AC Milan vs Sassuolo | Serie A Preview & Betting Tips | 14 Dec 2025
AC Milan welcome Sassuolo knowing that consistency at home is key if they’re to keep pace near the top of Serie A. Results have been solid rather than spectacular, but the underlying numbers point towards a side that’s hard to beat.
Sassuolo arrive without pressure, capable of springing the odd surprise but also prone to lapses at the back. The San Siro should be lively, with the home crowd expecting control, territory and patience.
Milan generally look to dictate games through structured build-up, while Sassuolo are happier sitting compact and breaking when space opens up.
Milan average 50% possession but use it efficiently, combining strong pass completion with controlled tempo and defensive discipline.
Sassuolo operate with less of the ball, around 46%, and rely more on quick transitions rather than sustained pressure.
Defensively, Milan’s xG against of 1.14 highlights their structure, while Sassuolo’s higher xG conceded shows where pressure can tell.
AC Milan’s last ten competitive games read four wins, five draws and one defeat. They’ve scored around 16 goals and conceded just eight, keeping things tight and controlled.
Sassuolo come in with four wins, two draws and four defeats, scoring just over 13 and conceding 12. Form has been patchy, especially away from home.
Milan at home are difficult to break down, conceding well under a goal per game and rarely losing.
Sassuolo away have been inconsistent, with goals often coming at both ends.
Goals Against
xG Against
Milan consistently create more and concede less, showing a clear expected chance edge.
Recent meetings have leaned Milan’s way, including a heavy cup win and several narrow league victories. Sassuolo have caused problems in the past, but Milan usually find a way through.
Milan’s control, defensive solidity and home advantage should tell.
Prediction: AC Milan 2–0 Sassuolo
Main pick: AC Milan to win – stronger across every key metric.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals – Milan games are controlled and compact.
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Who will win AC Milan vs Sassuolo?
AC Milan are strong favourites at home.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction?
AC Milan 2–0 Sassuolo.
Will both teams score?
BTTS is rated as slightly more likely than not.
Where is the match being played?
The game takes place at the San Siro.