Atalanta vs Inter | Serie A Preview & Betting Tips

Atalanta vs Inter — Serie A, 28 December 2025

A heavyweight Serie A clash in Bergamo, with Atalanta testing themselves against a ruthless Inter side pushing at the top.

🗞️ Introduction

This is one of the standout fixtures of the weekend. Atalanta have mixed domestic form but remain dangerous, especially at home, while Inter arrive with momentum and serious title intent.

The Gewiss Stadium should be bouncing for this one, with the home crowd fully engaged and a strong away following backing a side that travels well.

Atalanta are expected to be proactive, while Inter will be happy to absorb pressure and strike with control and efficiency.

🔑 Tactical Trends

Atalanta average almost 15 shots per game, underlining their aggressive approach and willingness to commit numbers forward.

Inter operate at an even higher attacking level, averaging over 17 shots per match while keeping games tight at the back.

The contrast is clear: Atalanta push the tempo, Inter pick their moments — efficiency versus volume.

📋 Form

Atalanta last ten: six wins, four defeats — 18 goals scored, 12 conceded, three clean sheets. Capable of strong runs but still a little inconsistent in the league.

Inter last ten: six wins, two draws, two defeats — 14 scored, 6 conceded, four clean sheets. Calm, controlled and hard to break down.

📊 Average goals scored per game
Atalanta
1.39
Inter
2.27

📊 Clean sheet percentage
Atalanta
30%
Inter
47%

📊 Average shots per game
Atalanta
14.93
Inter
17.47

📊 Average shots on target per game
Atalanta
4.67
Inter
5.60

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Atalanta at home are usually positive and front-foot, but they’ve conceded in several big league games this season.

Inter away from home remain disciplined and efficient, often happy to win by fine margins and control territory without overcommitting.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For
Goals Against

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
54%
Model view for this specific match
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up

xG data is limited for this fixture, but shot volume and conversion trends suggest Inter generate higher-quality chances, while Atalanta rely more on pressure and sustained attacks.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

Inter have dominated recent meetings, winning all of the last five encounters, including two away victories in Bergamo. Atalanta have struggled to break Inter down and often find themselves chasing games.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

Atalanta will make this competitive, but Inter’s control, defensive strength and recent head-to-head record give them the edge.

Prediction: Atalanta 1–2 Inter

💡 Betting Tips

Main pick: Inter to win – stronger form, better efficiency and dominant recent history.

Value angle: Inter win & under 3.5 goals – Inter often manage games without letting them run away.

⚽ Best Bet: Back Inter to win

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FAQ: Atalanta vs Inter
Who will win Atalanta vs Inter?

Inter are favourites based on form and recent head-to-head dominance.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

Inter to win 2–1.

Will both teams score?

The BTTS likelihood is rated at 54%.

Is Atalanta vs Inter likely to be high scoring?

Goals are expected, but Inter often keep matches under control.