Benfica vs Napoli | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 10 Dec 2025

Benfica need a big result to climb out of the bottom spots and keep playoff hopes alive, while Napoli are chasing consistency to secure a top-eight finish. This could be a defining night in the league phase. Estádio da Luz will be electric under the lights, with the home fans in full voice and a strong travelling support from Italy.

Benfica set up to press high and build quickly, while Napoli look to dominate possession and control the tempo – contrasting styles that should make for an open contest.

Napoli hold the ball well at 70% possession with high shot volume around 18 per game. Benfica lower on possession but create decent xG while restricting opponents tightly.

Benfica mixed with recent draws and losses, struggling for consistency especially in Europe.

Napoli strong run with plenty of wins, scoring freely but occasional slips.

Benfica at home: tough venue but recent results patchy in Europe.

Napoli away: capable but vulnerable in Champions League on the road.

Napoli lead the head-to-head, winning both meetings in the 2016/17 Champions League group stage: 4-2 in Naples and 2-1 in Lisbon.

Napoli’s superior scoring form and defensive record should see them through against a Benfica side struggling in Europe. Visitors to take the points.

Prediction: Benfica 1-3 Napoli

Main pick: Napoli win – better form and head-to-head edge.

Value angle: Over 2.5 goals – Napoli high-scoring.

Double chance: Napoli or draw – strong favourites.

Over/under 2.5 goals: Over – attacking potential.

Half-time/full-time: Draw/Napoli – visitors grow into game.

Over/under 9.5 corners: Over – high shots.

Yellow cards prediction: Around 5 – leaning over 4.5 cards.