Athletic Bilbao vs Paris Saint-Germain | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 10 Dec 2025

Athletic Bilbao vs Paris Saint-Germain — Champions League, 10 December 2025

Basque pride meets French firepower in a huge Champions League league phase clash at San Mamés.

Introduction

Athletic Bilbao are battling to stay in the top-eight hunt and will fancy their chances at home, while PSG need a win to keep pace at the sharp end after a strong start. This promises to be a proper European night – San Mamés will be absolutely bouncing with the famous atmosphere, and PSG fans will add their colour.

Bilbao play an intense, high-energy game, pressing hard and building quickly. PSG dominate possession and look to control tempo – home side could disrupt that rhythm.

Tactical Trends

PSG boss possession at 70% with nearly 18 shots per game, creating high xG around 2.13 while restricting opponents to 0.95. Bilbao lower on the ball at 48% but defend solidly, allowing 1.17 xGA.

Form

Bilbao mixed lately with wins and losses, low scoring but keeping clean sheets at home.

PSG flying with big wins, scoring freely and tight defensively.

Home vs Away Form

Bilbao at home: tough to break down, recent clean sheets and low concessions.

PSG away: strong, scoring well but occasional slips.

Attack vs Defence
Goals For (per game)
Goals Against (per game)

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
45%
Model view for this specific match

Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For xG Against

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PSG create significantly more quality chances while being tighter at the back – Bilbao struggle to generate xG.

Head-to-Head

These two have met twice before in the 2011/12 Europa League group stage: PSG won 4-2 in Paris, while Bilbao took 2-0 at San Mamés.

KickTheBookies Prediction

PSG’s superior chance creation and defensive solidity should overcome Bilbao’s home resilience. Visitors to edge a competitive game.

Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Betting Tips

Main pick: PSG win – better quality and form in Europe.

Value angle: Over 2.5 goals – PSG scoring heavily.

Double chance: PSG or draw – unlikely to lose.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Over – PSG games high-scoring.

Half-time/full-time: Draw/PSG – Bilbao start strong.

Over/under 9.5 corners: Over – PSG shot volume.

Yellow cards prediction: Around 4 – leaning under 4.5 cards.

In-Depth Stats to Supercharge Your Bet Builders

Here are the key numbers behind the clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!

Average goals scored per game
Athletic Bilbao
0.93
Paris Saint-Germain
2.13
Average goals conceded per game
Athletic Bilbao
1.33
Paris Saint-Germain
0.80
Clean sheet percentage
Athletic Bilbao
27%
Paris Saint-Germain
unavailable
Average shots per game (total)
Athletic Bilbao
12.9
Paris Saint-Germain
17.93
Average possession
Athletic Bilbao
48.1%
Paris Saint-Germain
70%
Expected goals (xG) per game
Athletic Bilbao
1.47
Paris Saint-Germain
2.13
xG against per game
Athletic Bilbao
1.17
Paris Saint-Germain
0.95
Average under/over 2.5 goals per game (% over 2.5)
Athletic Bilbao
40%
Paris Saint-Germain
80%
Average points per game
Athletic Bilbao
1.44
Paris Saint-Germain
2.20
⚽ Best Bet: PSG win
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FAQ: Athletic Bilbao vs Paris Saint-Germain – All the Key Stats
Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain – superior quality and form.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain.

What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Paris Saint-Germain kick off in the UK?

5:45 pm GMT, Wednesday 10 December 2025.

Where is Athletic Bilbao vs Paris Saint-Germain being played?

San Mamés, Bilbao.

What are the recent head-to-head results?

One win each from 2011/12 Europa League meetings.

Who has the better recent form?

PSG – higher points and scoring rate.

How many goals does PSG score per game on average?

PSG average 2.13 goals scored per game.

How many clean sheets has Athletic Bilbao kept?

Athletic Bilbao have kept a clean sheet in 27% of games.

Will both teams score (BTTS)?

Model gives 45% chance – PSG likely to keep clean sheet.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over – PSG high-scoring.