Atalanta vs Chelsea | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 9 Dec 2025

Atalanta and Chelsea both sit on ten points after five games, so this clash could be massive for securing a direct spot in the last 16. Atalanta have been solid in Europe but patchy domestically, while Chelsea are looking to bounce back from a tricky spell. The Gewiss Stadium will be bouncing under the lights, with the home crowd right behind them and a decent away following expected.

Atalanta usually line up in a 3-4-3, high energy and quick to press. Chelsea go with a 4-2-3-1, looking to control the midfield and hit on transitions – could be a proper tactical battle.

Atalanta keep decent possession at 57% and create around 1.6 xG per game, but they’ve been tight defensively with low xGA. Chelsea edge it on chance creation at 1.64 xG while conceding just 1.15 – both sides like to build patiently with high pass accuracy around 86%.

Atalanta over the last ten: four wins, three draws, three defeats – 12 scored, 13 conceded, four clean sheets. Mixed bag lately, but strong in Europe.

Chelsea: five wins, three draws, two defeats – 17 scored, 11 conceded, five clean sheets. Decent run overall, but recent draws have stalled momentum.

Atalanta at home (recent): around 40% win rate, averaging 1.75 scored and 1 conceded – can be tough to break down but vulnerable.

Chelsea away (recent): winless in several, averaging around 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded – struggling on the road lately.

Both create similar quality chances, but Chelsea edge the defensive side – tight contest expected.

This is the first ever competitive meeting between Atalanta and Chelsea – no previous history in UEFA competitions.

Atalanta’s home resilience and Chelsea’s away struggles point to a cagey affair. Chelsea have the quality to nick it, but expect a draw.

Prediction: Atalanta 1-1 Chelsea

Main pick: Draw – first meeting, similar levels, and Chelsea poor on the road.

Value angle: Under 2.5 goals – both tight defensively, low scoring trends.

Double chance: Atalanta or draw – home side hard to beat.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Under – defences on top.

Half-time/full-time: Draw/Draw – likely to stay level.

Over/under 9.5 corners: Under – controlled game expected.

Yellow cards prediction: Around 4 – leaning under 4.5 cards.

Here are the key numbers behind the clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!