Brann vs Bologna | Europa League Preview & Betting Tips | 19 Feb 2026
⚽ Best Bet: Back Draw
Form trend: Brann are more up-and-down, but they score regularly; Bologna have had a tougher recent spell and concede a fair bit.
Expected tone: Bologna controlling territory with possession; Brann leaning into transitions, set-plays, and crowd-driven momentum.
Key swing: If Brann land the first big moment, Bologna may be forced to open up — that’s when this could turn lively.
This is the sort of Europa League tie where the opening 15 minutes tells you a lot. Brann at home can turn the match into a proper scrap — quick spells, direct play, and a crowd that lifts every duel. Bologna arrive with a more controlled, possession-led approach, and they’ll want to quiet the noise with the ball.
Tactically, it’s likely Brann trying to make the game feel messy at times (second balls, fast attacks, set-piece pressure), while Bologna look to keep structure, move it patiently, and pick the right moments to press.
1) Control vs disruption: Bologna average 58% possession with an 85% pass completion rate — that usually means they can slow the game down and play it on their terms. Brann sit closer to 48% possession and a lower pass completion (79%), which fits a more direct, momentum-led style.
2) Chance volume is closer than you’d think: Brann average 13.2 shots per match (4.9 on target). Bologna average 12.1 shots (3.9 on target). So this might not be “one-way traffic” — Brann can create their own pressure phases.
3) Set-pieces feel important: Both concede around 0.5 set-piece goals per game. In a tie that looks tight, one dead-ball delivery and a bit of chaos in the box can be the separator.
Brann last 10 (competitive): W5-D2-L3 — about 18 scored and 14 conceded, with 30% clean sheets. They can blow hot and cold, but they do carry a goal threat.
Bologna last 10 (competitive): W3-D3-L4 — about 13 scored and 16 conceded, with 20% clean sheets. They’ve had some tough domestic matchups recently, and the defensive record suggests they’re not fully airtight.
Brann at home: the numbers point to a side that can create chances and feed off momentum — ideal for European nights where intensity rises quickly.
Bologna away: Bologna’s profile suggests they’ll try to travel with control (possession + passing), but conceding 1.6 per match over this run hints they can be got at when transitions start flying.
Put it together and it looks like Bologna trying to control rhythm, Brann trying to spike the tempo and make it uncomfortable.
Goals Against (per game)
Brann score more on average, but both sides concede enough that this can swing if the game opens up.
xG Against
Brann create slightly more on xG (1.52 vs 1.35), but Bologna’s xG-against is higher, which hints they can give up good looks if Brann’s transitions land cleanly.
There’s not loads of history here. The one recent competitive meeting finished 0–0 in Italy in November 2025, which fits the general vibe of this tie: structured, tactical, and likely decided by one or two key moments rather than constant end-to-end chaos.
This feels like Bologna can have more control spells, but Brann’s home tempo and shot volume make them dangerous. With both conceding over a goal a match on average, it’s hard to see a clean sheet being “bankable”.
Prediction: Brann 1–1 Bologna
58%
Lean is moderate — tight matchup profiles, and European ties can flip on one set-piece or one swing moment.
Main pick: Draw — the profiles are tight, and the recent 0–0 meeting hints at a tactical chess feel.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals — Bologna lean under 2.5 more often than not, and this looks like a “margin game”.
Double chance: Brann or draw — home edge + Brann’s shot volume can keep them in it.
Over/under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals — Bologna are 60% under 2.5 across this run.
Half-time/full-time: Draw/Draw — could start cagey before opening up late.
Over/under 9.5 corners: Over 9.5 corners — combined corners baseline is 10.6 (5.4 + 5.2).
Yellow cards prediction: Over 3.5 cards — combined yellows baseline is 3.9 (1.9 + 2.0).
Below are the key numbers that help shape smarter bet builders — goal trends, shot patterns, discipline, set-piece impact, and the control stats that hint at how the match might flow.
⚽ Best Bet: Back Draw
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Who will win Brann vs Bologna?
This looks tight — the lean is a draw, with Bologna likely to control possession but Brann carrying a real home threat.
What is the KickTheBookies prediction?
Brann 1–1 Bologna.
What time is Brann vs Bologna kick-off?
17:45 CET, Thursday 19 February 2026.
Will both teams score (BTTS)?
KickTheBookies model view is 54% for this match.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Slight lean under 2.5, with Bologna landing under 2.5 more often than not across their last 10.
Are corners likely to be high?
Yes — the combined corners baseline is 10.6 per match (5.4 + 5.2), which supports an “over 9.5 corners” angle.
Are cards likely in this game?
Potentially — combined yellows baseline is 3.9 per match, and knockout-style European intensity can push that up.
What’s the best bet for Brann vs Bologna?
Best Bet: Back the draw.