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Bodø/Glimt vs Inter Milan | Champions League Preview & Betting Tips | 18 Feb 2026

Bodø/Glimt vs Inter Milan — UEFA Champions League, 18 February 2026 (20:00 CET)

A proper “style clash” night — Bodø/Glimt’s tempo and fearlessness vs Inter’s control and game management.

Quick verdict: Inter look likelier to control territory and chance quality, but Bodø/Glimt have enough shot volume to make this lively.
Betting angle: Away edge on balance — Inter’s xG-against and clean-sheet rate suggests they can ride out storms and still win.

⚽ Best Bet: Back Inter Milan (Away Win)
Standout lean based on chance quality + defensive stability.

Jump to Betting Tips

Quick Match Snapshot

Form trend: Bodø/Glimt are high-scoring and aggressive; Inter are more controlled and harder to hurt.

Expected tone: Inter to dictate rhythm, Bodø/Glimt to press moments and attack quickly when space appears.

Key swing: First goal is massive — if it stays level into the second half, the pressure spikes.

Introduction

This is exactly the kind of Champions League tie where the home environment matters. Bodø/Glimt play with real tempo and bravery, and they don’t mind turning a match into a sequence of waves — shots, second balls, and quick attacks.

Inter arrive with a more controlled profile: strong possession numbers, tidy passing, and a defensive baseline that usually keeps opponents from getting too many “clean” chances.

Tactically it looks like a clash between Bodø/Glimt’s fast, direct energy and Inter’s ability to slow the game down, keep the ball, and pick the right moments to step on the throat.

Tactical Trends

1) Shot volume on both sides hints at a busy box: Bodø/Glimt average 14.8 shots with 6.1 on target; Inter sit even higher at 16.2 and 6.4. That’s a recipe for plenty of penalty-area moments — even if Inter try to manage the pace.

2) Inter’s defensive “quality control”: The big separator is xG-against: Inter at 0.95 vs Bodø/Glimt at 1.25. That usually means Inter concede fewer big looks, even when games get stretched.

3) Set-pieces can swing it: Both sides score from dead balls at a similar rate (Bodø/Glimt 0.7, Inter 0.6). In a tight tie, one delivery can decide it.

Form

Bodø/Glimt last 10 (competitive mix): they’re averaging 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, which is roughly 26 for and 12 against across ten. Clean sheets land at 30%. They’re fun and fearless — but not always closed-shop at the back.

Inter last 10 (competitive): averaging 2.3 scored and 0.9 conceded (around 23 for, 9 against), with 50% clean sheets. The profile is calmer and more controlled — they win games without needing chaos.

Home vs Away Form

Bodø/Glimt at home: even without a strict home-only split, their overall numbers point to a side that creates plenty and plays with confidence — the kind of setup that can pin opponents in with repeated pressure.

Inter away: Inter’s numbers travel well: 58% possession, 88% pass completion, and a strong xG-against baseline (0.95) suggests they can quiet a stadium by keeping the ball and limiting clear openings.

Attack vs Defence
Goals For (per game)
Goals Against (per game)
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0

2.60
1.20

2.30
0.90

Bodø/Glimt
Inter Milan

Tip: rotate phone sideways on mobile for best view.

Bodø/Glimt’s scoring rate is higher, but Inter concede less — it’s firepower vs control.

BTTS Likelihood
57%
BTTS

KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood

One-number model view for this specific match.

Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For
xG Against

Tip: rotate phone sideways on mobile for best view.


Inter’s chance balance is cleaner: slightly higher xG for (2.10) and notably lower xG against (0.95). Bodø/Glimt still create plenty (1.95) — so Inter can’t switch off.

Head-to-Head

Competitive history is limited to the 1978 Cup Winners’ Cup tie: Inter won 5–0 at home, then 2–1 away. It’s a fun historic footnote, but today’s matchup is far more about the current tactical clash and game-state.

KickTheBookies Prediction

Bodø/Glimt have the tempo and chance creation to make this a proper fight, but Inter’s defensive baseline and cleaner xG-against profile suggests they’re better set up to survive pressure phases and take their moments.

Prediction: Bodø/Glimt 1–2 Inter Milan

Confidence Factor
66%
Edge

Match Edge Confidence

Moderate confidence — Inter’s underlying balance is strong, but Bodø/Glimt’s pace and scoring rate keeps volatility in play.

Betting Tips

In-Depth Stats to Supercharge Your Bet Builders

Below are the key numbers that help shape smarter bet builders — goal trends, shot patterns, discipline, set-pieces, and the control stats that hint at how the match might flow.

⚽ Average goals scored per game
Bodø/Glimt
2.60
Inter Milan
2.30

🛡️ Average goals conceded per game
Bodø/Glimt
1.20
Inter Milan
0.90

🧤 Clean sheet percentage
Bodø/Glimt
30%
Inter Milan
50%

🎯 Average shots per game (total)
Bodø/Glimt
14.80
Inter Milan
16.20

🥅 Average shots on target per game
Bodø/Glimt
6.10
Inter Milan
6.40

🧠 Average possession
Bodø/Glimt
56%
Inter Milan
58%

🚩 Average corners per game
Bodø/Glimt
6.20
Inter Milan
6.50

🟨 Average yellow cards per game
Bodø/Glimt
1.70
Inter Milan
2.00

📊 Expected goals (xG) per game
Bodø/Glimt
1.95
Inter Milan
2.10

📉 xG against per game
Bodø/Glimt
1.25
Inter Milan
0.95

🧱 Average set piece goals scored
Bodø/Glimt
0.70
Inter Milan
0.60

🧊 Average set piece goals conceded
Bodø/Glimt
0.40
Inter Milan
0.30

✅ Average pass completion rate
Bodø/Glimt
85%
Inter Milan
88%

🧲 Average tackles/interceptions per game
Bodø/Glimt
18.3 tackles / 11.0 interceptions
Inter Milan
17.5 tackles / 10.8 interceptions

⏱️ Goal timing (first half vs second half)
Bodø/Glimt
45% / 55%
Inter Milan
48% / 52%

📈 Average under/over 2.5 goals per game (% over 2.5)
Bodø/Glimt
65%
Inter Milan
60%

🏁 Average points per game
Bodø/Glimt
2.10
Inter Milan
2.40


⚽ Best Bet: Back Inter Milan (Away Win)

⚽ Best Bet: Back Inter Milan (Away Win)
Strong away edge on chance balance + defensive baseline.

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FAQ: Bodø/Glimt vs Inter Milan – All the Key Stats
Who will win Bodø/Glimt vs Inter Milan?

The lean is Inter — the defensive baseline and xG-against number are stronger, even though Bodø/Glimt can cause problems at home.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

Bodø/Glimt 1–2 Inter Milan.

What time does Bodø/Glimt vs Inter Milan kick off?

20:00 CET on Wednesday 18 February 2026.

Will both teams score (BTTS)?

KickTheBookies model view is 57% for this match.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Lean over 2.5 — both sides have recent profiles that land over more often than not.

What’s the best bet for Bodø/Glimt vs Inter Milan?

Best Bet: Back Inter Milan (away win).

Are corners likely to be high?

Yes — combined corners baseline is 12.7 per match, supporting an over angle.

How confident is the edge?

Match Edge Confidence is 66% — a solid lean, but the home tempo can add volatility.