Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Bundesliga, 19 December 2025

A classic Bundesliga fixture under the Friday night lights, with Dortmund flying and Gladbach desperate to steady the ship.

🗞️ Introduction

Dortmund come into this one in relentless attacking form, piling on goals and points as they push towards the top end of the table. Confidence is sky high, especially at Signal Iduna Park, where they’ve been ruthless.

Gladbach, meanwhile, are scrapping for momentum. Games involving them have been chaotic, open and unpredictable, which makes this trip a daunting one. Expect a full house, a loud Yellow Wall, and a fast start from the hosts.

Dortmund are likely to set up aggressively in a high-tempo attacking shape, while Gladbach may look to stay compact and strike on the break when space opens up.

🔑 Tactical Trends

Dortmund average nearly three goals per game across their last ten, with every single one going over 2.5 goals. They commit numbers forward and accept risk at the back to overwhelm opponents.

Gladbach’s matches have followed a similar pattern, but for different reasons. They concede over two goals per game and struggle to control games without the ball, leading to stretched contests.

With both sides comfortable playing in open games and neither keeping many clean sheets, this shapes up as another end-to-end Bundesliga classic.

📋 Form

Borussia Dortmund: eight wins, one draw, one defeat from the last ten. Twenty-nine goals scored, fifteen conceded, and just two clean sheets. They’ve been winning games by outscoring teams rather than shutting them out.

Borussia Mönchengladbach: two wins, two draws, six defeats. Seventeen goals scored, twenty-two conceded, and only one clean sheet. Entertainment value is high, results less so.

📊 Average goals scored per game
Borussia Dortmund
2.90
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.70

📊 Average goals conceded per game
Borussia Dortmund
1.50
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.20

📊 Clean sheet percentage
Borussia Dortmund
20%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10%

📊 Average possession
Borussia Dortmund
50%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%

📊 Expected goals (xG) per game
Borussia Dortmund
2.27
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.39

📊 xG against per game
Borussia Dortmund
1.51
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.97

📊 Average points per game
Borussia Dortmund
2.50
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0.80

🏟️ Home vs Away Form

Dortmund at home have been devastating, scoring freely and regularly putting games to bed early. Clean sheets are rare, but goals are guaranteed.

Gladbach away from home have struggled defensively, conceding heavily and finding it hard to slow games down once momentum turns.

⚔️ Attack vs Defence
Goals For
Goals Against

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BTTS Likelihood
KickTheBookies BTTS likelihood
79%
Model view for this specific match
Expected Goals (xG) Match-up
xG For
xG Against

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Dortmund consistently create high-quality chances, while Gladbach allow more than they’d like at this level.

⚖️ Head-to-Head

The most recent meeting at Signal Iduna Park ended 3–2 to Dortmund, with goals flowing freely. The reverse fixture earlier in the season finished 1–1, and recent clashes have generally delivered drama and goals.

🧠 KickTheBookies Prediction

Dortmund’s attacking firepower, home advantage and current momentum should be too much. Gladbach will have moments, but stopping the hosts for 90 minutes looks unlikely.

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

💡 Betting Tips

Main pick: Borussia Dortmund to win

Value angle: Both teams to score — both sides involved in high-scoring games.

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⚽ Best Bet: Back Borussia Dortmund to win

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