in two trips) contrast with Valencia’s solid home form.

Value angle: Under 2.5 Goals — Valencia tend to keep games tight, and Oviedo rarely score. Low-scoring but controlled looks likely.