Bologna vs Sassuolo | Serie A Preview & Betting Tips

Bologna vs Sassuolo — Serie A, 28 December 2025

An intriguing Emilia-Romagna derby with Bologna looking to press on and Sassuolo aiming to spoil the party on the road.

🗞️ Introduction

Bologna have been one of the more interesting sides to watch this season — capable of big results, but also prone to the odd wobble.

Sassuolo arrive in mixed form, competitive most weeks but struggling to build real momentum.

The Dall’Ara should be lively for this regional clash, with a strong home crowd and a vocal travelling support adding bite to the occasion.

Expect Bologna to take the initiative, while Sassuolo look to stay compact and counter.

🔑 Tactical Trends

Bologna average 55% possession and around 13 shots per game, showing a willingness to control matches rather than sit back.

Sassuolo operate at lower volume, averaging 10 shots per game, but remain dangerous in transition.

The xG profiles hint at Bologna creating more consistent chances, while Sassuolo often allow pressure and rely on defensive resilience.

📋 Form

Bologna last ten: three wins, three draws, four defeats — 15 goals scored, 16 conceded, four clean sheets.

Sassuolo last ten: three wins, four draws, three defeats — 13 scored, 13 conceded, two clean sheets.

📊 Average goals scored per game
Bologna
2.53
Sassuolo
1.31

📊 Average goals conceded per game
Bologna
1.60
Sassuolo
1.25

📊 Clean sheet percentage
Bologna
40%
Sassuolo
25%

📊 Average shots per game
Bologna
13.1
Sassuolo
10.0

📊 Average shots on target per game
Bologna
4.00
Sassuolo
3.55

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Bologna at home have been solid, winning key games and keeping clean sheets against strong opposition.

Sassuolo away are unpredictable — capable of nicking wins, but often involved in tight, low-margin matches.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For
Goals Against

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
57%
Model view for this specific match
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For
xG Against

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Bologna consistently create slightly better chances, while Sassuolo concede higher-quality looks.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

The last five meetings have been competitive. Bologna have edged it at home recently, including a 4–2 win earlier this year, while Sassuolo have managed draws and the odd away success.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

Bologna’s home edge and higher attacking output should tell, but Sassuolo rarely make it easy.

Prediction: Bologna 2–1 Sassuolo

💡 Betting Tips

Main pick: Bologna to win – stronger at home and better xG profile.

Value angle: BTTS – Yes – both sides regularly find the net.

⚽ Best Bet: Back Bologna to win

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⬅ Go back to Football – Home

FAQ: Bologna vs Sassuolo
Who will win Bologna vs Sassuolo?

Bologna are favourites thanks to home form and attacking numbers.

What is the KickTheBookies prediction?

Bologna to win 2–1.

Will both teams score?

BTTS likelihood is rated at 57%.

Is Bologna vs Sassuolo likely to be high scoring?

Goals are expected, but margins should stay tight.