Arsenal vs Brighton | Premier League Preview & Betting Tips

Arsenal head into this post-Christmas fixture firmly in the title conversation, grinding out results and looking increasingly hard to break down. Brighton arrive mid-table, competitive and organised, but searching for consistency away from home. The Emirates should be lively, with a packed home crowd sensing an opportunity to keep pressure on the top.

The hosts are expected to control territory and tempo, while Brighton will likely look to stay compact, press in spells and pick moments to break.

Arsenal concede just 0.59 goals per game and allow very little in central areas, forcing opponents wide and limiting shot quality. Brighton, meanwhile, average over 18 tackles per match, showing a willingness to disrupt rhythm, but their defensive line has been exposed when pressed back quickly.

Passing accuracy is similar on paper, but Arsenal’s higher shot volume and stronger xG differential suggests more sustained pressure in the final third.

Arsenal: Seven wins, two draws, one defeat from the last ten. 20 goals scored, just 6 conceded, with five clean sheets. Calm, controlled and efficient.

Brighton: Three wins, four draws, three defeats. 13 scored, 14 conceded, two clean sheets. Competitive in most games, but margins haven’t gone their way.

Arsenal at home have been ruthless, winning the majority of matches while conceding well under a goal per game. Brighton away from home average just over a point per match and tend to struggle when forced deep for long spells.

Arsenal consistently generate more quality chances while limiting opponents to low-value looks.

Arsenal have dominated recent meetings, winning three of the last five and conceding just twice. Brighton have found goals hard to come by in this fixture, particularly away.

Arsenal’s defensive control and home form should prove decisive. Brighton will compete, but sustained pressure is likely to tell.

Prediction: Arsenal 2–0 Brighton

Main pick: Arsenal win

Value angle: Arsenal win to nil