Brest are punching well above their weight again this season and sit comfortably in the European spots, while Monaco are right in the title conversation. This one has goals written all over it – both teams love to attack and neither can keep a clean sheet for love nor money. Expect a packed house and a proper Friday night atmosphere under the lights.

Brest stick with their high-energy 4-3-3 that presses like mad, while Monaco line up 4-2-3-1 and look to dominate possession and pick teams apart with quick passing.

Both sides are flying forward – Brest average 4.0 shots on target and Monaco 5.2, so goalkeepers will be busy. Neither is shy about committing bodies forward (Brest 48% possession, Monaco 52%), and set pieces are massive: Brest score 0.3 and concede 0.4 per game from dead balls, Monaco score 0.4 and concede 0.5 – corners and free-kicks could decide it.

Brest’s last ten: 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats – 15 scored, 18 conceded, two clean sheets. They’ve turned the Stade Francis-Le Blé into a tough place to visit.

Monaco’s last ten: 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats – 18 scored, 19 conceded, two clean sheets. Inconsistent results but always involved in goal-fests.

Brest at home (last 10 competitive): win rate 50%, average 2.1 scored, 1.8 conceded. They’ve only lost once in their last six at the Francis-Le Blé.

Monaco away (last 10 competitive): win rate 40%, average 1.9 scored, 2.0 conceded. They score plenty on the road but keep giving up chances.

Two attack-minded teams who create plenty but defend like the gates are open – goals at both ends feels inevitable.

Monaco have dominated recent meetings, winning the last five straight – 0-2, 3-2, 0-1, 2-0 and 1-2. Four of those five finished with Monaco keeping a clean sheet or Brest failing to score at home. Average goals just 2.0 per game, but the pattern is clear: Monaco win and usually keep it tight.

Brest are brilliant to watch and tough at home, but Monaco have their number in this fixture and carry more quality all over the pitch. Expect goals, but the visitors’ clinical edge should just about wins out.

Prediction: Brest 1-2 Monaco

Best Bet: Monaco to win – five straight H2H wins and better squad depth.

Value angle: Both Teams To Score – Yes – 68% model chance and both defences leaking.

Alternative: Over 2.5 goals – 65% combined over rate and recent trends screaming goals.

Cards: Over 3.5 cards – both average over 2 bookings each.