Atletico Madrid vs Real Oviedo | La Liga Preview & Betting Tips | 29 Nov 2025

Atlético Madrid are sitting pretty at the top of La Liga and look rock-solid right now. Real Oviedo have just come up from the Segunda and are still finding their feet in the top flight. The Metropolitano will be absolutely bouncing – 68,000 home fans and a tiny pocket of travelling support from Asturias.

Atlético stick with their trademark compact 4-4-2 that presses high and is brutally efficient. Oviedo go 4-2-3-1, sitting deep and hoping to nick something on the counter.

Atlético are the best defensive side in the league – just 0.50 goals conceded per game and six clean sheets in ten. They create 1.70 xG while allowing only 0.90. Oviedo are organised (0.70 conceded) but blunt up top (1.00 scored, 1.10 xG). The gap in quality is massive.

Atlético over the last ten: eight wins, one draw, one defeat – 18 scored, 5 conceded, six clean sheets. Unstoppable at the minute.

Oviedo: four wins, three draws, three defeats – 10 scored, 7 conceded, three clean sheets. Doing okay for a promoted side but this is a huge step up.

Atlético at home (last 10): 90% win rate, averaging 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded – the Metropolitano is a fortress.

Oviedo away (last 10): only 20% wins, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded – they rarely trouble the big boys on the road.

Atlético create nearly twice as much as Oviedo and concede the same – the quality gap is enormous.

The sides haven’t met in La Liga for years, but recent Copa del Rey clashes show the pattern: Atlético won 3-1 at home in January 2023, 3-0 away in October 2022, and 3-0 at home in October 2018. Oviedo’s last success was a 2-1 extra-time win in 2018. Atlético have won the last three without conceding.

Atlético are in sensational form, rock-solid defensively and ruthless at home against lesser sides. Oviedo will battle but simply don’t have the firepower. Expect a professional performance and another clean sheet.

Prediction: Atlético Madrid 3-0 Real Oviedo

Main pick: Atlético -1.5 (Asian Handicap) – covering a two-goal win or better.

Value angle: Atlético to win to nil – Oviedo have scored in only 30% of away games this season.

Double chance: Atlético or draw – Oviedo have never beaten Atlético in Madrid.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Over – Atlético’s quality should shine through.

Half-time/full-time: Atlético/Atlético – they usually take control early against promoted sides.

Over/under 9.5 corners: Over – Atlético average 6+ at home alone.

Yellow cards prediction: Around 4 bookings – leaning under 4.5 cards.

Here are the key numbers behind tonight’s clash – perfect for building those juicy bet builders. Good luck!